Not exact matches
Is it the case that evaporation will
increase primarily
over land while
precipitation will rise mostly
over oceans?
Precipitation has generally
increased over land north of 30 ° N
over the period 1900 to 2005 but downward trends dominate the tropics since the 1970s.
With higher
precipitation, portions of this snow may not melt during the summer and so glacial ice can form at lower altitudes and more southerly latitudes, reducing the temperatures
over land by
increased albedo as noted above.
«We show that at the present - day warming of 0.85 °C about 18 % of the moderate daily
precipitation extremes
over land are attributable to the observed temperature
increase since pre-industrial times, which in turn primarily results from human influence,» the research team said.
Half the
increase in urban
land across the world
over the next 20 years will occur in Asia, with the most extensive change expected to take place in India and China Urban areas modify their local and regional climate through the urban heat island effect and by altering
precipitation patterns, which together will have significant impacts on net primary production, ecos...
It is reasonable to assume that the freshwater input will continue to
increase in the future because the earth is warming, causing
increasing ice melt and
increased precipitation (both
over ocean and
over land, which yields larger river runoff to the ocean).
Understanding past changes in the characteristics of such events, including recent
increases in the intensity of heavy
precipitation events
over a large part of the Northern Hemisphere
land area (3 — 5), is critical for reliable projections of future changes.
The related «News and Views» commentary by Richard P. Allan of the University of Reading expressed the findings well, saying the authors «provide evidence that human - induced
increases in greenhouse - gas concentrations led to the intensification of heavy
precipitation events
over large swathes of
land in the Northern Hemisphere during the latter half of the twentieth century.»
The net change
over land accounts for 24 % of the global mean
increase in
precipitation, a little less than the areal proportion of
land (29 %).
Tropical
land - surface
precipitation measurements indicate that
precipitation likely has
increased by about 0.2 to 0.3 % / decade
over the 20th century, but
increases are not evident
over the past few decades and the amount of tropical
land (versus ocean) area for the latitudes 10 ° N to 10 ° S is relatively small.
Averaged
over the mid-latitude
land areas of the Northern Hemisphere,
precipitation has
increased since 1901 (medium confidence before and high confidence after 1951).
Since the time of the SAR, annual
land precipitation has continued to
increase in the middle and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere (very likely to be 0.5 to 1 % / decade), except
over Eastern Asia.
The main dynamical driver of the monsoon is therefore the positive moisture - advection feedback (Fig. 1 A): The release of latent heat from
precipitation over land adds to the temperature difference between
land and ocean, thus driving stronger winds from ocean to
land and
increasing in this way landward advection of moisture, which leads to enhanced
precipitation and associated release of latent heat.
The absolute humidity will be largely set by the oceans, so water vapor and will
increase but relative humidity
over land will largely decrease, resulting in less
precipitation than one would otherwise expect, given Clausius - Clapeyron and a constant residence time.
An observed consequence of higher water vapor concentrations is the
increased frequency of intense
precipitation events, mainly
over land areas.
I conclude that the observed global aridity changes up to 2010 are consistent with model predictions, which suggest severe and widespread droughts in the next 30 — 90 years
over many
land areas resulting from either decreased
precipitation and / or
increased evaporation.
Average
precipitation is changing in many regions with both
increases and decreases and there is a general tendency for
increases in extreme
precipitation observed
over land areas.
Precipitation observations over land show the expected general increase of precipitation poleward of the subtropics and decrease at lower latitud
Precipitation observations
over land show the expected general
increase of
precipitation poleward of the subtropics and decrease at lower latitud
precipitation poleward of the subtropics and decrease at lower latitudes [1], [26].
Along with
increasing temperatures
over all regions of the U.S., the pattern of
precipitation change is one of general
increases at higher northern latitudes and drying in the tropics and subtropics
over land.
It is likely that the number of heavy
precipitation events
over land has
increased in more regions than it has decreased in since the mid-20th century.
In particular,
over NH
land, an
increase in the likelihood of very wet winters is projected
over much of central and northern Europe due to the
increase in intense
precipitation during storm events, suggesting an
increased chance of flooding
over Europe and other mid-latitude regions due to more intense rainfall and snowfall events producing more runoff.
Anthropogenic influences have contributed to observed
increases in atmospheric moisture content in the atmosphere (medium confidence), to global - scale changes in
precipitation patterns
over land (medium confidence), to intensification of heavy
precipitation over land regions where data are sufficient (medium confidence), and to changes in surface and subsurface ocean salinity (very likely).
5 decades are consistent with the reported
increasing trends in cloud cover and
precipitation over many
land areas and support the notion that the hydrologic cycle has intensified.»
The FLOR model has been used extensively to understand predictability, change and mechanisms of tropical cyclones (Vecchi et al. 2014), Arctic sea ice (Msadek et al. 2014),
precipitation and temperature
over land (Jia et al. 2015), drought (Delworth et al., 2015), extratropical storms (Yang et al. 2015), the Great Plains Low Level Jet (Krishnamurthy et al. 2015), and the global response to
increasing greenhouse gases (Winton et al. 2014).
Indeed, rainfall data reveal significant
increases of heavy
precipitation over much of Northern Hemisphere
land and in the tropics (27) and attribution studies link this intensification of rainfall and floods to human - made global warming (28 ⇓ — 30).
Precipitation increased over most other
land areas, showing that, generally, rainfall decreased
over dry areas but
increased over wetter areas.
There is medium confidence for a detectable human contribution to past observed
increases in heavy
precipitation in general
over global
land regions with adequate coverage for analysis (e.g., IPCC AR5) and
over the United States (Easterling et al. 2017), although an anthropogenic influence has not been formally detected for hurricane
precipitation alone.
The study, based on a computer model used to simulate rainfall under different
land - use conditions, found that cutting down tropical forests in West Africa reduces
precipitation over neighboring forest areas by about 50 percent due to
increased temperatures
over cropland areas.
The largest
increase in
precipitation will occur
over land in the tropics where the atmosphere is warming quickest.