Following the seasonal evolution of the precipitation climatology, increased
precipitation extremes shift from the Central Great Plains in early summer to the Southwest in late summer.
Not exact matches
Rising CO2 levels have been linked to the globe's average temperature rise as well as a host of other changes to the climate system including sea level rise,
shifts in
precipitation, ocean acidification, and an increase in
extreme heat.
Averaging smoothes out day - to - day and year - to - year natural weather variability and
extremes, removing much of the chaotic behavior, revealing any underlying long term trends in climate, such as a long term increase or decrease in temperature, or long term
shifts in
precipitation patterns.
Shifts in the probability of
extreme drought seasons generally tracked median
precipitation changes; however, some regions skewed toward drought conditions even where median
precipitation changes were small.
HAPPI enables detailed analysis of the
shifting distribution of
extreme growing season temperatures and
precipitation, highlighting widespread increases in
extreme heat seasons and heightened skewness toward hot seasons in the tropics.
In addition, climate change is very likely to lead to more frequent
extreme heat events and daily
precipitation extremes over most areas of North America, more frequent low snow years, and
shifts towards earlier snowmelt runoff over much of the western US and Canada (high confidence).
We further find that years with
extreme geopotential heights in the climate models exhibit a Triple R - like regional maximum in the northeastern Pacific, and are associated with
shifts in wind patterns and
precipitation along the West Coast that are strongly reminiscent of those which occurred during 2013 - 2014.
These
shifts can also alter the intensity distribution (e.g. wet areas getting wetter and dry areas drier (Held and Soden 2006)-RRB-, potentially leading to more
extremes either directly (Portmann et al. 2009) or indirectly via teleconnections (Kenyon and Hegerl 2010), which would again lead to damages even in cases where changes in mean
precipitation could be beneficial.