Assuming the Eagles play their first playoff game at home, here are Cooley's projected
point spreads against potential NFC opponents:
Penn State has a case for No. 1, but previous AP No. 1 Alabama somehow covered a 37 -
point spread against Tennessee, so expect no changes there.
Hi, my name is Evan and I like the Cleveland Browns to cover the (gulp...) 14 -
point spread against the Los Angeles Chargers.
The Colts covered in a win over the Bears in 2007 but fell short of a 4 1/2 -
point spread against the Saints four years ago.
Why the public loves Golden State: Even with Steph Curry out, Golden State still has plenty of firepower, making a two -
point spread against Indiana too enticing to pass up.
Not exact matches
It does not make picks
against the
spread, though we like to include the
point spread (in parentheses, courtesy of Vegas Insider) for comparison.
So we have gotten to the
point that public outcry
against the use of rape as a weapon in war can be viewed as helping
spread the very thing it is trying to fight.
It has hit 62 percent of its picks
against the
spread so far, an average all but certain to regress toward the mean at some
point.
The best - value bets can often be found by going
against these teams because the oddsmakers adjust the line to reflect the expected weight of public money; so that the underdog is often quested at better odds or receives a larger
point spread than is warranted.
With no line movement thus far,
spread bettors are giving the slight edge to Houston either securing a huge upset victory or losing by seven
points or less
against the AFC North champion Ravens.
Nevertheless, nearly seven out of ten
spread wagers are taking the
points and sticking with Eli and the G - Men to keep it within a seven
points at Lambeau
against Aaron Rodgers and the 15 - 1 Packers (Sunday, 4:30 PM ET).
Tuesday's St. Petersburg Bowl was the first game of this bowl season to fit the system and saw Marshall, a 5 -
point underdog
against Florida International, close with 30 % of all
spread bets.
As a result, just over six out of ten
spread bets are riding the wave and taking the
points in hopes of Philadelphia keeping it within a field goal in Dallas
against the Jekyll and Hyde «Boys.
Oakland has this week's biggest
spread as a 12.5 -
point underdog
against the Broncos.
The Falcons have dominated the Lions
against the
spread for many years and they lay just four
points on the Week 16 odds menu.
Back on December 28th, the Bobcats were 10.5
point dogs
against the Heat, and received just 17 % of
spread wagers.
It's fascinating to see that oddsmakers believe the drop off from Cutler to Clausen is worth 5.5 -
points to the
spread, especially when you look at Cutler's poor performance
against the
spread (ATS).
The table below displays the
against the
spread (ATS) results of late season NFL games for home underdogs at two different
point -
spread levels since the start of the 2003 season.
With the line remaining static for this NFC South matchup, nearly seven out of ten
spread wagers remain confident in the 7 - 5 Falcons winning by four
points or more on the road
against Cam Newton and the 4 - 8 Panthers.
Despite the Patriots nearly imploding last week at home
against the winless Colts, nearly nine out of ten
spread bets are sticking with New England to cover in DC, especially after the sportsbooks adjusted their lines to take a pivotal 1.5
points away from the home dog «Skins.
Against the
Spread (ATS)-- Refers to taking points (aka the spread) as opposed to taking a game straig
Spread (ATS)-- Refers to taking
points (aka the
spread) as opposed to taking a game straig
spread) as opposed to taking a game straight up.
The Lions opened as 12 -
point favorites
against the Browns and 57 % of
spread bettors are laying double - digits with Detroit.
Nevertheless, the public remains in favor of Kellen Moore and Co. bouncing back in a big way, with just over seven out of ten
spread bets in favor of Boise posting a 19
point victory or more on the road
against the Mountain West rival Aztecs.
The Bulldogs have never received less than 21 % of
spread tickets, which happened when they closed as 31 -
point favorites
against Loyola Marymount back on February 11, 2008 (they won 83 - 50).
However, the big surprise was how well Christian Ponder played
against the vaunted Packers D. With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take away a big
point from the visiting Vikings, six out of 10
spread wagers are banking on Newton to lead Carolina to a four
point or more victory at home.
With the Rams (+11.5) covering the
spread in their season finale
against the 49ers, home dogs of 8 +
points are now 20 - 8 since 2003.
Buffalo is 0 - 3
against the
spread as an underdog this season, losing each of those games by 20
points or more, according to Odds Shark.
No conference championship has featured a larger
spread since the 2013 ACC Championship when Florida State closed as 30 -
point favorites
against Duke.
Another winless team looking to get off the ground, the Giants have gained a
point on the
spread against Tampa Bay.
That's not even necessarily a bad thing, seeing as ranked teams perform better
against the
spread early in the season than at any other
point.
As a result, nearly six out of ten
spread bets remain committed to Eli and the G - Men picking up at least a four -
point victory at the Meadowlands
against the 10 - 6 Falcons.
Even so, nearly nine out of ten bets are sticking with them to bounce back and cover the
spread against Ohio State, especially after the sportsbooks took a valuable half
point away from the home dog Buckeyes.
Against the
spread attacks of Arizona and Oregon, USC allowed a combined 1,318 yards and 101
points.
Other than a game
against the Vikings, oddsmakers project all five of the Jags» potential matchups to be very close affairs, with
point spreads of a field goal or less.
Back in 2008, the line movement was actually quite similar when the previously undefeated Patriots received just 39 % of
spread bets as 14 -
point favorites
against the New York Giants.
-- The Miami Heat, who suffered a 107 - 96 loss in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, are currently receiving 77 % of
spread bets as a 2.5 -
point favorite tonight
against the Indiana Pacers.
NBA - The Miami Heat, who suffered a 107 - 96 loss in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, are currently receiving 77 % of
spread bets as a 2.5 -
point favorite tonight
against the Indiana Pacers.
The following night they received just 52 % of
spread bets as 3 -
point favorites
against the Jazz.
According to Nick Bogdanovich, the Director of Trading here at William Hill, Andrew Luck is worth «5.5 [
points] on his best day for the Colts
against the
spread.»
But Michigan State won a non-Playoff version of the Cotton Bowl in the Cowboys» stadium last year,
against Texas school Baylor — so the Spartans aren't likely to be intimidated by a big
point spread.
At the time of publication, Kentucky is receiving 60 % of
spread bets as a 19 -
point favorite for Thursday's game
against Georgia, so be sure to keep an eye on the betting trends and
spread for this game for a possible contrarian betting opportunity.
At this
point in the year, the best performing teams ATS (
Against The
Spread) can be viewed as «overachievers» since they're continually performing well regardless of the line that sportsbooks are posting.
Back on February 4th, the Knicks were receiving 55 % of
spread bets as 6.5 -
point favorites
against the Nets.
Despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take an important half -
point away from the road dog Bucs, nearly seven out of ten
spread bets are sticking with Tampa Bay to win by four or more
against the maddeningly inconsistent Titans.
By last Friday, if there was a common cause left in town, it was the Knicks; after all, with Willis Reed hurt, there was no
point spread and no one to bet
against.
Conversely, a 10 -
point win would cover the 7.5 -
point spread, indicating that San Diego outperformed expectations and «played well»
against Jacksonville.
Betting on Home Dogs
Against the Public (at the 30 % level) resulted in just a 42 % winning percentage at various
point spreads in 2008.
As a result, three out of four
spread bets remain committed to Philip Rivers and the underachieving Chargers winning by at least four
points against MJD and the 3 - 8 Jags.
In particular, a scan of last night's results showed another two wins for «bet
against» underdogs (Philly & Denver covered the
point spread...
Despite the sportsbooks taking a big 1.5
points away from road dog Arkansas, nearly six out of ten
spread bets are taking the
points and banking on the # 3 Razorbacks keeping it relatively close
against # 1 LSU.