Will week 2 have any 45
point dogs win or 34 point comebacks?
Not exact matches
As wiith all betting systems, we recommend factoring in more filters, like Smart Money triggers and shopping for the best line (which can improve your
win percentage 2 % -5 % if you're consistently betting
dogs and finding books that shade.5
point to 1
point off the market.)
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a big half -
point away from home
dog Indy, three out of four spread wagers remain confident in the 10 - 4 Texans escaping Lucas Oil Stadium with at least a seven
point win.
With the sportbooks taking a pivotal half -
point away from road
dog Miami, the betting public is giving the slight edge to Tom Brady and the Pats picking up at least an 11 -
point win at Gillette Stadium.
Betting all underdogs in low - scoring games would result in a 55 %
winning percentage while slightly larger
dogs (of at least 3.5
points) have covered at a 58.5 % clip.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a valuable
point away from home
dog Indy, the betting public is overwhelmingly in favor of Matt Ryan and Co.
winning by at least 8
points on the road.
When filtering the data down to strictly home teams receiving less than 20 % of spread bets, I was wondering what the
winning percentage was for home
dogs getting 7 or more
points that are receiving less than 20 % of spread bets?
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a pivotal half -
point away from road
dog Kansas City, the betting public is giving the slight edge to the 7 - 5 Jets
winning by ten
points or more in front of their home crowd.
With the sportsbooks taking a pivotal
point away from the home
dog «Hawks, the betting public is pounding the Ravens, with nearly eight out of ten spread bets confident Joe Flacco can lead Baltimore to a seven
point win or more in the Pacific Northwest.
Home
dogs have produced a
win rate of 52.4 % ATS, which is also the break - even
point for spread bettors (assuming a vig of -110).
However, with the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a pivotal half
point away from road
dog Penn State, nearly seven out of ten spread bets are taking the 6 - 4 Buckeyes to
win by at least 7
points in front of their home crowd and keep the Nittany Lions winless under interim Head Coach Tom Bradley.
Our research revealed a 52.3 %
winning percentage for all 10 +
point home
dogs, and that percentage escalated as we...
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a half -
point away from road
dog Chicago, nearly nine out of ten spread bets are going with the 7 - 5 Broncos to
win by at least four
points at Mile High.
Oregon has struggled ATS and overall this year but got a very nice straight up
win as 14 -
point dogs at Utah, 30 - 28.
Our research indicates that home
dogs of 8 +
points have gone 30 - 10 with 18.08 units
won and a ridiculous 45.2 % ROI from Week 15 on.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to give the road
dog Bills an additional half -
point, the betting public is pounding Buffalo to bounce back and either
win straight up or lose by two or less in the AFC East showdown.
However, despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a valuable half -
point away from the road
dog Seahawks, the betting public is sticking with Seattle (who looked impressive in a 22 - 17
win over the Ravens last week) to either
win straight up or lose by two or less at Edward Jones Dome.
Since the start of the 2003 season, home
dogs of 2 or more
points have gone 120 - 103 — good for +10.15 units
won and a 4.6 % return on investment.
However, even with the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to give road
dog Detroit an additional
point, more than six out of ten spread wagers are sticking with Drew Brees and the 13 - 3 Saints to
win by at least 11 -
points in front of their home crowd.
3 is a silent pick em so money line the game with a
dog of 3 pts or less, 85 % of teams that cover 3
points as
dogs win the game outright so why give the books any more than you have to, make sure you take
dogs in first half ONLY, i cant stress this enough, more times than not if a
dog will cover the game, (big
dogs +7 or higher) they will show up early and you do not want to get screwed in the 2nd half by blowing the cover, these are things the sports books never would tell you but surely will save you a lot of aggravation in the LONG RUN
Interestingly, Clemson
won both games this season in which they were underdogs (they closed as 1 -
point «
dogs against both Ohio State and Louisville).
It gives us long term stability if required and not chelski situation but saying that they keep
winning AW HAS LET HIS SELF DOWN by not changing I was once a AW in but unfortunately you can't teach an old
dog new tricks if he doesn't want to learn and AW falls in to that category Neville made a good
point when he said we could forgive the losing as we still played beautiful football.
Our research revealed a 52.3 %
winning percentage for all 10 +
point home
dogs, and that percentage escalated as we filtered the games with lower and lower public betting percentages.
As a result of the sportsbooks giving road
dog New York an additional
point, the betting public is giving the slight edge to Rex and the Jets either
winning straight up or losing by two or less in Philly against Vick and the Eagles.
Despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take an important half -
point away from the road
dog Bucs, nearly seven out of ten spread bets are sticking with Tampa Bay to
win by four or more against the maddeningly inconsistent Titans.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a big half -
point away from road
dog Carolina, the betting public is fading the Cam Newton hype and going with the 10 - 3 Texans to
win by at least seven
points at home.
As a result of the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a pivotal half -
point away from the road
dog «Skins, the betting public is giving the slight edge to Seattle
winning by at least five
points at home.
Conversely, a 3 -
point dog would then receive.4063
wins (1 -.5937).
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a half -
point away from road
dog Denver, the betting public is just slightly in favor of San Diego
winning by seven
points at home against Tim Tebow and the Broncos.
Betting on Home
Dogs Against the Public (at the 30 % level) resulted in just a 42 %
winning percentage at various
point spreads in 2008.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a pivotal half -
point away from road
dog Washington, the betting public remains heavily in favor of the G - Men
winning this NFC East showdown by eight
points or more.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a pivotal half -
point away from the home
dog Lions, nearly seven out of ten spread bets are going with Aaron Rodgers and 10 - 0 Packers to
win by seven
points or more and keep their undefeated record intact.
Two of those
dogs won outright, and one of them is now a 2.5 -
point favorite in the divisional round and +800 to
win the Super Bowl.
Facing a 1 - 8 Colorado team that has lost six games in a row, the public is hammering Matt Barkley and the 6 - 2 Trojans to
win in a laugher, especially after the sportsbooks took a valuable half -
point away from the home
dog Buffalos.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take an additional
point away from home
dog BC, the betting public is pounding FSU, with seven out of ten spread wagers confident the «Noles can
win by at least 15
points at Alumni Stadium.
Brian «Big
Dog» Harris had 21
points in the
win.
Over the past five years,
dogs have covered the
point spread at a 51.2 % rate — a far cry from the low - to - mid 53 % to 55 %
win - rate we saw in the early 2000's.
Washington was a home
dog getting three or four
points, the difference between a push and a
win.
Even with the sportsbooks giving road
dog Texas an additional half -
point, nearly eight out of ten spread bets remain committed to Robert Griffin III and # 17 Baylor picking up at least a three -
point win in front of their home crowd.
Over the past six years, since 2003 when SportsInsights.com started compiling «betting percentage» data,
dogs have covered the
point spread at a 51.1 % rate — a far cry from the low - to - mid 53 % to 55 %
win - rate we saw in the early 2000's.
This season, we saw five
dogs of 20 -
points or more
win straight up.
And despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines in a dramatic way to give home
dog USF an additional 2.5
points, more than eight out of ten spread bets remain committed to the 23rd ranked Mountaineers
winning by at least two
points on the road.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a half -
point away from road
dog Michigan State, slightly more than six out of ten spread bets are going with # 15 Wisconsin to
win by double - digits and secure the Big Ten championship trophy.
As a result of the sportsbooks taking a pivotal
point away from road
dog Iowa State, the vast majority of the betting public is pounding the 11th ranked Wildcats to
win by at least 11 -
points at Bill Synder Stadium.
After cutting the gap to safety to only three
points last week, a
win here would make the bottom half of the table even tighter, with a cluster of teams still in the thick of a relegation
dog fight.
Joe Namath, as a 18 -
point dog, guaranteed victory three days before kick... then never
won another playoff game the rest of his career (cue John Malkovich).
Dogs of 11.5 - 14
points have gone just 8 - 37 in the NCAA tourney, but have cashed in for over 25 units
won on the ML.
Reaction: Hodgson lionises England record - chaser Rooney (Euro 2016 qualifying) Report: Rooney sees off Slovenia to close on record (Euro 2016 qualifying) Reaction: Coleman foresees glory for conquering Wales (Euro 2016 qualifying) Report: Bale sinks Belgium to fire Welsh dreams (Euro 2016 qualifying) Reaction: Hodgson tells under - fire Sterling to toughen up (friendly) Report: England and Ireland draw a blank in Dublin (friendly) Reaction: De Gea uncertainty clouds Man United's horizon (Premier League) Report: Arsenal thwart Man United as De Gea departs (Premier League) Reaction: Liverpool prepare for life without «irreplaceable» Gerrard (Premier League) Reaction: Gerrard «devastated» after final Anfield game (Premier League) Report: Gerrard says farewell as Crystal Palace poop party (Premier League) Reaction: Arsenal manager Wenger irked by Swansea «accident» (Premier League) Report: Arsenal sunk by Fabiański and Gomis (Premier League) Reaction: Rodgers accuses Fàbregas as Liverpool's top - four bid fades (Premier League) Report: Chelsea close Champions League door on Liverpool (Premier League) Reaction: Mourinho steels Chelsea for challenges ahead (Premier League) Report: Hazard storms Palace to give Chelsea title (Premier League) Reaction: Mourinho feels the love despite Chelsea jibes (Premier League) Reaction: Arsenal «boring», not Chelsea — Mourinho (Premier League) Report: Arsenal stalemate delays Chelsea coronation (Premier League) Reaction: Fight for final places, Sherwood tells Villa (FA Cup) Report: Aston Villa end Gerrard's FA Cup dream (FA Cup) Reaction: Mourinho calls for caution as title beckons (Premier League) Report: Hazard fires clinical Chelsea closer to title (Premier League) Reaction: Van Gaal says Man United top
dogs after derby romp (Premier League) Report: Man City blown away by Man United fightback (Premier League) Reaction: Hodgson urges Kane to build on perfect debut (Euro 2016 qualifying) Report: Rooney, Kane on target in England stroll (Euro 2016 qualifying) Reaction: Van Gaal beams after Man United storm Anfield (Premier League) Reaction: Gerrard sorry for red card against Man United (Premier League) Report: Gerrard off as Mata brace ends Liverpool run (Premier League) Reaction: PSG revel in Champions League breakthrough (Champions League) Report: Thiago Silva and 10 - man PSG claim Chelsea revenge (Champions League) Reaction: Wenger thrilled as Welbeck proves
point (FA Cup) Report: Old boy Welbeck fells Man United in FA Cup (FA Cup) Reaction: Rodgers rues cost of Liverpool resurgence (FA Cup) Report: Blackburn intrude on Gerrard's FA Cup dream (FA Cup) Reaction: Wembley
win leaves Mourinho feeling «like a kid» (Capital One Cup) Report: Clinical Chelsea earn Mourinho third League Cup (Capital One Cup) Reaction: Man City stirrings give Pellegrini Barça hope (Champions League) Report: Suárez scores brace as Barcelona down Man City (Champions League) Reaction: Rodgers plots Liverpool assault on top four (Premier League) Report: Coutinho rocket sinks seething Southampton (Premier League) Reaction: Van Gaal defends Man United's «long - ball» tactics (Premier League) Report: Blind late show rescues spluttering Man United (Premier League) Reaction: Pellegrini remains hopeful as Mourinho sulks (Premier League) Report: Silva keeps Man City on Chelsea's heels (Premier League) Reaction: Mourinho cries foul over Costa «stamp» claims (Capital One Cup) Report: Ivanović sinks Liverpool as Chelsea reach final (Capital One Cup) Reaction: Odds were against Man United — Van Gaal (FA Cup) Report: Minnows Cambridge hold Man United in FA Cup (FA Cup) Reaction: Rodgers buoyed by Sterling - inspired Liverpool (Capital One Cup) Report: Sterling slalom checks Chelsea in League Cup (Capital One Cup) Reaction: Arsenal masterclass sets standard, says Wenger (Premier League) Report: Cazorla stars as Arsenal stun Man City (Premier League) Reaction: Van Gaal defends methods after United defeat (Premier League) Report: Tadić strike punishes shot - shy Man United (Premier League) Report: Bloodied Skrtel earns Liverpool a
point (Premier League) Reaction: In - form United «forcing luck», says Van Gaal (Premier League) Report: De Gea stars as United deepen Liverpool gloom (Premier League) Reaction: Liverpool will «fight» for return — Rodgers (Champions League) Report: Basel thwart Liverpool to reach last 16 (Champions League) Reaction: Van Persie rescued United, admits Van Gaal (Premier League) Report: Van Persie sends lacklustre Man United third (Premier League) Report: Agüero undoes Southampton as Man City go second (Premier League) Report: Stunning Agüero treble gives Man City hope (Champions League) Reaction: Hodgson dismayed by England fan chants (friendly) Report: Rooney at the double as England silence Scots (friendly) Report: Rooney, Welbeck inspire England fightback (Euro 2016 qualifying) Report: Tevez returns as Argentina overcome Croatia (friendly) Reaction: Man City have «crisis of confidence» — Pellegrini (Champions League) Report: Nine - man Man City left on brink by CSKA Moscow (Champions League) Reaction: Van Gaal says beaten Man United getting closer (Premier League) Report: Agüero gives City spoils against 10 - man United (Premier League) Reaction: Shocks are warning for England, says Hodgson (Euro 2016 qualifying) Report: Rooney on mark as England school San Marino (Euro 2016 qualifying) Reaction: Mourinho urges Chelsea to stay grounded (Premier League) Reaction: Wenger plays down Mourinho touchline spat (Premier League) Report: Hazard, Costa sink Arsenal in stormy derby (Premier League) Reaction: Pellegrini rues carelessness after Roma hold City (Champions League) Report: Totti makes history as Roma thwart Man City (Champions League) Reaction: Rodgers heartened by Liverpool resilience (Champions League) Reaction: Van Gaal wants more from match - winner Di María (Premier League) Report: Falcao debuts as Man United crush QPR (Premier League) Reaction: Hodgson hails Welbeck for biding his time (Euro 2016 qualifying) Report: Welbeck gives improved England
winning start (Euro 2016 qualifying) Reaction: Angry Hodgson dismisses England statistics (friendly) Report: Rooney rescues England in turgid Norway
win (friendly) Reaction: Wenger backs Sánchez to fill Giroud's shoes (Champions League) Reaction: Pellegrini gladdened by Jovetić display (Premier League) Report: Jovetić at the double as Man City sink Liverpool (Premier League) Reaction: Ancelotti predicts «new cycle» for Madrid (UEFA Super Cup) Report: Ronaldo still the boss as Madrid
win Super Cup (UEFA Super Cup) Reaction: Wembley
win sets tone for Arsenal — Wenger (Community Shield) Report: Vibrant Arsenal down Man City in Community Shield (Community Shield) Reaction: «Lethargic» Arsenal not ready yet — Wenger (Emirates Cup) Report: Falcao scores comeback goal to sink Arsenal (Emirates Cup) Reaction: Wenger enthused by Sanogo - Campbell double act (Emirates Cup) Report: Sanogo upstages Sánchez in Arsenal romp (Emirates Cup)
New England shocked Arizona narrowly
winning in the desert Sunday night but easily covering the spread as 9.5
point dogs.
Minnesota went from 1.5 -
point dogs to 2 -
point road favorites after an impressive
win over the Rams.