Not exact matches
For example, bristlecone pines are known to be CO2 fertilized, creating a
possible confounding problem if they are used in
temperature reconstructionA figure from Mann's own website suggested that the medieval warm period reappeared if bristlecone pines were excluded from the
reconstruction.
Do you think that in the same way that the Solanki et al paper on solar sunspot
reconstructions had a specific statement that their results did not contradict ideas of strong greenhouse warming in recent decades, this (the fact that climate sensitivity projections are not best estimates of
possible future actual
temperature increases) should be clearly noted in media releases put out by scientists when reporting climate sensitivity studies?
Comparing proxy
temperature reconstructions to instrumental
temperatures is a mistake and a
possible source of major errors.
These comparisons show no evidence that the
possible biases inherent to tree - ring (alone) based studies impair in any significant way the multiproxy - based
temperature pattern
reconstructions discussed here.
> As part of our network of collaborators, it is
possible to have access to > tree - ring patterns and related
temperature reconstructions from a wide grid > of chronologies outside Europe.
We have also verified that
possible low - frequency bias due to non-climatic influences on dendroclimatic (tree - ring) indicators is not problematic in our
temperature reconstructions... Whether we use all data, exclude tree rings, or base a
reconstruction only on tree rings, has no significant effect on the form of the
reconstruction for the period in question... These comparisons show no evidence that the
possible biases inherent to tree - ring (alone) based studies impair in any significant way the multiproxy - based
temperature pattern
reconstructions discussed here.
Further, our
temperature reconstructions, within age uncertainty, can be well correlated with solar irradiance changes, suggesting a
possible link between solar forcing and natural climate variability, at least on the northern Tibetan Plateau.»
For example, bristlecone pines are known to be CO2 fertilized, creating a
possible confounding problem if they are used in
temperature reconstruction
These comparisons show no evidence that the
possible biases inherent to tree - ring (alone) based studies impair in any significant way the multiproxy - based
temperature pattern
reconstructions discussed here -LCB- my bold -RCB-.
Given the issues with the fit prior to that revelation and
possible issues with Veizer's
temperature reconstruction (see Royer 2004, 2006), I stand by my earlier characterization.
He has examined the question of whether it is
possible for a 200 year
temperature excursion of 0.9 degC, a century to rise and a century to fall, would show up in the Marcott et al
reconstruction.
It is
possible than a century long blip in
temperature might not show up in this
reconstruction so in some way we are limited in how we compare this
reconstruction to the past 100 years of warming.
We have also verified that
possible low - frequency bias due to non-climatic influences on dendroclimatic (tree - ring) indicators is not problematic in our
temperature reconstructions...
Also of
possible interest: the three
reconstructions calibrating 5, 10, and 20 proxy PCs on the NH mean
temperature (as opposed to PCs of the instrumental record in the other 12) are all at the warmer end (i.e. they all look like the green curve).
... My question is Do the error / uncertainty bars within a proxy
reconstruction permit a viewer to infer any sort of
temperature line through it as at least
possible, or does one still have to hold fast to the mean?
His
reconstruction does not prove a different past
temperature, only the different results
possible if you ignore calibration of the individual proxies.
One approach to depicting the uncertainty in the reconstructed
temperature series is already done informally by considering a sample, or ensemble, of
possible reconstructions.
In any case, this bias would act to damp the amplitude of reconstructed departures that are further from the calibration period mean, so that
temperatures during cooler periods may have been colder than estimated by some
reconstructions, while periods with comparable
temperatures (e.g.,
possible portions of the period between AD 950 and 1150, Figure 6.10) would be largely unbiased.
If tree rings do not consistently follow
temperature what
possible use is there to a «
temperature reconstruction» based on the rings?
Recent work in modelling the warm climates of the Early Eocene shows that it is
possible to obtain a reasonable global match between model surface
temperature and proxy
reconstructions, but only by using extremely high atmospheric CO2 concentrations or more modest CO2 levels complemented by a reduction in global cloud albedo.
As opposed to the other
possible conclusion: the «problems associated with interpreting many of them as unambiguous measures of hemispheric
temperature change» remain an unsurmounted obstacle and the reason why the Mann
reconstruction goes up so sharply when the Briffa
reconstruction based on a very large population of
temperature sensitive sites goes down remains unexplained and a critical problem within the field.