Not exact matches
«What they've
done is identify the chain of
events from seeding to
precipitation on the ground, which has been sorely needed for the last 80 years,» says William Cotton, a former professor of atmospheric science at Colorado State University in Fort Collins who was not involved with the research.
While the models
do not reliably track individual extreme weather
events, they
do reproduce the jet stream patterns and temperature scenarios that in the real world lead to torrential rain for days, weeks of broiling sun and absence of
precipitation.
And more water vapor worldwide is related to the atmosphere being warmer — we have about 7 percent more water vapor in the atmosphere now than we
did in the 1950s, which is directly linked to the increase in heavy
precipitation events.
«This increase in water vapor has contributed to increasing total
precipitation in the fall season, but
does not necessarily mean an increase in extreme
precipitation events,» she added.
A new report released Friday by the National Academy of Sciences has found that such extreme
event attribution studies can be
done reliably for certain types of weather extremes, including heavy
precipitation.
No single weather
event can be attributed to climate change, but a warming climate
does load the dice in favor of heavier extreme
precipitation events.
However, higher temperatures
do cause an increased chance of heavy
precipitation events, and it is likely that the flooding in some of this year's U.S. flooding disasters were significantly enhanced by the presence of more water vapor in the air due to global warming.
«The President
did not refer specifically to hurricanes, but he
did refer to extreme
precipitation events.
Peer - reviewed literature about the effects of climate change are in broad agreement that air and surface water temperatures are rising and will continue to
do so, that ice cover is declining steadily, and that
precipitation and extreme
events are on the rise.
While not all urban areas within the Midwest have combined sewers for delivery to wastewater treatment plants, many
do (for example, Chicago and Milwaukee), and such systems are vulnerable to combined sewer overflows during extreme
precipitation events.
In weather systems, convergence of increased water vapor leads to more intense
precipitation and the risk of heavy rain and snow
events, but may also lead to reductions in duration and / or frequency of rain
events, given that total amounts
do not change much.
Another study, published in Geophysical Research Letters in late December of last year, found that California's
precipitation deficits alone
do not make this drought a historic
event.
You tend to see more flooding
events, because a warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture, so when it
does rain or snow, you actually get more
precipitation.
This information in the Tunesian National Communication
does not provide any quantitative estimates of climate variability and / or change on rain - fed agriculture, but the clear qualitative implication is that climate changes — both drought and heavy
precipitation events — will stress agriculture in Tunisia.
However, the report
does say it is very likely that there will be more intense
precipitation events over many areas, and that peak winds and rainfall rates from hurricanes are also likely to be higher.
Aggregates that defy locally your primer version of physics and in so
doing create albedo effects lowering temperature,
precipitation events lowering sea level when over land and altering temperature left right and centre.
the model
does not simulate any dependence of Northern England
precipitation on the state of El Niño, with a correlation coefficient of r = 0.01 and no visual indications that extreme
events behave differently than the mean.
During summer, most of northern Europe experienced above average
precipitation, as
did the Alpine region and the north of Italy and Slovenia, with a number of heavy rainfall
events heavily influencing the average for the season and leading to wide - spread flooding
events.
It is noteworthy that there
do seem to have been more severe
precipitation events since the global temperature trend started to turn downwards recently but I still see suggestions from committed alarmists that that is a consequence of warming rather than cooling.
Very heavy
precipitation events, defined as the heaviest one percent of storms, now drop 67 percent more
precipitation in the Northeast, 31 percent more in the Midwest and 15 percent more in the Great Plains than they
did 50 years ago.
Another aspect that the climate models don't seem to be predicting well enough is extreme
precipitation event frequency in various regions.