Sentences with phrase «potential climate change scenarios»

Not exact matches

To better plan for potential effects due to climate change, scientists using the North American Breeding Bird Survey and Audubon Christmas Bird Count employed correlative distribution modeling, to assess geographic range shifts for nearly 600 North American bird species during both the breeding and non-breeding seasons under a range of future climate change scenarios through the end of the century.
Emerging evidence for variability in the coral calcification response to acidification, geographical variation in bleaching susceptibility and recovery, responses to past climate change, and potential rates of adaptation to rapid warming supports an alternative scenario in which reef degradation occurs with greater temporal and spatial heterogeneity than current projections suggest.
Sensitivity analysis shows that future fire potential depends on many factors such as climate model and emission scenario used for climate change projection.
Swiss Re used climate change scenarios by incorporating rising sea levels in our underwriting tools so that the city could translate feet of sea level rise into dollars of potential economic losses.
To understand potential impacts of climate change for societies and ecosystems, scientists use scenarios to explore implications of a range of possible futures.
and barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) in field trialsconducted in eastern Canada are explored and then used to estimate potential impacts of climate change scenarios on anticipated average yields and total production of these commodities for the Atlantic region for the 2040 to 2069 period.
As the new Ceres report notes: «ExxonMobil does not analyze or quantify the effect on the company and on shareholder value of any plausible greenhouse gas regulatory scenarios; in fact, the company states that «it is impossible today to assess the potential implications for shareholder value from initiatives to address climate change,» in part because no governments have established definitive regulations for the 2008 - 2012 Kyoto period or for post-2012.
A recent meta - analysis published in the journal Nature Climate Change, by Challinor et al. (2014) examines 1,722 crop model simulations, run using global climate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects of climate change and adaptation on cropClimate Change, by Challinor et al. (2014) examines 1,722 crop model simulations, run using global climate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects of climate change and adaptation on crop Change, by Challinor et al. (2014) examines 1,722 crop model simulations, run using global climate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects of climate change and adaptation on cropclimate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects of climate change and adaptation on cropclimate change and adaptation on crop change and adaptation on crop yield.
Other recent assessments using the FAO / IIASA Agro-Ecological Zones model (AEZ) in conjunction with IIASA's world food system or Basic Linked System (BSL), as well as climate variables from five different GCMs under four SRES emissions scenarios, show further agricultural impacts such as changes in agricultural potential by the 2080s (Fischer et al., 2005).
Access our latest modelling and analysis to gain insight into potential future scenarios for climate change globally.
Lofgren, B. M., T. S. Hunter, and J. Wilbarger, 2011: Effects of using air temperature as a proxy for potential evapotranspiration in climate change scenarios of Great Lakes basin hydrology.
Results from the climate change scenarios indicate that, if the current trend in the NAO continues, there is the potential for a continued advance to the start of the growing season by as much as 13 days in some areas.
The report considers three potential climate and development scenarios, each of which makes projections for the additional internal migrations likely to occur from climate change.
In the face of uncertainty about future policies to address climate change, companies are using internal carbon pricing in their strategic planning to manage regulatory risk and explore future scenarios for potential investments.
We assess 8 different potential scenarios for the future of the California flora in the face of climate change.
While it is impossible to attribute any single storm to anthropgenic climate change, sophisticated new models can be used estimate potential losses from coastal storms under a range of climate change scenarios.
Predicting the cost impact of various potential warming scenarios requires us to concatenate these climate predictions with economic models that predict the cost impact of these predicted temperature changes on the economy in the 21st, 22nd, and 23rd centuries.
Scenarios represent many of the major driving forces - including processes, impacts (physical, ecological, and socioeconomic), and potential responses that are important for informing climate change policy.
• The readiness of the nation to predict and avoid public and occupational health problems caused by heat waves and severe storms • Characterization and quantification of relationships between climate variability, health outcomes, and the main determinants of vulnerability within and between populations • Development of reliable methods to connect climate - related changes in food systems and water supplies to health under different conditions • Prediction of future risks in response to climate change scenarios and of reductions in the baseline level of morbidity, mortality, or vulnerability • Identification of the available resources, limitations of, and potential actions by the current U.S. health care system to prevent, prepare for, and respond to climate - related health hazards and to build adaptive capacity among vulnerable segments of the U.S. population
Another study examined the potential flood damage impacts of changes in extreme precipitation events using the Canadian Climate Centre model and the IS92a emissions scenario for the metropolitan Boston area in the north - eastern USA (Kirshen et al., 2005b).
In addition, scenarios.globalchange.gov provides scenarios: quantitative and narrative descriptions of plausible future conditions that provide assumptions for analyses of potential impacts and responses to climate change.
Climate change and energy policy with focus on energy technology policy assessment, energy supply policy assessment, renewable energy development and energy conservation, including energy and emission scenarios, assessment on energy and fuel tax, research on China's potential to achieve its energy targets and development of the Integrated Policy Assessment models.
The failure to imagine future extreme events and climate scenarios, other than those that are driven by CO2 emissions and simulated by deficient climate models, has the potential to increase our vulnerability to future climate surprises (see my recent presentation on this Generating possibility distributions of scenarios for regional climate change).
Though observational data is limited on the links between climate change and dengue risk in Hawaii, future climate scenarios predict warmer temperatures and wetter summers in Hawaii over the next 25 year, which will cause an expansion of mosquito habitat and potential dengue risk areas.
For the purposes of this report, a climate scenario refers to a plausible future climate that has been constructed for explicit use in investigating the potential consequences of anthropogenic climate change.
To illustrate the potential for stabilizing climate change at less than 2 °C above pre-industrial levels, Climate Interactive has created a scenario of greenhouse gas emissions reductions that only results in an expected warming of climate change at less than 2 °C above pre-industrial levels, Climate Interactive has created a scenario of greenhouse gas emissions reductions that only results in an expected warming of Climate Interactive has created a scenario of greenhouse gas emissions reductions that only results in an expected warming of 1.8 °C.
Prof Wadhams is co-author of the controversial Nature paper which calculated the potential economic costs of climate change based on a scenario of 50 Gigatonnes (Gt) of methane being released this century from melting permafrost at the East Siberia Arctic Shelf (ESAS), a vast region of shallow - water covered continental crust.
Develop a risk assessment of overall investments if the best - and worst - case scenarios for climate change play out in terms of potential financial losses.
«The scenarios from the research community form the backbone of our analysis of potential climate change impacts as well as mitigation and adaptation solutions,» said Ottmar Edenhofer at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and co-chair of Working Group III, which deals with the mitigating climate climate change impacts as well as mitigation and adaptation solutions,» said Ottmar Edenhofer at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and co-chair of Working Group III, which deals with the mitigating climate Climate Impact Research and co-chair of Working Group III, which deals with the mitigating climate climate change.
Weitzman goes to some length to explain to you why the asteroid and other similar potential scenarios are not analogous smoking guns, and that it doesn't lessen the need to reckon with climate change.
The hope, and the potential, of climate models for providing credible regional climate change scenarios have not been realized.
Chapter 12: Long - term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility Executive Summary • Scenario description • Projections for the 21st century • Projections beyond the 21st century • Regional climate change, variability and extremes • Forcing, response and climate sensitivity • Climate change commitment and inertia • Potential for abrupt change and irreversibility in the climate system • Quantification of the range of climate change projClimate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility Executive Summary • Scenario description • Projections for the 21st century • Projections beyond the 21st century • Regional climate change, variability and extremes • Forcing, response and climate sensitivity • Climate change commitment and inertia • Potential for abrupt change and irreversibility in the climate system • Quantification of the range of climate change projeChange: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility Executive Summary • Scenario description • Projections for the 21st century • Projections beyond the 21st century • Regional climate change, variability and extremes • Forcing, response and climate sensitivity • Climate change commitment and inertia • Potential for abrupt change and irreversibility in the climate system • Quantification of the range of climate change projclimate change, variability and extremes • Forcing, response and climate sensitivity • Climate change commitment and inertia • Potential for abrupt change and irreversibility in the climate system • Quantification of the range of climate change projechange, variability and extremes • Forcing, response and climate sensitivity • Climate change commitment and inertia • Potential for abrupt change and irreversibility in the climate system • Quantification of the range of climate change projclimate sensitivity • Climate change commitment and inertia • Potential for abrupt change and irreversibility in the climate system • Quantification of the range of climate change projClimate change commitment and inertia • Potential for abrupt change and irreversibility in the climate system • Quantification of the range of climate change projechange commitment and inertia • Potential for abrupt change and irreversibility in the climate system • Quantification of the range of climate change projechange and irreversibility in the climate system • Quantification of the range of climate change projclimate system • Quantification of the range of climate change projclimate change projechange projections
I will explore the potential for distinguishing among different radiative forcing scenarios via their impact on regional climate changes, illustrated by a particular case study.
Spearheaded by Bank of England Governor Mark Carney (also the head of the FSB) and the former New York mayor and United Nations special envoy on climate change, Michael Bloomberg, the TCFD recommends that companies across all sectors describe the potential impacts of global warming in line with a 2 degrees Celsius scenario on their business, strategy and financial planning.
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