Figure 3 shows the relationship between observed surface air temperature and observed
precipitation frequency for 28 summers, demonstrating that summers were hotter when it rained less often.
Not exact matches
A decrease in
precipitation frequency translates into even more year - to - year variability in fresh water resources
for the Southwest.
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF ERUPTION Yellowstone's Old Faithful geyser is famous
for its near - clocklike regularity, but scientists with the U.S. Geological Survey recently determined that annual
precipitation influences the overall
frequency of eruptions in Yellowstone: The more it rains and snows nearby, the more often the geysers pop.
Mean temperature, mean monthly
precipitation,
frequency of hot / cold days / nights, and indices of extreme
precipitation are all estimated
for each country based on observed and modeled data.
Second Assessment of Climate Change
for the Baltic Sea Basin https://books.google.com/books?isbn=3319160060 The BACC II Author Team averaged
frequency of extreme 1 - day
precipitation totals above 15 mm and a... 4.6 Cloudiness and Solar Radiation 4.6.1 Cloudiness Records of cloudiness and solar... There is a trend of decreasing cloud cover over the Baltic Sea basin......
Without El Niño and La Niña feeding into the climate model, the
frequency of extreme
precipitation in California stayed constant
for the simulation's century and a half.
This is especially true
for the temperature extremes, but intensity,
frequency and distribution of extreme
precipitation are less well simulated.
This criterion may not be satisfied if observations are available only over a short time period (as is the case
for the vertical structure of clouds), or if the predictor is defined through low -
frequency variability (trends, decadal variability), or if there is a lack of consistency among available datasets (as in the case
for global - mean
precipitation and surface fluxes).
Accordingly, there is less certainty about the changes in
frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones on a regional basis than
for temperature and
precipitation changes.
Increases in the
frequency and intensity of extreme
precipitation events are projected
for all U.S. regions.
Given projected increases in the
frequency and intensity of extreme
precipitation events in the Midwest (Chapter 2: Our Changing Climate, Key Message 6), 57 it appears that sewer overflow will continue to constitute a significant current health threat and a critical source of climate change vulnerability
for major urban areas within the Midwest.
For the entire Northern Hemisphere, there is evidence of an increase in both storm
frequency and intensity during the cold season since 1950,1 with storm tracks having shifted slightly towards the poles.2, 3 Extremely heavy snowstorms increased in number during the last century in northern and eastern parts of the United States, but have been less frequent since 2000.11,15 Total seasonal snowfall has generally decreased in southern and some western areas, 16 increased in the northern Great Plains and Great Lakes region, 16,17 and not changed in other areas, such as the Sierra Nevada, although snow is melting earlier in the year and more
precipitation is falling as rain versus snow.18 Very snowy winters have generally been decreasing in
frequency in most regions over the last 10 to 20 years, although the Northeast has been seeing a normal number of such winters.19 Heavier - than - normal snowfalls recently observed in the Midwest and Northeast U.S. in some years, with little snow in other years, are consistent with indications of increased blocking (a large scale pressure pattern with little or no movement) of the wintertime circulation of the Northern Hemisphere.5 However, conclusions about trends in blocking have been found to depend on the method of analysis, 6 so the assessment and attribution of trends in blocking remains an active research area.
The
frequency of heavy
precipitation events has already increased
for the nation as a whole, and is projected to increase in all U.S. regions (Ch.
There are multiple studies associating extreme
precipitation events with waterborne disease outbreaks and strong climatological evidence
for increasing
frequency and intensity of extreme
precipitation events in the future.
While seemingly incongruous, scientists are predicting both more droughts and flooding
for the southeastern United States, noting that the region has already experienced changes in the
frequency, distribution, and intensity of
precipitation, a trend that is expected to continue.
Observed changes in short term
precipitation intensity from previous research and the anticipated changes in flood
frequency and magnitude expected due to enhanced greenhouse forcing are not generally evident at this time over large portions of the United States
for several different measures of flood flows.
«
For the high emissions scenario, it is likely that the
frequency of hot days will increase by a factor of 10 in most regions of the world», said Thomas Stocker the other Co-chair of Working Group I. «Likewise, heavy
precipitation will occur more often, and the wind speed of tropical cyclones will increase while their number will likely remain constant or decrease».
For example, the Climate and Health Assessment found that «rising temperatures, changing
precipitation patterns, and a higher
frequency of some extreme weather events associated with climate change will influence the distribution, abundance, and prevalence» of some vectors like the mosquitos that carry the West Nile virus.
The
frequency of heavy
precipitation events has already increased
for the nation as a whole, and is projected to increase in all U.S. regions.
More than one - half of the stations showed a significant positive relationship at the daily time scale between warm nights (daily minimum temperature greater than the 90th percentile) or warm days (daily maximum temperature above the 90th percentile) and heavy -
precipitation events (daily
precipitation exceeding the 75th percentile), with the greater
frequencies found
for the east and southwest coasts during autumn and winter.
Mandelbrot calculates Hurst indices and 3rd and 4 th moments
for 12 varve series, 27 tree ring series from western U.S. (no bristlecones), 9
precipitation series, 1 earthquake
frequency series, 11 river series and 3 Paleozoic sediment series.
«Since the weather prediction model simulated the
frequency and timing of summer
precipitation more reliably than the global model, its daily high temperature predictions
for the future are also believed to be more accurate,» added co-author Leonard Druyan, NASA Goddard Institute
for Space Studies and Columbia University.
However, even accounting
for the relatively large area of the GCM's computational elements (400 km × 500 km), Figure 2 shows that the GCM still overestimates
precipitation frequency.
Correlation (color) and regression maps (contour) of SST (left) and SLP (right) associated with the first EOF modes of annual
precipitation (a, b), low -
frequency precipitation (c, d), and total water storage (e, f), which are calculated using annual mean data
for the first EOF mode of annual
precipitation, 10 - year running mean
for precipitation, and 10 - year running mean leading with 5 - year
for total water storage.
Correlation coefficients are calculated using annual mean data
for the first EOF mode of annual
precipitation, 10 - year running mean data
for the low -
frequency precipitation, and 10 - year running mean data leading with 5 - year
for the total water storage.
This finding is consistent with the idea that soils provide a natural low - pass filter (integrator)
for precipitation variability, yielding the low
frequency signals in total water storage.
Changes in some types of extreme events have already been observed,
for example, increases in the
frequency and intensity of heat waves and heavy
precipitation events (see FAQ 3.3).
Hence, even as the potential
for heavier
precipitation results from increased water vapour amounts, the duration and
frequency of events may be curtailed, as it takes longer to recharge the atmosphere with water vapour.
The
frequency of heavy
precipitation events (or proportion of total rainfall from heavy falls) will be very likely to increase over most areas during the 21st century, with consequences
for the risk of rain - generated floods.