Rather, favorable trend uniformity speaks only to speculative merit - the likelihood of
positive average market returns driven by falling risk premiums.
Not exact matches
In fact, over the past 35 years, the
market has experienced an
average drop of 14 % from high to low during each calendar year, but still had a
positive annual return more than 80 % of the time.
The central scenario for the Australian economy is a
positive one, with growth over the next couple of years at, or above,
average, a relatively strong labour
market, and inflation consistent with the medium - term target.
Now, it also happens that once the
market reaches overvalued, overbought and overbullish conditions, stocks have historically lagged Treasury bills, on
average, even when those internals have been
positive (a fact which kept us hedged).
A
positive Market Climate says nothing except that the average return to market risk tends to be favorable while that Climate is in e
Market Climate says nothing except that the
average return to
market risk tends to be favorable while that Climate is in e
market risk tends to be favorable while that Climate is in effect.
Their portfolio simulation approach: (1) is restricted to the technology, industrials, health care, financials and basic materials sectors; (2) assumes an extreme sentiment day for a stock has at least four novel news items (prior to 3:30 PM in New York) and is among the top 5 % of
average daily
positive or negative events; (3) makes portfolio changes at
market close; (4) holds positions for 20 days, subject to a 5 % stop - loss rule and a 20 % take - profit rule; (5) constrains any one position to 15 % of portfolio value; and, (6) assumes round - trip trading friction of 0.25 %.
But on the other hand,
market forecasts contain term premiums that are on
average positive, implying that
market expectations for Fed policy should also be biased to the upside.
The point I think that's important is that, approximately, bull
market returns tend to be two - X the
average because the
average is made up of the
positives and the negatives and the bull
market is mostly an extended period of excessive
positives.
Surz maintains that because the stock
market has generated
positive returns about 70 percent of the time historically, simulations of participants» wealth using traditional TDFs» portfolios forecast good
average long - term results.
Most of the time, a given set of
market conditions is associated with some mix of
positive and negative outcomes, so we focus on the
average of those outcomes in the expectation that doing so will produce good results over the complete
market cycle even if we are incorrect in specific instances.
Basically, a
Market Climate says «when these conditions were historically true, here is the set of returns that the market had - some are positive, some are negative, but look, the average return / risk profile is different in this Climate than in the other ones.&
Market Climate says «when these conditions were historically true, here is the set of returns that the
market had - some are positive, some are negative, but look, the average return / risk profile is different in this Climate than in the other ones.&
market had - some are
positive, some are negative, but look, the
average return / risk profile is different in this Climate than in the other ones.»
Signal values are 24 - hour
averages, ranging from -3 (strongest negative) to +6 (strongest
positive), available daily (if there is any relevant news) 30 minutes before
market open.
The low - volatility fund will target companies with lower volatility than the broad
market average, while the momentum fund will invest in companies that demonstrate
positive momentum.
«To the point where competition among the Oil
Marketing Companies remains high,
market price for both Brent crude and refined oil dropping in
average price terms, added to the appreciation of the Cedi against the U.S. dollar, and increasing national fuel stock; the Institute for Energy Security (IES) believe that there is enough
positive momentum and fundamental justification to move the prices of Petrol and Diesel lower on the local
market,» IES said in a release signed by Gilbert Richmond Rockson, Principal Research Analyst.
The stocks should also have
positive earnings over the past 12 months and should have a
market cap of at least $ 1 billion with an
average daily trading volume of at least 200,000 shares.
Caution is advised in this
market... Maybe it will repair itself... and on the
positive side, the indexes such as the QQQ and SPY are holding above key moving
averages...
The major indexes had tested and held their February lows and their 200 - day moving
averages, numerous broad
market measures flashed
positive divergences (which are seen at intermediate - term... Read More
It is possible to have a
positive return,
averaged across the
market, even in a stationary economy.
Like many people you might believe that there will be
positive years in the
market and there will be negative years, but the
average over the long run will be
positive.
During years when
market prices fell, price returns
averaged a negative 15 % while dividends still provided a
positive 3 % return.
Topics covered: •
Positive and negative correlations and how they affect the currency pairs • Which
market reports affect which currencies • The minimum,
average, and maximum move for each currency pair
Obviously, it wasn't perfect, but if you were a long - term investor, here was a simple strategy that produced
positive average returns that weren't correlated to the stock
market.
Gold was only
positive 43 % of the time in the worst bear
markets, and on
average, lost 1.8 %.
It was
positive the highest percentage of the time, 74 %, in bear
markets that lost more than 20 %, an on
average gold gained 6.5 % historically in this condition.
Some active strategies that appear significantly better than passive investing have
positive relative return not through distinctive stock (or other investment vehicle) picking or timing, but since their active investment strategy effectively increases their
market risk exposure (higher
average beta of their holdings, perhaps via a not even deliberate choice of which
market segments they overweight).
From 1951 to 2003, he found that the
positive momentum group gained an
average of 14.73 % annually versus the
market, which returned 11.71 % per year.
For the period 1949 — 2015, each percentage point increase in price of the U.S. equity
market is associated with a
positive 13 - basis - point change in the dividend growth rate in the coming year.4 The deviation of dividend growth rates from their long - term
averages is also persistent.
The real - dividend - per - share growth difference was a whopping 9.3 % lower (i.e., 6.3 % under the
positive /
positive scenario and the negative 3.0 % under the
positive / negative scenario) than its
average in the more usual case of both prior
market return and subsequent dividend growth being
positive.
The Emerging
Markets Timer is considered to be positive when the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index (EEM)-- which is composed of over emerging markets stocks that trade on major U.S. exchanges including American Depository Receipts (ADRs) as well as direct listed companies — is above the lower of either the 25 - day or 50 - day moving a
Markets Timer is considered to be
positive when the iShares MSCI Emerging
Markets Index (EEM)-- which is composed of over emerging markets stocks that trade on major U.S. exchanges including American Depository Receipts (ADRs) as well as direct listed companies — is above the lower of either the 25 - day or 50 - day moving a
Markets Index (EEM)-- which is composed of over emerging
markets stocks that trade on major U.S. exchanges including American Depository Receipts (ADRs) as well as direct listed companies — is above the lower of either the 25 - day or 50 - day moving a
markets stocks that trade on major U.S. exchanges including American Depository Receipts (ADRs) as well as direct listed companies — is above the lower of either the 25 - day or 50 - day moving
average.
Fama and French observed in their 1992 paper, The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns, that there is «striking evidence» of a «strong
positive relation between
average return and book - to -
market equity» [«BE» is book equity and «ME» is
market equity, so «BE / ME» is just BM, the inverse of P / B]:
Whether the
market return is
positive or negative, there will be individual stocks that do better than the
average return.
While the stock
market saw a marked
positive response to the results of the Consumer Confidence Index, if I were a retailer, I would be hesitant to go out on a limb and base any major business decisions on economic guesswork by the
average Joe.
Now is the perfect time to search for a job as the
marketing industry is enjoying
positive employment rates slightly above national
averages:
Debra Cafaro: We invest in high barrier - to - entry
markets that have above -
average growth in population, especially seniors population, high single - family home values, good job creation and
positive economic outlooks.
Positives are that the
average and median sales prices are at all time highs of $ 476,500 and
marketing time is at 115 days, the lowest in many years.
Augmenting the
positive metrics in the real estate
market is of course 30 - year mortgage rates, which are
averaging 3.94 %, down from 4.30 % the year before.
The
market has already experienced 23 consecutive sectors of
positive absorption, and for the past five years industrial completions have been at less than half of the long - term
average.
The two say that for the economy and housing
market to be functioning normally we need to see four
positive indicators; a healthy jobs
market with low and stable unemployment, mortgage delinquencies back near historical
averages, home prices that are consistent with an affordable mortgage payment - to - income ratio, and home sales in line with historical norms.