When adding betting percentage and
point spread filters, that winning percentage becomes even greater.
Not exact matches
When
filtering the data down to strictly home teams receiving less than 20 % of
spread bets, I was wondering what the winning percentage was for home dogs getting 7 or more
points that are receiving less than 20 % of
spread bets?
To perform this analysis, we first researched all home dogs, then added the
Spread filter to isolate home underdogs at various
point spreads.
The next step was to take the «
spread change from open to close»
filter and examine lines that moved between -1 and -14
points.
After examining Bet Labs» «
Spread Range»
filter, we quickly discovered that favorites of -3.5 or greater (or teams expected to be more than a field goal better than opponents) have posted a record of 42 - 22 (65.6 %) ATS and cover by an average of 3.25
points.