Sentences with phrase «precipitation forecast on»

Figure 2 shows their 12 month precipitation forecast on the top half and a map of the accuracy of previous forecasts on the bottom.

Not exact matches

«Forecasts of stream flow are largely based on precipitation,» Woodhouse said.

The certainty of the forecasts is particularly important as warming leads to shifts from temperate to subtropical drylands, which leads to changes in precipitation and soil moisture, which in turn has profound effects on ecological services, provided to humanity, including the viability of certain temperate agricultural systems.

While Mora's models, based on yearly average temperatures, don't forecast monthly highs, lows or precipitation changes, they do show warming trends.

2) Soil moisture: memory in soil moisture can last several weeks which can influence the atmosphere through changes in evaporation and surface energy budget and can affect the forecast of air temperature and precipitation in certain areas during certain times of the year on intraseasonal time scales;

Even in «low emission» climate scenarios (forecasts that are based on the assumption that future carbon dioxide emissions will increase relatively slowly), models predict precipitation may decline by 20 - 25 percent over most of California, southern Nevada, and Arizona by the end of this century.

NOAA's precipitation forecast for the next five days puts over five inches of rain on a very large stretch of real estate from the Mid-Atlantic up to northern Maine:

CAS = Commission for Atmospheric Sciences CMDP = Climate Metrics and Diagnostic Panel CMIP = Coupled Model Intercomparison Project DAOS = Working Group on Data Assimilation and Observing Systems GASS = Global Atmospheric System Studies panel GEWEX = Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment GLASS = Global Land - Atmosphere System Studies panel GOV = Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE) Ocean View JWGFVR = Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research MJO - TF = Madden - Julian Oscillation Task Force PDEF = Working Group on Predictability, Dynamics and Ensemble Forecasting PPP = Polar Prediction Project QPF = Quantitative precipitation forecast S2S = Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project SPARC = Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate TC = Tropical cyclone WCRP = World Climate Research Programme WCRP Grand Science Challenges • Climate Extremes • Clouds, Circulation and Climate Sensitivity • Melting Ice and Global Consequences • Regional Sea - Ice Change and Coastal Impacts • Water Availability WCRP JSC = Joint Scientific Committee WGCM = Working Group on Coupled Modelling WGSIP = Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction WWRP = World Weather Research Programme YOPP = Year of Polar Prediction

«If the models do systematically underestimate precipitation changes that would be bad news», because the existing forecasts would already cause substantial problems, says Gabriele Hegerl, a climate - system scientist at the University of Edinburgh, UK, and a co-author on the paper.

For precipitation, using forecast SSTs leads to an attribution statement of the same order of magnitude but quantitatively on the more conservative side.

Worse yet, the snow on the ground — by lowering air temperatures several degrees — increases the likelihood that precipitation from forthcoming storms, like the one forecast for Friday, will tend toward the frozen variety.

Model precipitation «forecasts» over the Central Sahel were correlated with observations for about three days, but reinitializing with observed data on day 5 resulted in a dramatic improvement in the precipitation validation over the remaining 9 days.

Using simulation models that account for the impact of increased atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations on temperature and precipitation in the region, scientists at the Hadley Center for Climate Prediction and Research in the UK have forecast significant «die - back» of the Amazon rain forest by mid-century and a virtual collapse of the ecosystem by 2100.

AccuWeather offers a detailed minute - by - minute precipitation forecast based on your exact location in several countries, including the US, UK, Canada, Germany and more.

A beautiful app built with the idea of giving you the rain probability at a glance, Raincast makes it quick and easy to stay up to date on the latest precipitation forecast for your current location.