Stock Market
Valuation model for predicting future returns (RAVI) Very
popular among our investing clients, the RecessionALERT
Valuation Index (RAVI) examines 10 - year cyclically adjusted trailing SP - 500 earnings, the SP - 500 index level, total stock market capitalization, Gross Domestic Product, total SP - 500 corporate liabilities, total SP - 500 corporate net - worth and percentage of investors allocation to stocks versus cash and bonds to determine 10, 5, 3, 2 and 1 year forecasts for the SP - 500 Total Return Index (dividends re-invested).