Projections in 2007 indicated that by the middle of the century loss of Arctic ice will have reduced the 22,000
polar bear population by two - thirds.
Recent estimates suggest a 60 % reduction of
the polar bear population by the year 2050.
Not exact matches
A comprehensive review (pdf)
by the US Fish and Wildlife Service concluded that shrinking sea ice is the primary cause for the decline seen in these
populations, and it recently proposed listing
polar bears as threatened (pdf) under the Endangered Species Act.
So how to explain the increase in the
polar bear population from 5,000 in 1950 to 25,000 today, as documented
by the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service?
Steven C. Amstrup, the federal biologist who led an analysis last year concluding that the world's
polar bear population could shrink two thirds
by 2050 under moderate projections for retreating summer sea ice, is once again in the field along Alaska's Arctic coast, studying this year's brood of cubs, yearlings and mothers.
I do not want to draw any conclusions as to the threat to the
polar bear populations posed
by the ongoing environmental changes / future warming of the Arctic.
RE - Sanjong Thanpa: «So how to explain the increase in the
polar bear population from 5,000 in 1950 to 25,000 today, as documented
by the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service?»
how to explain the increase in the
polar bear population from 5,000 in 1950 to 25,000 today, as documented
by the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service?
Regardless of whether hybridization rates may increase, at least for
polar bears any effect they might have on
population welfare pale
by comparison to the loss of habitat and subsequent loss of foraging ability.
Models created
by experts said such a dramatic loss of sea ice would cause a sharp drop in the
polar bear population and threaten their very survival.
The International Conservation Union, in its latest red list of endangered wildlife, gave
polar bears threatened status in May, projecting a decline of 30 percent
by midcentury from current
populations, mainly due to projected losses of sea ice in a warming world.
By the time a child
born in 2015 retires around 2090, she'll be living in a world with few wild
polar bears or Arctic
populations of narwhals, bearded seals, and ringed seals.
Taylor also debunked the notion that less sea ice means less
polar bears by pointing out that southern regions of the
bears» home with low levels of ice are seeing booming
bear populations.
In news that may be shocking to ClimateDepot,
polar bear population is affected
by non-climatological factors such as regulations on
polar bear hunting, just like India's
population is affected non-AIDS factors such as vaccination programs.
Based on such studies Dr. Derocher, chairman of the IUCN's
Polar Bear Specialist Group (PBSG) warned, «It's clear from the research that's been done
by myself and colleagues around the world that we're projecting that,
by the middle of this century, two - thirds of the
polar bears will be gone from their current
populations».
The BioScience study also analyzed the arguments made
by 45 science - based blogs about the impacts of global warming on
polar bear populations.
One
by The Guardian's George Monbiot discusses Ridley's claim that «11 of 13
populations» of
polar bears are «growing or steady.»
Therefore, due to entirely natural variations in spring snow conditions over sea ice (and thickness of the ice), 2
polar bear population sizes can vary
by region.
This natural variation in
population size is seldom mentioned
by those who rush to blame all
polar bear subpopulation declines on recent increases in the open water season.
This too is understandable as Derocher was invested in his earlier predictions that «
by the middle of this century, two - thirds of the
polar bears will be gone from their current
populations»
If that occurs, the premature removal of protection offered
by subnivean birth lairs may expose young ringed seal pups to high levels of predation, which may negatively affect
populations of ringed seals and the
polar bears that depend on them for food.
Watch the global warming issue zooming
by in a superficial manner and all the horrific claims — increasingly extreme weather events, imperiled
polar bear populations, skeptics who are paid to lie about the truth of all of this — sound like they are true.
If
polar bears are endangered
by global warming, why have
bear populations more than doubled in the last 50 years?
Susan Crockford is a
polar bear expert with a message that climate alarmists don't want to hear:
polar bear populations are thriving and are certainly in no danger from thinning summer sea ice supposedly caused
by «man - made global warming.»
Animal
populations decline for all sorts of reasons, and in the case of
polar bears, being hunted
by people is certainly one cause for concern.
Large margins of error in
polar bear population estimates means the conservation status threshold of a 30 % decline (real or predicted) used
by the US Endangered Species Act and the IUCN Red List is probably not valid for this species.
They provided alternate explanations for the decline of
polar bear populations, such as stress from interactions with tourists, and suggested the
bears could adapt to a warming climate
by supplementing their diet with berries and vegetation.
The
polar bears of western Hudson Bay are on the front line of global warming impacts: their
population declined
by 22 percent between 1987 and 2004 and may be the first driven extinct
by climate change.
Wilder presents these numbers as a basis for saying how concerned he is that a longer open - water season in the Arctic could increase the number of attacks
by polar bears — and he's right, that's a valid concern now that the global
population of
bears is so high.