Figure 2 shows the observed precipitation anomaly (top panel), the model generated
precipitation anomaly with SST forcing only (middle panel), and the model generated
precipitation anomaly with the effects of observed SSTs and the added dust source (bottom panel).
Not exact matches
Dr Vladimir Djurdjevic, from the South East European Virtual Climate Change Center (SEEVCCC, Serbia), presented the main activities and products developed by the SEEVCCC, which include the development of a Climate Monitoring Node
with monthly and daily data used to prepare monthly analyses of
precipitation and temperature
anomalies of the previous months, a climate monitoring specific for the region.
As an example, Hohenegger et al (2009) investigated the triggering of
precipitation in response to soil moisture
anomalies with a set of regional models ranging in physical formulation and resolution.
To name just a few of the climate impacts of the annular modes: the NAM is associated
with large
anomalies in surface temperatures and
precipitation across North American and Eurasia, in the distribution of sea - ice throughout the Arctic, in sea - surface temperatures over the North Atlantic, and in the spatial distribution ozone in the lower stratosphere.
I've presented videos and gif animations to show the impacts of ENSO on ISCCP Total Cloud Amount data (
with cautions about that dataset), CAMS - OPI
precipitation data, NOAA's Trade Wind Index (5S - 5N, 135W - 180)
anomaly data, RSS MSU TLT
anomaly data, CLS (AVISO) Sea Level
anomaly data, NCEP / DOE Reanalysis - 2 Surface Downward Shortwave Radiation Flux (dswrfsfc)
anomaly data, Reynolds OI.v2 SST
anomaly data and the NODC's ocean heat content data.
It is instructive to compare these numbers
with those characteristic of a set of the years during 1979 — 2012
with no or only one major regional extreme event (in terms of land surface temperature and land
precipitation anomalies) in the NH midlatitudes, from late April / early May to late September / early October, as reported yearly since 1993 in the World Meteorological Organization statements on the status of the global climate (see also ref.
In particular, a stronger southern center - of - action of the NAO (i.e., a stronger high pressure
anomaly) and a northward shift of the SLP dipole nodal line is associated
with greater
precipitation deficits over southern and central Europe; and a southward shift of the nodal line accompanied by stronger anomalous westerly flow across northern Europe and Russia favors enhanced
precipitation and warming in these regions (Fig. 4).
Alaska Statewide temperature and
precipitation anomalies are calculated
with respect to the 1971 - 2000 base period.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air and the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil for March 2017 to February 2018
with respect to 1981 - 2010.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas for SW Europe
with respect to 1981 - 2010 for
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to March 2018.
Over ocean stretches
with a positive SST
anomaly air convection is higher (as the temperature difference between the warm sea surface and the cool air higher up in the troposphere is greater), so a higher likelihood for the formation of depressions exists and more
precipitation is to be expected.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature for February 2018
with respect to February averages for the period 1981 - 2010.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas for NE Europe
with respect to 1981 - 2010 for
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to March 2018.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air and the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil for April 2017 to March 2018
with respect to 1981 - 2010.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas for SW Europe
with respect to 1981 - 2010 for
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to February 2018.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature for April 2017 to March 2018
with respect to 1981 - 2010.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature for March 2018
with respect to March averages for the period 1981 - 2010.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas for NW Europe
with respect to 1981 - 2010 for
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to February 2018.
The best way to envision the relation between ENSO and
precipitation over East Africa is to regard the Indian Ocean as a mirror of the Pacific Ocean sea surface temperature
anomalies [much like the Western Hemisphere Warm Pool creates such a SST mirror
with the Atlantic Ocean too]: during a La Niña episode, waters in the eastern Pacific are relatively cool as strong trade winds blow the tropically Sun - warmed waters far towards the west.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature for March 2017 to February 2018
with respect to 1981 - 2010.
With regard to
precipitation anomalies in summer, ERA - Interim shows above average rainfall for Greece and the west of Turkey, whereas E-OBS indicates that these areas are below average.
During 2017, the season
with the largest negative
anomaly was the winter, making it the second driest winter in the ERA - Interim record in terms of
precipitation.
Vector wind analyses were computed to explain the composite seasonal
precipitation anomaly results in terms of different circulation patterns associated
with these two wet groups.
Annual
precipitation anomalies vary about zero,
with relatively dry periods centered on 0.5 and 1.4 ka.»
We will introduce and familiarize users
with the development of a repository for station - based climate data in the province, the production of high resolution maps of temperature and
precipitation climatology, and additional projects describing extreme
precipitation and regional climate
anomalies.
(D) The unconditional probability of a — 1.5 SD seasonal
precipitation anomaly (blue curve) and the conditional probability that a — 1.5 SD seasonal
precipitation anomaly occurs in conjunction
with a 1.5 SD seasonal temperature
anomaly (red curve), for each of the four 3 - mo seasons.
Rather, the observed doubling of the occurrence of 1 - SD drought years has coincided
with a doubling of the frequency
with which a negative
precipitation year produces a 1 - SD drought,
with 55 % of negative
precipitation years in 1995 — 2014 co-occurring
with a — 1.0 SD PMDI
anomaly, compared
with 27 % in 1896 — 1994 (Fig. 1 A and B).
In addition, the probability of a — 1.5 SD
precipitation anomaly increases in spring (P < 0.001) and autumn (P = 0.01) in 2006 — 2080 relative to 1920 — 2005,
with spring occurrence increasing by ∼ 75 % and autumn occurrence increasing by ∼ 44 % — which represents a substantial and statistically significant increase in the risk of extremely low -
precipitation events at both margins of California's wet season.
During 1995 — 2014, 6 of the 8 moderately dry years produced 1 - SD drought (Fig. 1A),
with all 6 occurring in years in which the
precipitation anomaly exceeded — 0.5 SD and the temperature
anomaly exceeded 0.5 SD (Fig. 1C).
In addition, the number of multiyear periods in which a — 0.5 SD
precipitation anomaly co-occurs
with a 0.5 SD temperature
anomaly more than doubles between the Historical and RCP8.5 experiments (Fig. 4A).
The fact that the occurrence of warm and moderately dry years approaches that of moderately dry years in the last decades of the Historical experiment (Fig. 3 B and C) and that 91 % of negative
precipitation years in 1995 — 2014 co-occurred
with warm
anomalies (Fig. 1B) suggests possible emergence of a regime in which nearly all dry years co-occur
with warm conditions.
Similarly, negative
precipitation anomalies are much more likely to produce 1 - SD drought if they co-occur
with a positive temperature
anomaly.
The probability that a negative
precipitation anomaly co-occurs
with a positive temperature
anomaly has increased recently,
with warm — dry years occurring more than twice as often in the past two decades (91 %) as in the preceding century (42 %)(Fig. 1B).
Precipitation in the Desert Southwest correlates significantly
with solar irradiance lagged 3 and 5 years, which suggests a link
with ocean - water temperature
anomalies transported by the Equatorial Countercurrent as well as the North Pacific Gyre.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas for NE Europe
with respect to 1981 - 2010 for
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to April 2018.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature for April 2018
with respect to April averages for the period 1981 - 2010.
When analyzing how
precipitation changes
with time (e.g., in the Amazon or Congo regions) it is common to explore correlations
with oceanic temperature
anomalies.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas for NW Europe
with respect to 1981 - 2010 for
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to April 2018.
At the meeting we will introduce and familiarize users
with the development of a repository for station - based climate data in the province, the production of high resolution maps of temperature and
precipitation climatology, and additional projects describing extreme
precipitation and regional climate
anomalies.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas for SE Europe
with respect to 1981 - 2010 for
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to April 2018.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas for SW Europe
with respect to 1981 - 2010 for
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to April 2018.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature for May 2017 to April 2018
with respect to 1981 - 2010.
Anomaly in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air and the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil for April 2018
with respect to April averages for the period 1981 - 2010.