An active sun gives more zonal jets and / or more
poleward climate zones with less global cloudiness and more energy into the oceans for gradually strengthening El Ninos as compared to La Ninas and a gradual rise in global tropospheric temperatures.
Not exact matches
Widening of the tropics would also probably be associated with
poleward movement of major extratropical
climate zones due to changes in the position of jet streams, storm tracks, mean position of high and low pressure systems, and associated precipitation regimes.
«Changes in spawning timing and
poleward migration of fish populations due to warmer ocean conditions or global
climate change will negatively affect areas that were historically dependent on these fish, and change the food web structure of the areas that the fish move into with unforeseen consequences,» researchers wrote.
Climate changes that began ~ 17,700 years ago included a sudden
poleward shift in westerly winds encircling Antarctica with corresponding changes in sea ice extent, ocean circulation, and ventilation of the deep ocean.
Those patterns matched three rather dire
climate model predictions: that storm tracks — the paths along which cyclones travel in the Northern and Southern hemispheres — would shift
poleward; that subtropical dry regions would expand, and that the tops of the highest clouds would get even higher.
At the same time, tropical conditions are expanding
poleward as a result of
climate change, but at a slower rate than previously believed.
One of the trends in the study that is consistent with
climate change science, in general, was the
poleward migrations of these toxic algae, particularly in the North Atlantic.
Climate models predict expanding Hadley Cells as the climate warms, meaning a poleward expansion of the subtropical desert
Climate models predict expanding Hadley Cells as the
climate warms, meaning a poleward expansion of the subtropical desert
climate warms, meaning a
poleward expansion of the subtropical desert zones.
As isotherms move up the mountainside and
poleward, so does the
climate zone in which a given species can survive.
Wild species have responded to
climate change, with three - quarters of marine species shifting their ranges
poleward as much as 1000 km [44], [103] and more than half of terrestrial species shifting ranges
poleward as much as 600 km and upward as much as 400 m [104].
This paper is an assessment of the current
climate poleward heat transport.
Changes here have a long term effect, affecting the strength of the north - ward horizontal flow of the Atlantic's upper warm layer, thereby altering the oceanic
poleward heat transport and the distribution of sea surface temperature (SST — AMO), the presumed source of the (
climate) natural variability.
So, I was curious about your recent paper and whether there was any discussion of changes in the THC
poleward of the GIS shelf vs the data from the RAPID program line located at 26.5 N. With the decline in minimum extent and volume of sea - ice, one might expect to see more THC sinking into the Arctic Ocean, with consequences for both
climate and weather.
Losing ice, reducing the
poleward temperature gradient, and warming the entire
climate system should contribute to increasing the likelihood of anomalous storms.
Of course, there are plenty of negative feedbacks as well (the increase in long wave radiation as temperatures rise or the reduction in atmospheric
poleward heat flux as the equator - to - pole gradient decreases) and these (in the end) are dominant (having kept Earth's
climate somewhere between boiling and freezing for about 4.5 billion years and counting).
Arid subtropical
climate zones are expanding
poleward.
Both contribute to
poleward energy transport and therefore Western Europe's relatively warm
climate, but they are very different and conflating them contributes to public misunderstanding of the
climate system.
Scientists say the record drought is due in part to the expansion of the Hadley Cell — the atmospheric regions on both sides of the equator that circulates warm tropical air
poleward — which is known
climate change signal.
-- mostly land use changes
Climate zones shifting
polewards and uphill.
Landmark studies included Parmesan (1996), finding a latitude shift attributed to
climate change in a North American butterfly (Edith's Checkerspot, photo (c) 2004 Jeffrey Pippen, by permission), and Parmesan et al. (1999) with «the first large - scale evidence of
poleward shifts in entire species» ranges» from Europe.
But the broad long - term changes in the
climate projected by models are for trade winds to weaken while mid-latitude westerly winds strengthen and move
poleward.
If you have faith in the
climate models and have any knowledge of what they do with reduced
poleward ocean heat transport, then you are expecting cooling unless the AMOC should speed back up.
The YD shows strongly up in GRIP but is much less pronounced in the Antarctic cores because interrupting the AMOC turns
poleward ocean heat transport on and off causing abrupt NH
climate change.
Conversely, during low solar activity during the Little Ice Age, transport of warm water was reduced by 10 % and Arctic sea ice increased.17 Although it is not a situation I would ever hope for, if history repeats itself, then natural
climate dynamics of the past suggest, the current drop in the sun's output will produce a similar cooler
climate, and it will likely be detected first as a slow down in the
poleward transport of ocean heat.22 Should we prepare for this possibility?
So the emphasis shifted to
poleward shift of
climate zones with particular emphasis on rain and desert belts moving such that agriculture is disrupted by great changes in precipitation patterns.
Models also show that a change in
poleward ocean heat transport can create large changes in the
climate.
Here, boreal ecosystems will have to race
poleward in order to keep up with their
climates.
For example, one of the clearest predicted ecological impacts of
climate is a
poleward shift in the ranges of plant and animal species.
As I have documented before Parmesan has «inaccurately» blamed CO2 warming for extinctions due to lost habitat from urban sprawl, hijacked conservation success to argue
poleward movement of butterflies was caused by
climate change, and blamed CO2 and extreme weather for a population extinction caused by logging while neighboring natural populations thrived.
Sev Clarke, a prominent inventor of green and
climate restoration technologies describes the methane threat this way: «If we don't restore the ice, within 15 years methane and CO2 emissions from land and sea are likely to become so intense as to interfere substantially with normal cropping, to push land cultivation and population
polewards, and to render much of the tropics unbearably hot during summer.
Put another way, a warmer
climate will place greater demands on the atmosphere to transport heat upward and
poleward, but this will be done more efficiently, in a smaller number of events that each accomplish more of the required transport.
Wild species have responded to
climate change, with three - quarters of marine species shifting their ranges
poleward as much as 1000 km [44], [103] and more than half of terrestrial species shifting ranges
poleward as much as 600 km and upward as much as 400 m [104].
Climate models show the southwest U.S. drying in the 21st Century as the tropical Hadley circulation expands
poleward.
But
climate models show a consistent tendency for areas such as the southwest U.S. to dry out in the 21st Century as the sinking branch of the tropical Hadley circulation expands
poleward and carries drier air down to the surface [8].
Theory and
climate models indicate that the tropical overturning (Hadley) atmospheric circulation expands
poleward with global warming [33].
As isotherms move up the mountainside and
poleward, so does the
climate zone in which a given species can survive.
IPCC
climate change simulations diagnose that the Hadley circulation will weaken and expand
polewards as a result of
climate change.
The strong
poleward atmospheric heat and moisture transport may be one reason why the West Antarctic and Peninsula
climate appears to be more strongly coupled with regional sea ice concentration and extent anomalies than does the East Antarctic (e.g. Jacobs and Comiso 1997; Weatherly et al. 1991).
A
poleward shift of the Hadley circulation by 5 degrees in two decades is not
climate change?
This animation shows the
poleward retreat of permafrost (thick black line), and the loss of soil carbon to the atmosphere (red), as the
climate warms.
Bottom panels show the present - day, annually averaged sensible heat (c) and evaporation (d) fluxes
poleward of 60N for a 16 - member CMIP5
climate model ensemble using the RCP8.5 scenario.
The
poleward shift of the Southern Hemisphere middle latitude jetstream in response to increasing carbon dioxide is one of the most robust circulation responses found in
climate change experiments, and is predicted to occur during all seasons (IPCC, 2007c).
Recent meta - analyses indicate that on average, examined terrestrial species have been moving
poleward about 1.76 km / yr (reported as 17.6 + 2.9 km / decade), apparently keeping pace with regional temperature change, although species range shifts to higher elevations have on average lagged behind
climate (Chen et al., 2011).
The air circulation systems move latitudinally
poleward or equatorward depending on whether there is net cooling or warming of the air at a gradual if variable rate all the time and
climate shifts in any given location depend mainly on the changing position of that location in relation to the latitudinal position of the major air circulation systems.
Northern - latitude countries and high - altitude regions may become increasingly important for biodiversity and species conservation as the ranges of species distributions move
poleward and upward in response to
climate change (Berry et al., 2006).
xii) All regional
climate changes are a result of movement in relation to the locally dominant air circulation systems which move cyclically
poleward and equatorward.
This trend is shifting
climate zones and isotherms (lines of a given average temperature)
poleward, at a rate of about 50 - 60 kilometers
This means that when the Hadley cell extends
poleward as the
climate warms, the contraction of the high clouds remains largely unbalanced and the surface of the southern hemisphere oceans warms.
A robust feature of the response of
climate models to increases in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases is the
poleward retreat of terrestrial snow and sea ice, and the polar amplification of increases in lower - tropospheric temperature.
Due to
climate change the Hadley Cell intensifies: More air moves up in the tropics (so more energy and rain in the Intertropical Convergance Zon (ITCZ — monsoon) and more air moves down in the subtropics, that also expand in
poleward direction.