Sentences with phrase «precipitation forecasts in»

Assessing the quality of seasonal precipitation forecasts in Malawi and Zambia is challenging but necessary

Assessing the quality of seasonal precipitation forecasts in Malawi and Zambia is challenging but necessary

Not exact matches

The latest weather forecasts see slightly more rain than previously seen, but precipitation levels in Norway and Sweden are still expected to be 2 terawatt - hours (TWh) below normal.

Turns out there was some precipitation in the forecast and... Read

Turns out there was some precipitation in the forecast and it started raining Lady Gaga right there in the studio.

ADVANCES: Meteorologists can now detect precipitation changes at a smaller scale, making it much easier to forecast flash floods, says Jonathan Gourley, a research hydrologist at the National Severe Storms Laboratory in Norman, Okla..

The methodology developed in Lovejoy's two recent papers could also be used by researchers to help analyze precipitation trends and regional climate variability and to develop new stochastic methods of climate forecasting, he adds.

The certainty of the forecasts is particularly important as warming leads to shifts from temperate to subtropical drylands, which leads to changes in precipitation and soil moisture, which in turn has profound effects on ecological services, provided to humanity, including the viability of certain temperate agricultural systems.

Loss of the afternoon data would mean a «50 % error increase in [forecasting] precipitation rates in southern US,» according to a NOAA presentation.

These models can then be mapped against climate forecasts to predict how phenology could shift in the future, painting a picture of landscapes in a world of warmer temperatures, altered precipitation and humidity, and changes in cloud cover.

To check their model forecast, as the dry season has gotten underway, the researchers have compared their initial forecast with observations coming in from NASA's precipitation satellite missions» multisatellite datasets, as well as groundwater data from the joint NASA / German Aerospace Center Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission.

With the help of a warning system which measures the risk of dengue incidence using precipitation and air temperature, it is possible to forecast the outbreak of dengue fever up to 16 weeks in advance.

The forecast will include details like temperature, precipitation, humidity and wind speed for the place from where the search has been initiated or for a different location if the relevant name or zip code is included in the search.

And while that might make sense for the current situation, it is much harder to understand for forecasts one week out (where the chance of precipitation might change from 80 % to 40 % to 20 % to 60 % in a one - hour span for a period six days in the future).

A model by the Purdue Climate Change Research Center in West Lafayette forecasts, by 2050, the full growing seasons will expand by one month; there will be 33 to 45 more days with temperatures above 90 degrees; an increase in precipitation between 14 percent and 22 percent; and 24 days to 36 days less snow cover.

To solve this problem I looked at three patterns of the 6558 day period, overlaid them at the daily weather data level, and plotted the resultant combined signal for Precipitation, and temperature patterns for the USA, extended that cyclic interpenetration for a six year period, and plotted out maps to show the repeating reoccurring patterns in the global circulation, as a (6 year long stretch, we are now ~ 40 months into the posted 6 years long) forecast for part of the current repeat of the 6558 day long cycle.

2) Soil moisture: memory in soil moisture can last several weeks which can influence the atmosphere through changes in evaporation and surface energy budget and can affect the forecast of air temperature and precipitation in certain areas during certain times of the year on intraseasonal time scales;

How would they be able to come up with a precipitation forecast going out years in advance?

They struggle to capture regional detail and precipitation; none can successfully forecast the eminently predictable daily rainfall in the Amazon, for instance.

Even in «low emission» climate scenarios (forecasts that are based on the assumption that future carbon dioxide emissions will increase relatively slowly), models predict precipitation may decline by 20 - 25 percent over most of California, southern Nevada, and Arizona by the end of this century.

In Hampton Roads, forecasts of rain — such as the occasionally heavy precipitation Wednesday — almost inevitably mean an expectation of flooding.

This justifies, for example, the so - called ensemble forecasting in precipitation and flood prediction.

The forecast now indicates all of California is likely to see above - normal precipitation in the January to March period.

Nature has a very detailed discussion of these «holes» in climate science (regional climate forecasts, precipitation forecasts, aerosols and palaeoclimate data).

The weather service's long - term forecast calls for normal temperatures and precipitation through the rest of the winter — except, possibly, in western Alaska.

A study by the Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS) discovered, according to Phys.org, that «precipitation in Germany has increased by 11 percent since 1881 — and according to the forecasts, this trend is set to continue.

CAS = Commission for Atmospheric Sciences CMDP = Climate Metrics and Diagnostic Panel CMIP = Coupled Model Intercomparison Project DAOS = Working Group on Data Assimilation and Observing Systems GASS = Global Atmospheric System Studies panel GEWEX = Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment GLASS = Global Land - Atmosphere System Studies panel GOV = Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE) Ocean View JWGFVR = Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research MJO - TF = Madden - Julian Oscillation Task Force PDEF = Working Group on Predictability, Dynamics and Ensemble Forecasting PPP = Polar Prediction Project QPF = Quantitative precipitation forecast S2S = Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project SPARC = Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate TC = Tropical cyclone WCRP = World Climate Research Programme WCRP Grand Science Challenges • Climate Extremes • Clouds, Circulation and Climate Sensitivity • Melting Ice and Global Consequences • Regional Sea - Ice Change and Coastal Impacts • Water Availability WCRP JSC = Joint Scientific Committee WGCM = Working Group on Coupled Modelling WGSIP = Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction WWRP = World Weather Research Programme YOPP = Year of Polar Prediction

«The mechanism is most likely due to increased precipitation as forecast by global climate models,» said Bruce Peterson, a researcher at the Marine Biological Laboratory in Woods Hole, Massachusetts.

Here's an example showing how more torrential precipitation events are in the forecast for southeastern states like Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, and Alabama.

Despite a half century of climate change that has significantly affected temperature and precipitation patterns and has already had widespread ecological and hydrological impacts, and despite a near certainty that the United States will experience at least as much climate change in the coming decades, just as a result of the current atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases, those organizations in the public and private sectors that are most at risk, that are making long - term investments and commitments, and that have the planning, forecasting and institutional capacity to adapt, have not yet done so.

Nature has singled out four areas — regional climate forecasts, precipitation forecasts, aerosols and palaeoclimate data — that some say deserve greater open discussion, both within scientific circles and in the public sphere.

Here are some examples: # 1) «A Parallel Nonnegative Tensor Factorization Algorithm for Mining Global Climate Data» http://www.springerlink.com/content/u4x12132j06r40h3/ (from LNCS - Lecture Notes in Computer Science) # 2) «Dowinscaling of precipitation for climate change scenarios: A support vector machine approach» http://eprints.iisc.ernet.in/18799/ (Journal Of Hydrology) # 3) «Semi-supervised learning with data calibration for long - term time series forecasting» http://portal.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=1401911 (Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining Journal) There are tons that I can quoted, but the 3 references that I have linked to above clarifies my point.

Well, speaking only of Queensland, Chapter 11 of AR4 WG1, Regional Climate Projections, was very careful to make no specific projections for Australia and Queensland until 2080 - 2099 -LRB-(fig. 11.17), by when only those under 30 now are likely to be alive to verify whether its actual prediction of NO FLOODS in the Western Pacific proved correct: ALL 21 of the models deployed to make that prediction actually forecast precipitation at LESS than the average in 1980 - 1999.

Model precipitation «forecasts» over the Central Sahel were correlated with observations for about three days, but reinitializing with observed data on day 5 resulted in a dramatic improvement in the precipitation validation over the remaining 9 days.

Which is a bit strange considering a report from the European Environment Agency showing that temperatures in the Alps are increasing a twice rate of the global average with more droughts and greater seasonal variability in precipitation forecast.

Using simulation models that account for the impact of increased atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations on temperature and precipitation in the region, scientists at the Hadley Center for Climate Prediction and Research in the UK have forecast significant «die - back» of the Amazon rain forest by mid-century and a virtual collapse of the ecosystem by 2100.

The orb also displays real - time local water reserve levels and precipitation forecasts so that users can see their water use in context.

The physical link between SST and precipitation for any individual hurricane is not controversial, it is routinely exploited in the hurricane forecast models used by the national hurricane center.

In fact, the precipitation events that produced the flooding in Pakistan could have been forecast at the 5 - 10 day lead - time and, with an appropriate warning system, lives and property could have been saveIn fact, the precipitation events that produced the flooding in Pakistan could have been forecast at the 5 - 10 day lead - time and, with an appropriate warning system, lives and property could have been savein Pakistan could have been forecast at the 5 - 10 day lead - time and, with an appropriate warning system, lives and property could have been saved.

Top image: The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center indicates (by the brown shading in this image) in a forecast released Monday that California is likely to see below - average precipitation through Nov. 30.

The verification of seasonal precipitation forecasts for early warning in Zambia and Malawi.

From gentle spring showers to full - blown rainstorms, it's likely there'll be some sort of precipitation in the forecast.

AccuWeather offers a detailed minute - by - minute precipitation forecast based on your exact location in several countries, including the US, UK, Canada, Germany and more.