Sentences with phrase «poll seat projections»

«For the exit poll seat projections to be right, Labour had to be wiped out in Scotland, the Liberal Democrats would have to be wiped out in their Tory marginals and we would have to done really badly in the English marginals,» the campaign aide recalled.

Not exact matches

It was clear from uniform change projections from the Scottish polls in 2015 that Labour were going to lose nearly all their seats.

With a strong ground game and poor turnout, Warren and Gantt were able to buck the local committee and polling projections to win the primary and ultimately the seat.

We have divided them into two categories: simple (poll average plus uniform swing seats projection) and complex (anything more elaborate than the simple models, although they are not necessarily particularly complex).

His seat projection, based on the YouGov poll and giving Labour an overall majority of 6, is:

A seat projection from the average of recent polls would give them 48.

But using projections based on recent polls, it says that even if either Ukip or the Lib Dems could tie with Labour on 20 %, the electoral system would mean neither would win more than 20 seats, with Labour remaining at 140 to 150.

For now a brief note on seat projections — it's rather silly to speculate about how votes would translate into seats in Parliament based on polls four years before an election but everyone does it «just for fun», as Peter Snow used to say.