After the election, observers tried to explain how the Tories blew a 25
point lead in the polls at the start of the campaign.
With a 20
point lead in the poll, May's decision to call an election made sense.
Hillary Clinton holds a double - digit percentage
point lead in every poll of the state.
A twenty -
point lead in the polls may thus have seemed like an irresistible opportunity for the Conservative Party to call an election.
We currently have a 60
point lead in the polls over my Scozzafava - supporting opponent and we are confident of prevailing on Election Day.
Yet, just one point ahead at present, Labour have not enjoyed as much as a five
point lead in the polls since last April, while the Conservatives have not been seven points ahead since shortly after the last election.
A price freeze would be economic vandalism, they repeated, as Labour regained a nine
point lead in the polls.
Endorsing a fellow Democrat with a 44 -
point lead in the polls is usually a no - brainer — except when it comes to Mayor Bill de Blasio.
In theory, such a shift would decimate David Cameron's current 12
point lead in the polls.
The mayor, who enjoyed a 40 -
point lead in polls early this month, has pointed out that the testimony involves accusations of pay - to - play activities by the de Blasio administration that investigators already looked into.
Not exact matches
In the introduction to a series that will look back at the events
leading up to the election, Silver seems on the defensive somewhat, justifying his analysis of the
poll results and
pointing out that he predicted Clinton would be weak with the Electoral College and that Trump might prevail.
The presumptive Democratic nominee enjoys the largest gender gap
in recorded history, with a recent Pew Research
poll showing her
leading among women by 24
points.
Either way, Merkel seems to have little to fear
in her reelection bid: The most recent national
poll gives her a
lead of 11
points.
Steve Mitchell, whose Fox 2 / Mitchell
poll in Michigan found Clinton with an identical 5 -
point lead heading into Election Day, chalked up his miss to a very specific reason: Human error.
But given the insurmountable
lead of the opposition candidate, Tsai Ying - wen, who now enjoys a 20 percentage -
point advantage
in the latest opinion
polls, the summit will not likely upend Taiwan's presidential race.
Democrats still have a sizable 8 -
point lead over Republicans
in a generic House ballot, according to a new Monmouth University
Poll.
To be truly dominant
in any sport over a long period of time you have to be a bit of a sociopath, and once the Pats get a
lead they will continue to pile on the
points like they want to make sure to stay ahead
in the computer
polls.
The pledge to freeze energy prices received wide support
in post-election
polling, and when it comes to which party would be better at increasing people's living standards, Miliband and his party have a
lead (albeit, a narrow two -
point one) over Cameron and the Conservatives.
In this respect they point to the trend in regular telephone tracker polls like those shown in the chart below, and which suggest a fairly consistent erosion in the lead for Remai
In this respect they
point to the trend
in regular telephone tracker polls like those shown in the chart below, and which suggest a fairly consistent erosion in the lead for Remai
in regular telephone tracker
polls like those shown
in the chart below, and which suggest a fairly consistent erosion in the lead for Remai
in the chart below, and which suggest a fairly consistent erosion
in the lead for Remai
in the
lead for Remain.
A TWC News / Siena College
poll released this week found Akshar
leading Fiala among likely voters by 28 percentage
points in the district that has a GOP voter enrollment edge.
Despite countless
polls pointing to a narrowing of Labour's
lead, Labour's actual share of the vote has hardly moved
in the past year.
Since then, however, the «Brown bounce» that
led the prime minister's advisers to urge him to call a snap election has disappeared as Labour slumps 13
points behind the Tories
in the
polls.
The
polls in Scotland just before the last election showed a 21 -
point lead for SNP over Labour.
For instance, the most recent
poll in the table above suggests at least a 6 -
point popular vote share
lead.
With gusto, New York Republican Chairman Ed Cox again attacked former Gov. Eliot Spitzer today after a
poll released last night showed a 9 percentage
point lead for him over Democratic opponent Scott Stringer
in the city comptroller's race.
This puts pressure on Hollande from the left, and may just give Sarkozy an edge
in the first round — but Hollande for now remains 8 to 10 percentage
points in the
lead in the
polls for the decisive second round.
The YouGov
poll recording a healthy
lead over Owen Smith
points clearly to him winning when the result's announced
in Liverpool at the start of the party's annual conference.
Republican Fred Akshar has a broad, 52 - percentage
point lead over Democratic candidate Barbara Fiala
in the special election fill a vacant state Senate seat
in the Southern Tier region, according to an exclusive Time Warner Cable News / Siena College
poll released this evening.
Yet, the ease with which Prime Minister Theresa May was able to trigger the early election
in light of her 21
point opinion
poll lead over Labour over the Easter weekend appeared to cast doubt on its ability to deliver these aims.
But the average of the final
polls in 2015 had Labour a couple of
points higher than Labour are now, and the eventual Conservative
lead in 2015 was 7
points bigger than it was
in the final
polls.
Republican Fred Akshar holds a 28 percentage
point lead over Democratic candidate Barbara Fiala
in the special election to fill a state Senate seat
in the Southern Tier, according to a Time Warner Cable News / Siena College
poll released this evening.
In calling the snap election at this point, Theresa May has put a lot of confidence in her projected lead in the poll
In calling the snap election at this
point, Theresa May has put a lot of confidence
in her projected lead in the poll
in her projected
lead in the poll
in the
polls.
Ms. Clinton, a former New York senator,
leads Mr. Sanders by an average of about 13
points in the
polls.
In the first CBS News
Poll following last week's presidential debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, Clinton has edged ahead to a four -
point lead over her Republican rival among likely voters.
Labour's
lead by two
points in this week's Ashcroft National
Poll, conducted between Friday and Sunday.
He
polled 1000 people by telephone
in each of 16 different seats (15 Labour seats with 2010
leads over the SNP of at least 33
points but often 40
points or more; and 2 Lib Dem seats — Gordon and Inverness).
Labour's main enemy would have been complacency so Sawford and Miliband continually urged their supporters to turn out, even
in the face of
polling by arch-Tory Lord Ashcroft, showing Labour with a 22
point lead.
Labour
lead by two
points in this week's Ashcroft National
Poll, conducted over the past weekend.
Labour
lead by a single
point in the final Ashcroft National
Poll of 2014, conducted over the past weekend.
Taking the most recent
poll published by each pollster
in the last week, we calculate the proportion showing a Conservative
lead over Labour of more than 6
points as the pseudo-probability of a Conservative majority, but we allow
polls with exactly a 6
point lead to contribute a 0.5 to the average.
Some doubt that debates would have much effect on the election, given Cuomo's huge campaign funds advantage over Astorino and the fact that Cuomo
leads by more than 30
points in the
polls.
Katko
led Democrat Colleen Deacon by 23
points, 54 percent to 31 percent,
in a Time Warner Cable News / Siena College
poll released Thursday.
For
polls conducted
in the past week, on average the Conservatives still had a large, 14 -
point lead amongst men, but only a small, 4 -
point lead amongst women.
The
poll will be welcome news for the Conservatives, marking their best ICM result since they won a three -
point lead in March 2012, just before the «omnishambles» Budget triggered a wave of government errors and hammered the Tories» reputation for competence.
A YouGov
poll published
in the Daily Telegraph today shows the Conservative party holding a 21 - year - record
lead over Labour with an 18 -
point advantage.
Opinion
polls show de Blasio, who was first elected mayor
in 2013, with a 40 -
point lead over his closest rival, Republican Nicole Malliotakis.
The
poll found Lipinski has a
lead against a generic Republican, 51 percent to 20 percent,
in this district, which voted for Obama by a 14 -
point margin
in 2012.
Last month, «wrong direction»
led the
poll 49 - 41 percent, so this means a net 15 -
point improvement
in how New Yorkers view the direction of the state.
While Christie is currently
leading his Democratic gubernatorial opponent, Barbara Buono, by over 30
points in the
polls, he is running
in a very blue state, notes Sabato.
Both Teachout and Faso
led by at least 30
points in polling ahead of their respective primaries.