When analyzing how
precipitation changes with time (e.g., in the Amazon or Congo regions) it is common to explore correlations with oceanic temperature anomalies.
Back in 2007, Xuebin Zhang and colleagues compared large - scale observations of
precipitation changes with climate model emulations.
Not exact matches
With changes in
precipitation levels and the availability of water, their livelihoods and their ability to stay on the soil that they've been tilling will be affected badly.
«As powerful as the cycle is, it is also surprisingly susceptible to environmental
changes — and humankind is imposing massive perturbations on Amazonia by both cutting down the trees and heating up the air
with greenhouse gases, which reduces large - scale moisture transport and
precipitation, and end up affecting even the untouched patches of the forests.»
Boersma and Rebstock looked at the cause of every recorded chick mortality in an Argentinian colony of Magellanic penguins, over a nearly 30 - year period, and compared these
with changes in temperature and
precipitation over the same time.
Widening of the tropics would also probably be associated
with poleward movement of major extratropical climate zones due to
changes in the position of jet streams, storm tracks, mean position of high and low pressure systems, and associated
precipitation regimes.
Dry places are expected to get drier
with climate
change, while wet places are expected to get wetter, but Crouch said that the particular
precipitation pattern seen in June isn't what is expected in a warming world, according to the National Climate Assessment that was released in May.
Extreme weather does not prove the existence of global warming, but climate
change is likely to exaggerate it — by messing
with ocean currents, providing extra heat to forming tornadoes, bolstering heat waves, lengthening droughts and causing more
precipitation and flooding.
«Looking at
changes in the number of dry days per year is a new way of understanding how climate
change will affect us that goes beyond just annual or seasonal mean
precipitation changes, and allows us to better adapt to and mitigate the impacts of local hydrological
changes,» said Polade, a postdoctoral researcher who works
with Scripps climate scientists Dan Cayan, David Pierce, Alexander Gershunov, and Michael Dettinger, who are co-authors of the study.
Variability of central European temperature and
precipitation shows correlations
with some major historical
changes.
Wrestling
with natural variability Scientists have looked for these
changes in rainfall patterns, but they are often difficult to distinguish because there is so much natural variability in
precipitation.
In general, researchers found wood frogs were more sensitive to
changes in temperature or temperature interacting
with precipitation than to
changes in
precipitation alone.
They found that the business - as - usual scenario comes
with large climate
changes the world over and would create entirely new patterns of temperature and
precipitation for 12 to 39 percent of Earth's land area.
His team also ran the models
with predicted
precipitation changes and arrived at similar conclusions, even though moisture levels can prompt more nuanced responses across species.
They found that
changes in these variables, particularly temperature and
precipitation, can cause significant levels of species turnover,
with certain types of plants dying off once the surrounding environment is no longer suitable.
«We need to look at the
changes in total
precipitation and the timing and distribution of run - off patterns and see how that lines up
with our current infrastructure,» Fahlund said in an email.
When
precipitation was
changed from snow to rain, the stream system became «flashier,» the team writes,
with the water that would have been stored as snow running off into the stream faster.
Over the next 100 years, Minnesota's iconic boreal forest and deep snow may
change into a deciduous forest
with winters warm enough for some
precipitation to fall as rain, according to a new U.S. Forest Service assessment of the vulnerability of Minnesota forests to climate
change.
Ichoku thinks one possible reason a decrease in fires didn't result in more
precipitation has to do
with the
change in the types of lands that are being burned.
There is other evidence that
changes in the Asian monsoon occurred about the time of the 1976 — 1977 climate shift (Wang, 2001) along
with changes in ENSO (Huang et al., 2003; Qian et al., 2003), and declines in land
precipitation are evident in southern Asia and, to some extent, in Southeast Asia (see Figure 3.14).
Increasing evidence suggests that urban heat island effects extend to
changes in
precipitation, clouds and DTR,
with these detectable as a «weekend effect» owing to lower pollution and other effects during weekends.
This expertise is needed to deal
with climate issues in the North Central US, where
changes in temperature and
precipitation could have significant effects on streams, forests, agricultural lands, and mountain ecosystems, in addition to the fish, wildlife, and human communities supported by these environments.
Direct effects are impacts to trees that arise directly in response to
changes in temperature and
precipitation; indirect effects are secondary impacts, such as increased number of fires associated
with warming temperatures, which then affect trees and forests.
For example,
with changes in temperature and
precipitation, ecosystems within Montana may shift to drier conditions resulting in
changes to vegetation types.
-- Along
with analyzing historical trends in temperature and
precipitation, we performed an analysis of
changes in extreme climate events since the middle of last century.
Climate model projections show a warmer Montana in the future,
with mixed
changes in
precipitation, more extreme events, and mixed certainty on upcoming drought.
To probe Titan's complex chemistry, Webb will investigate the composition of the atmosphere, watch clouds, track hazes, and monitor
changes on the surface that occur
with precipitation, geologic activity, or sea shrinkage.
In terms of economic impact,
changes in temperature and
precipitation patterns may result in damage to tourism and other strategic economic sectors
with growth potential such as high - value - added agriculture.
In the second real - time extreme weather attribution study in the context of the World Weather Attribution project the team found a 5 - 80 % increase in the likelihood of heavy
precipitation like those associated
with storm Desmond to occur due to anthropogenic climate
change.
A team of researchers has now explored
precipitation changes off the coast of western Indonesia during the last 24,000 years
with the aim to better understand patterns and dynamics of local
precipitation.
Malone has expertise in addressing the impact of glaciers on the water cycle, combined
with how
precipitation may
change in quantity and timing, which come together in the Himalaya.
Half the increase in urban land across the world over the next 20 years will occur in Asia,
with the most extensive
change expected to take place in India and China Urban areas modify their local and regional climate through the urban heat island effect and by altering
precipitation patterns, which together will have significant impacts on net primary production, ecos...
The probability of rainfall
changes very little throughout the month,
with the average chance of seeing some kind of
precipitation constant at 43 %.
A model by the Purdue Climate
Change Research Center in West Lafayette forecasts, by 2050, the full growing seasons will expand by one month; there will be 33 to 45 more days
with temperatures above 90 degrees; an increase in
precipitation between 14 percent and 22 percent; and 24 days to 36 days less snow cover.
If the Kilimanjaro glacier has survived earlier
precipitation fluctuations, what is different this time around that is causing its imminent disappearance, if not for something associated
with anthropogenic climate
change?
These in turn have non-linear effects on malarial epidemiology, via
changing spatial patterns of temperature and
precipitation combined
with the spatial pattern of human populations and the genetic resistance to malaria therein.
For example, reflecting sunlight would likely reduce the Earth's average temperature but could also
change global circulation
with potentially serious consequences such as
changing storm tracks and
precipitation patterns throughout the world.
# 12, David Young — It's thought
precipitation changes associated
with ENSO are mostly the cause of the 2010 drop: http://www.ouramazingplanet.com/sea-levels-fell-last-year-1915/
Our interactions
with climate, for far more than 99 percent of history, ran in one direction:
Precipitation or temperatures
changed, ice sheets or coastlines or deserts advanced or retreated, and communities thrived, suffered, or adjusted how or where they lived.
The increased temperatures have been accompanied
with changes in snow, sea - ice,
precipitation, permafrost, icebergs, landice, river runoff, polar lows, synoptic storms, cloudiness, avalanches, ocean circulation, and ocean acidification.
Although there is still some disagreement in the preliminary results (eg the description of polar ice caps), a lot of things appear to be quite robust as the climate models for instance indicate consistent patterns of surface warming and rainfall trends: the models tend to agree on a stronger warming in the Arctic and stronger
precipitation changes in the Topics (see crude examples for the SRES A1b scenarios given in Figures 1 & 2; Note, the degrees of freedom varies
with latitude, so that the uncertainty of these estimates are greater near the poles).
According to WHO soil water will be in short supply in many African countries due to global warming combined
with changing precipitation pattern.
Thus, new record - high
precipitation amounts are consistent
with the climate
change scenarios.
Chamovitz says that in our modern environment —
with its global warming,
changes in
precipitation, and shifting populations — we need to learn from plants about how they respond to their environment and then adapt.
When it comes to extreme weather, we always take the opportunity to point back to the last definitive international scientific report on extreme weather and climate
change, which found strong historic links for heat waves, coastal flooding and
changes in
precipitation along
with weaker links for tornadoes and hurricanes.
The water vapor feedback (a generally positive feedback)-- there is an roughly exponential increase in saturation water vapor pressure
with increasing temperature, and the relative humidity (at a given vertical level) overall tends not to
change a lot globally, though there will be different regional trends associated
with shifting
precipitation patterns.
These results are based on a comparison of observed and multi-model simulated
changes in extreme
precipitation over the latter half of the twentieth century analyzed
with an optimal fingerprinting technique.
For instance please see Trenberth, K. E., 2011: «
Changes in
precipitation with climate
change.»
Availability of resources such as usable water will also depend on
changing rates of
precipitation,
with decreased availability in many places but possible increases in runoff and groundwater recharge in some regions like the high latitudes and wet tropics.
Changes in extreme precipitation projected by models, and thus the impacts of future changes in extreme precipitation, may be underestimated because models seem to underestimate the observed increase in heavy precipitation with w
Changes in extreme
precipitation projected by models, and thus the impacts of future
changes in extreme precipitation, may be underestimated because models seem to underestimate the observed increase in heavy precipitation with w
changes in extreme
precipitation, may be underestimated because models seem to underestimate the observed increase in heavy
precipitation with warming.