There is also an increasing
poleward transport of water vapour from lower latitudes.
While the baroclinic systems are efficient in transporting heat, the enormous negative radiative forcing (Fig. 2) associated with these cloud systems seems to undo
the poleward transport of heat by the dynamics.
Before 2006, our warm salt subduction mechanism does not allow the Atlantic to cool when its subpolar salinity was increasing, because
poleward transport of warm salty water and increasing subpolar subduction are parts of the same mechanism of enhanced AMOC upper - ocean transport.
Conversely, during low solar activity during the Little Ice Age, transport of warm water was reduced by 10 % and Arctic sea ice increased.17 Although it is not a situation I would ever hope for, if history repeats itself, then natural climate dynamics of the past suggest, the current drop in the sun's output will produce a similar cooler climate, and it will likely be detected first as a slow down in
the poleward transport of ocean heat.22 Should we prepare for this possibility?
John Wise - it seems to a be natural phenomenon tied to
the poleward transport of heat.
Temperatures there are strongly dependent upon
poleward transport of heat.
What drives ocean sensitivity is the sun and
poleward transport of energy.
Although more research is needed, there is some agreement among oceanographers that, for the entire area north of 30 N latitude, the ocean's
poleward transport of heat is the equivalent of about 15 watts per square metre of the earth's surface (W / m2).
Is less
poleward transport of heat by the Gulf Stream as the AMOC weakens a positive feedback for global warming, since that energy will escape more slowly in the humid (higher water vapor GHG effect) tropics than near the poles?
Not exact matches
Furthermore, even if the net meridional overturning circulation, which is broader than just the Gulf Stream, slows, that doesn't mean that the
poleward heat
transport will be reduced, as a warmer wetter atmosphere can also
transport a great deal
of heat (latent heat) to
poleward regions, which seems to be what has been happening.
[Response: The classical (i.e. Stommel) theory
of the subtropical gyre requires that the interior equatorward (Sverdrup)
transport that takes place everywhere but a narrow strip along the western edge
of the basin, precisely balance the
poleward transport that takes place in a narrow boundary current along the western edge
of the basin.
This paper is an assessment
of the current climate
poleward heat
transport.
Thus, the subtropical gyre circulation is a horizontal circulation with
poleward mass
transport along the western boundary, and equatorward
transport everywhere east
of that, and providing no net northward mass
transport integrated across the basin (which is what Bryden et al have done).
Changes here have a long term effect, affecting the strength
of the north - ward horizontal flow
of the Atlantic's upper warm layer, thereby altering the oceanic
poleward heat
transport and the distribution
of sea surface temperature (SST — AMO), the presumed source
of the (climate) natural variability.
Also, the overall number
of ozone molecules destroyed in a vertical column
of air was pretty much the same as the number
of molecules
transported into this column by the average
poleward and downward
transport of air in the stratosphere.
In any case, ocean data showed a slight slowing
of the
poleward water
transport, not the increase that the AMO explanation called for.
More recently hurricanes have been implicated as heat pumps responsible for up to 15 %
of poleward oceanic heat
transport.
RE # 11 The role
of hurricanes in the
poleward heat
transport immediately leads to the question, how is the
poleward heat
transport divided between atmospheric and oceanic routes?
I would suggest these small aerosols have a large effect on the saturated adiabatic cooling and heating cycles and the
transport of water vapor latent heat
poleward.
As the ocean circulation takes up the role
of transporting heat
poleward the atmospheric circulation spins down.
Scientists are still trying to decide how the
poleward heat
transport will be affected by global warming — but the rapid changes at the poles seem to involve a lot
of heat
transport into that region via both the atmosphere and the oceans.
Both contribute to
poleward energy
transport and therefore Western Europe's relatively warm climate, but they are very different and conflating them contributes to public misunderstanding
of the climate system.
You have variations in
poleward heat
transport and a change in the intensity
of Sudden Stratospheric Warming events.
Without continents, you might not get any western boundary currents, which could alter the balance
of poleward heat
transport and really affect the general circulation
of the atmosphere.
The cooler Arctic then promoted formation
of North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW in the upper frame
of Figure 13) as salty Atlantic waters
transported poleward cooled and brine rejection increased as more Arctic sea ice formed.
Note that there is also
poleward transport in the shallow currents at the western edge
of each subtropical ocean gyre - known as western boundary currents.
The vertical transfer
of energy is directly proportional to the
poleward transport or advection
of heat.
If you have faith in the climate models and have any knowledge
of what they do with reduced
poleward ocean heat
transport, then you are expecting cooling unless the AMOC should speed back up.
In our model simulations this weakens the AMOC and
poleward ocean heat
transport, and diminishes the contribution
of ocean heat
transport to the reduction
of Arctic sea ice extent.
Hence an eastward - directed wind on the
poleward side
of the subtropical anticyclone would
transport the surface layer
of the ocean to the south.
The conventional view on the connection between the AMOC and Arctic sea ice is that a weakening
of the AMOC should reduce ocean
poleward heat
transport and, hence, expand sea ice.
They forced the model with CO2 and happened to catch it when it was in the process
of increasing
poleward ocean heat
transport.
Warm currents
transport heat from lower latitudes
poleward and tend to occur on the western sides
of oceans.
It is
transported poleward west
of the terrain and toward the Equator east
of the obstacle.
Put another way, a warmer climate will place greater demands on the atmosphere to
transport heat upward and
poleward, but this will be done more efficiently, in a smaller number
of events that each accomplish more
of the required
transport.
12: Indigenous Peoples).91, 101 Warming also releases human - caused pollutants, such as
poleward -
transported mercury and organic pesticides, from thawing permafrost and brings new diseases to Arctic plants and animals, including subsistence food species, posing new health challenges, especially to rural communities.165, 166 Positive health effects
of warming include a longer growing season for gardening and agriculture.5, 167
In which case, half
of the global warming in the last three decades is due to the negative feedback
of increased
poleward oceanic heat
transport as a result
of weaker solar activity.
For example, equatorward - moving weather systems — known as «transient eddies» — fulfill much
of the
poleward energy export required to balance the net energy input, with the energy
transport associated with vertical motion times gross moist stability less important than in the ITCZ.
Examining the role
of Greenland and the surrounding area on cyclone development and
poleward heat and moisture
transports
The Arctic responds strongly through teleconnections controlling the rates
of poleward oceanic and atmospheric heat
transport.
These oscillations are superimposed on a long term trend
of increasing
poleward ocean heat
transport.
All
of the warming since the LIA can easily be explained by increases in
poleward ocean heat
transport.
The impact
of these fluxes on the AMOC was generally small compared to the effect
of enhanced
poleward atmospheric moisture
transport and ocean surface warming; or it was only noticeable in the most extreme scenarios.
Waters moving in the western boundary currents adjacent to the major gyres (North and South Pacific and Atlantic basins and the Indian basin)
transport large quantities
of heat
poleward from the tropics.
To ascertain with confidence the extent to which deep water production impacts the ocean's meridional circulation and hence the ocean's contributions to the global
poleward heat flux, continuous measures
of trans - basin mass and heat
transports are needed.
Because saltier water is denser and thus more likely to sink, the
transport of salt
poleward into the North Atlantic provides a potentially destabilizing advective feedback to the AMOC (Stommel, 1961); i.e., a reduction in the strength
of the AMOC would lead to less salt being
transported into the North Atlantic, and hence a further reduction in the AMOC would ensue.
MOCHA array — provide a means to evaluate intergyre connectivity within the North Atlantic and allow for a determination
of how and whether deep water mass formation impacts overturning and
poleward heat and freshwater
transports throughout the North Atlantic.
Additionally, the intensified winds
of the mid-latitude westerlies, and a
poleward shift
of the strongest winds toward the Antarctic Circumpolar Current will also lead to stronger convergence
of surface currents, and stronger downward heat
transport.
The resumption
of poleward heat
transport by the THC produced the abrupt and very large NH warming.
However, the mechanism
of increased
poleward heat
transport can not be the only physical mechanism driving the reduced temperature gradient because it is in fact the surface temperature gradient that ultimately drives the flux
of heat
poleward.