The most
popular valuation ratio, and one that Graham was fond of, is the ubiquitous price - to - earnings ratio (P / E).
Not exact matches
At Berkshire Hathaway's recent annual shareholders meeting, an investor asked Buffett about the relevance of two
popular measures of stock market value: 1) market cap - to - GDP, which Buffett once heralded as «probably the best single measure of where
valuations stand at any given moment» and 2) the cyclically - adjusted price - earnings
ratio (CAPE), which was made famous by Nobel prize winner Robert Shiller and was seen as accurately predicting the dot - com bubble and the housing bubble.
While current and «forward» P / E
ratios are much more
popular valuation measures, their reliability hinges on whether the recent record profit margins underlying those earnings will be sustained over time.
Five - Year Forecasts We summarize the
valuation ratios, historical returns, historical returns net of
valuation changes, and expected returns along with estimation errors for the most
popular factors and strategies in Table 2.
The price - to - earnings (P / E)
ratio is among the most
popular valuation metrics.
Popular metrics of aggregate market
valuation, such as Wilshire Total Market Index to U.S. GDP, price to forward earnings
ratio, price to book value
ratio, price to cash flow
ratio, cyclically adjusted price to earnings
ratio (CAPE), the
ratio of annual forward dividend to price (dividend yield), indicate the U.S. stock market is overvalued by between 10 per cent and 60 per cent.