Sentences with phrase «point underdogs when»

Not exact matches

Chubb capped off a two - sack day by appearing to spit on the Seminoles» logo as the Wolfpack celebrated on the field, one final exclamation point on an afternoon when he treated the Seminoles as if they were the 13 - point underdogs, not NC State.

This injury prevented oddsmakers from posting lines until early on Friday morning when Sportsbook.com opened New Orleans as a 6.5 - point underdog at Carolina with an over / under of 43.

As we have detailed previously in this blog as well as in our series of Bet Sharp articles, there is excellent value betting on home underdogs from week 15 on — especially when dealing with home dogs of 8 + points.

The Pats are rarely underdogs, but it is profitable to back Bill Belichick's squad when they are getting points (23 - 9 ATS, +13.45 units per BetLabsSports.com).

In 2010, Berry did his best to do things a bit off - kilter — running when opponents expected the pass, passing when opponents expected the run, keeping things fast - paced (possibly not the best idea for an underdog), employing the underdog - friendly 3 -3-5 defense, etc. — and the results were decent; despite low overall quality, ULM won five games, three by a touchdown or less, and came within a one - point loss to UL - Lafayette of finishing bowl - eligible.

When the line actually opened on Sunday evening, the Bears were listed as 4 - point underdogs.

Mark (via email): What is the ATS record for College Basketball double digit (+10 points or more) road underdogs when only 25 % or less of the public played that side?

Well, underdogs are 89 -66-4 (57.4 %) ATS under his watch, and big dogs, teams getting 6 or more points, have gone 36 -19-2 (65.5 %) ATS when Biceps Ed oversees a game.

When the line actually opened on Sunday evening, the Bucs were 1.5 - point home underdogs.

We've also noticed that large underdogs tend to cover the spread at an even higher rate, so perhaps it shouldn't be surprising to see that the system results improve dramatically when the system focuses on underdogs of at least 4.5 points.

It's the games where they are 3.5 point favs, or even in the rare instances when they are underdogs, that they blow teams out.

Our past research indicates that bettors have a slight advantage when betting against the public, but that edge is magnified when focusing on underdogs of more than 10 points.

When one team garners more than 60 % of the bets, and is favored by at least 16 points, the underdog wins against the spread 56.5 % of the time, since 2004.

Kansas City's ATS win improved home underdogs of eight or more points to 19 - 8 (70.4 %) since 2003 and 8 - 0 since 2008, when applying this NFL Betting System.

Biggest upset in tournament history was in 2012 when Norfolk St beat Missouri as 21.5 point underdogs.

For those who are curious, Washington was receiving 17 % of bets as a 3.5 - point underdog back on August 30th when Robert Griffin III was listed as the starting quarterback.

When the line drops by at least one point on an underdog, our results improve tremendously.

It's also interesting to note that although underdogs are traditionally undervalued, this edge only becomes apparent when focusing on conference games or large underdogs — defined by dogs of at least 10 points.

When an underdog of 3.5 + points is receives less than 30 % of spread bets, they have gone 7 - 4 ATS.

When we focus on underdogs of at least 3 - points our units earned remains essentially unchanged, however, with fewer overall system matches we're able to increase our return on investment by more than 5 %.

According to our historical database, Florida State has been a favorite of at least 3 - points in every game dating back to September 24, 2011 when they were 1.5 - point underdogs at Clemson.

Our research also found that underdogs of at least 7 - points have been historically undervalued which is particularly significant when you consider that there are seven teams fitting that criteria in Week 14.

The table below, which uses line data from Pinnacle, shows how underdogs of 3 + points have fared when layering on the following filters.

That record improves measurably when we look at underdogs of at least 3 - points.

When they're an underdog of at least 8 - points, that record improves to 141 - 131 (51.8 %) and when they're a home underdog of at least 8 - points that winning percentage skyrockets to 69.When they're an underdog of at least 8 - points, that record improves to 141 - 131 (51.8 %) and when they're a home underdog of at least 8 - points that winning percentage skyrockets to 69.when they're a home underdog of at least 8 - points that winning percentage skyrockets to 69.4 %.

Since 2003 underdogs of 10 + points have gone 209 - 175 ATS with +21.87 units including a 36 - 22 ATS record (+12.32 units) when we focus on home teams.

A recent blog post on Sports Insights posed the following questions: What's the most profitable course of action when betting a 2.5 - point underdog?

When the Texans come to Gillette Stadium Sunday Jan. 13, they'll be 9.5 - point underdogs in the AFC divisional playoff matchup.

In order to keep the results consistent, I used 2007, when the NFL moved the first round of bye weeks to Week 4, as my starting point (Week 3 underdogs that started the season winless ATS covered 66.7 percent of the time from 2003 to 2006).

Texas is rarely a home underdog but the Longhorns have performed well when getting points in Austin: 3 - 10 SU and 5 - 8 ATS.

Dalton is 64.3 % ATS as an underdog and has only had one losing season against - the - spread when getting points.