«Were the FOMC to delay the start of
policy normalization for too long, we would likely end up having to tighten policy relatively abruptly to keep the economy from significantly overshooting both of our goals,» of price stability and full employment, Yellen said.
Not exact matches
«A reasonable case can be made
for continuing to pursue a gradual
normalization of monetary
policy,» he added in prepared remarks to the South Shore Chamber of Commerce in Quincy, Massachusetts.
After years at the effective lower bound
for short - term interest rates, economic conditions have finally warranted the start of U.S. monetary
policy normalization.
Since December 2015 the Fed has raised
policy rates three times, but it has yet to update the Framework to provide further details on the next steps
for balance sheet
normalization.
In our view, any decision on monetary
policy normalization will have to take into account some of what is happening outside of America's borders, including the hazy economic outlook
for China, the slowdown in other large emerging markets and the uncertainties that continue to plague the eurozone.
«We are working to ensure that our financial institutions and other market participants are prepared
for the
normalization of monetary
policy and the return to a world of higher interest rates,» Fischer said.
«The actual raising of
policy rates could trigger further bouts of volatility, but my best estimate is that the
normalization of our
policy should prove manageable
for the emerging market economies,» he added.
All eyes are said to be off Greece now and taking focus on the likelihood
for the Fed moving forward with
policy normalization.
When asked
for additional clarity during the March FOMC press conference she said only that shrinking the balance sheet is not predicated on a pre-specified level
for the federal funds rate and that overall monetary
policy normalization would be «well under way» before shrinking the balance sheet commenced.
However, section of the minutes focusing on
policy normalization highlighted many policymakers» willingness to wait
for more data and assess economic conditions.
We see scope
for the U.S. dollar to regain some ground against the euro as the Federal Reserve presses ahead with
policy normalization and U.S. inflation looks ripe
for a rebound.
Some would argue that by acting cautiously on balance sheet
normalization (without actively countering impacts of ECB
policy measures), Fed policymakers have partially ceded control of financial conditions to foreign monetary authorities, but the same can be said about other central banks as well,
for long - term rates are correlated among advanced economies:
We are not suggesting that we should brace
for double - digit inflation in the near future; a partial correction of velocity and money multipliers toward historical norms is plausible, however, and would put additional pressure on inflation, complicating the
normalization of monetary
policy.
New York Fed President William Dudley recently suggested that balance sheet
normalization could stand as a substitute
for policy rate
normalization, a view that if adopted by the Federal Open Market Committee could alter the market - expected trajectory of rate
normalization.
However, the Fed decided to continue the reinvestment
policy for several more years, pointing to cessation when «
normalization of the level of the federal funds rate is well under way.»
These conditions support our call that the Fed will continue gradual monetary
policy normalization, announce its balance sheet tapering
policy in September, and wait until December
for additional data, especially on inflation, before raising the fed funds rate
for the third time this year.»
«The question
for 2018 is less about the impacts of the tax cuts
for consumers and corporations than about how the Fed manages the pace of monetary
policy normalization amid a stimulative fiscal environment,» Duncan says.