Considering home court advantage is worth about 2.5 - 3 points, accounting for Cousins value to the spread, the Pelicans should be around a 5 - 6
point dog on Thursday.
My numbers make Seattle a 3 -
point dog on the road, which means there's certainly value in the Seahawks.
Last week, our research showed that it was more profitable to take 2.5 and 3
point dogs on the moneyline rather than the spread, which is exactly what bettors are doing in this game.
Not exact matches
With the website
dogged by bottlenecks and bugs, she faced a wall of finger
pointing and nitpicking, where critics seemed more intent
on scoring
points and pushing agendas than offering solutions.
Tiger Beer, a brand of Five
Points Trading Co., a company of White Plains, N.Y. - based Heineken USA, announced that it is uncaging celebrations in 2018 for the Lunar New Year through retail and
on - premise programming and artwork that celebrates the Year of the
Dog.
«When somebody is selling our beer for $ 500
on eBay, it's a falsely inflated price
point and a bad representation of our brewery,» says Natalie Cilurzo, co-owner of Russian River Brewing, which joins The Bruery, Lost Abbey, Stone Brewing, Midnight Sun, Hill Farmstead, Westvleteren, Cantillion, and Hair of the
Dog as producers of some of the most desirable after - market beers in the world.
i am not sitting
on my couch with my laptop and peeing in my pants, but it's gotten to the
point where every time i look away from my manuscript * i feel the imaginary magnetic stress - induced pull to come back and edit this bagel
dog recipe or find a better way to tell the eggboy fart story.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a valuable
point away from home
dog Indy, the betting public is overwhelmingly in favor of Matt Ryan and Co. winning by at least 8
points on the road.
The lead
dogs of Reed and Spieth were there
on that first tee, hitting in the foggy dawn
on the way to earning the first
point in what would be the USA's first sweep of an opening session since 1975.
The Thunder were 4 -
point favorites against the Spurs for Game 4
on Saturday, yet opened as 5 -
point road
dogs for tonight's game.
But at the end of the season, everyone and their
dog could
point at the various holes
on our team.
Since New Orleans opened as a 3 -
point «
dog and we can estimate that Brees is worth roughly 6 or 7
points to the spread, this would seem to indicate that Sportsbook.com was hedging their bets in an attempt to attract action
on the game.
Back
on December 28th, the Bobcats were 10.5
point dogs against the Heat, and received just 17 % of spread wagers.
Southern Miss opened as a 5 -
point road
dog for Saturday's matchup with Marshall and bettors have been
on them early and often.
Although the sportsbooks have taken away a pivotal
point from road
dog Oakland, the betting public remains slightly in favor of the new - look Raiders finally meshing
on the road and keeping it close at Qualcomm.
Even with the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a pivotal half -
point away from road
dog New York, the betting public remains heavily in favor of the G - Men covering
on the road against the Jeckyll and Hyde Cowboys.
Our research indicates that home
dogs of 8 +
points have gone 30 - 10 with 18.08 units won and a ridiculous 45.2 % ROI from Week 15
on.
Bookmaker opened Boston as 6 -
point home
dogs Wednesday afternoon and bettors quickly got down
on Golden State, pushing the line to Warriors -7.
As we have detailed previously in this blog as well as in our series of Bet Sharp articles, there is excellent value betting
on home underdogs from week 15
on — especially when dealing with home
dogs of 8 +
points.
Since the start of the 2003 season, home
dogs of 2 or more
points have gone 120 - 103 — good for +10.15 units won and a 4.6 % return
on investment.
Esp sign 20, lsp, we can put all our
points on the last big
dogs
At the great majority of beagle field trials the
dogs are run in braces, with the judging being carried out
on a
points system which can lead to championship status.
For example,
on other current threads, STSers have (without evidence) posed the theory that Dabo didn't announce that HJ or TL is the lead
dog coming out of spring camp because Dabo wants to keep all of the QBs working hard and keep them
on board past the
point where they could transfer for 2018.
Betting
on Home
Dogs Against the Public (at the 30 % level) resulted in just a 42 % winning percentage at various
point spreads in 2008.
And even with the sportsbooks giving home
dog Tampa Bay an additional half -
point, the betting public is overwhelmingly in favor of the Boys covering
on the road.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a big
point away from home
dog Houston, more than six out of ten spread bets are picking the Falcons to cover
on the road, especially with the news that rookie T.J. Yates is likely to take over at QB for the injured Matt Leinart.
Despite the sportsbooks taking a big 1.5
points away from road
dog Arkansas, nearly six out of ten spread bets are taking the
points and banking
on the # 3 Razorbacks keeping it relatively close against # 1 LSU.
In one of the most lopsided bet games of the week, the public continues to pound Tony Romo and Co.
on the road, especially after the sportsbooks took an additional 1.5
points away from home
dog Arizona.
The Pelicans haven't hosted Houston yet this year, but they did visit the Rockets back
on December 16th and were 12 -
point «
dogs.
The Kings were 3.5
point dogs in Denver
on January 3rd, but with the way Nikola Jokic is playing and with no more Boogie, it wouldn't be surprising to see the Kings as 6
points dogs or so despite having home court.
Based
on our research of historical data, our team of researchers and analysts likes biases that include large
point spreads and visiting
dogs in the NBA.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a valuable half
point away from home
dog UCLA, more than eight out of ten spread bets are confident that well - rounded Arizona State can pin a 10
point or more loss
on the 4 - 4 Bruins in this Pac - 12 showdown.
Either way, I think this comes down to a PK at some
point Saturday with sharp money
on the home
dog.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to give an additional
point to the road
dog Tigers, slightly more than seven out of ten spread bets are taking the
points and banking
on Auburn to keep it close at Sanford Stadium.
It's also interesting to note that although underdogs are traditionally undervalued, this edge only becomes apparent when focusing
on conference games or large underdogs — defined by
dogs of at least 10
points.
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When we focus
on large
dogs (defined as favorites of 14.5 +
points), that record improves to 14 - 9.
In fact, since 2003 no home
dog of 10 +
points has ever received less than 12 % of spread bets (Minnesota
on 10/23/11 and St. Louis
on 10/25/09).
@SportsInsights Number of distinct Super Bowl ads where a
dog can be seen
on screen at some
point during the commercial O / U 7.5.
That would indicate that bettors taking the Rams are essentially getting a free
point, which means the value is
on the road
dog in this NFC West showdown.
In one of the most lopsided bet games of the week, nearly nine out of ten spread bets are going with the 7 - 4 Cowboys to cover
on the road, especially after the sportsbooks adjusted their lines to take a valuable half -
point away from the home
dog Rams.
Utah at USC: Public bettors are definitely sold
on this Utah team, as the 6 - 0 Utes are getting 71 % of early bets as 3.5
point dogs at USC.
We recently looked at how 2 - 3
point dogs had performed ATS and
on the moneyline and for this game, taking the Saints straight up is something to strongly consider.
And despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines in a dramatic way to give home
dog USF an additional 2.5
points, more than eight out of ten spread bets remain committed to the 23rd ranked Mountaineers winning by at least two
points on the road.
By Wednesday morning the Giants were 9.5 -
point dogs against the Raiders thanks to 66 % of spread tickets and a whopping 94 % of spread dollars
on Oakland.
Our research has shown that there is a bias for betting
on NFL
dogs receiving at least 7
points.
Dallas (5 - 4) is a 3.5 -
point dog at home and less than 30 % of spread bets are
on the Cowboys after a disappointing 27 - 7 loss to the Falcons.
Given the recent form of the sides everything
points to the Potters here
on the handicap line so let's dive in
on the
dog.
Dogs of 11.5 - 14
points have gone just 8 - 37 in the NCAA tourney, but have cashed in for over 25 units won
on the ML.
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