To assess Montana's historical climate, we evaluated temperature and
precipitation trends since the mid-20th century by using standard statistical methods to analyze records of temperature and precipitation.
Not exact matches
Extreme rainfall events are
trending upward, and nine of the top 10 years for extreme one - day
precipitation events have happened
since 1990.
«The winter discharge of the Tanana River has increased
since the record keeping began in the»70s, but there are no increasing
trends in
precipitation,» she said.
«According to climate predictions, annual
precipitation is likely to decrease in the Southwest but increase in the eastern United States during the 21st century, therefore, the observed diverse
trends of surface water body areas
since 1984 could continue to occur in the future,» said Xiao.
Precipitation has generally increased over land north of 30 ° N over the period 1900 to 2005 but downward
trends dominate the tropics
since the 1970s.
Seasonal decreases in land
precipitation since the 1950s are the main cause for some of the drying
trends, although large surface warming during the last two to three decades has also likely contributed to the drying.
-- Along with analyzing historical
trends in temperature and
precipitation, we performed an analysis of changes in extreme climate events
since the middle of last century.
However, combined measuring stations around the world suggest there has been a global
trend towards more frequent and intense hot extremes
since the 1950s, as well as more heavy
precipitation events.
Our state level analyses of extreme
precipitation events shows a strong increasing
trend since the 1950s, with 40 of 48 states showing at least some increasing incidence.
For the entire Northern Hemisphere, there is evidence of an increase in both storm frequency and intensity during the cold season
since 1950,1 with storm tracks having shifted slightly towards the poles.2, 3 Extremely heavy snowstorms increased in number during the last century in northern and eastern parts of the United States, but have been less frequent
since 2000.11,15 Total seasonal snowfall has generally decreased in southern and some western areas, 16 increased in the northern Great Plains and Great Lakes region, 16,17 and not changed in other areas, such as the Sierra Nevada, although snow is melting earlier in the year and more
precipitation is falling as rain versus snow.18 Very snowy winters have generally been decreasing in frequency in most regions over the last 10 to 20 years, although the Northeast has been seeing a normal number of such winters.19 Heavier - than - normal snowfalls recently observed in the Midwest and Northeast U.S. in some years, with little snow in other years, are consistent with indications of increased blocking (a large scale pressure pattern with little or no movement) of the wintertime circulation of the Northern Hemisphere.5 However, conclusions about
trends in blocking have been found to depend on the method of analysis, 6 so the assessment and attribution of
trends in blocking remains an active research area.
The atmospheric warming is the factor that can best explain this consistency, up to ~ 0.7 °C
since 1950 and more marked
since 1976, while the
trend in
precipitation is much less homogeneous over this area and is affected by a significant decadal variability.
Seasonal decreases in land
precipitation since the 1950s are the main cause for some of the drying
trends, although large surface warming during the last two to three decades has also likely contributed to the drying.
Hoerling: «We can also say with high confidence that no appreciable
trend toward either wetter or drier conditions has been observed for statewide average
precipitation since 1895» — «At present, the scientific evidence does not support an argument that the drought there is appreciably linked to human - induced climate change... In short, the drought gripping California has been observed before.
A study by the Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS) discovered, according to Phys.org, that «
precipitation in Germany has increased by 11 percent
since 1881 — and according to the forecasts, this
trend is set to continue.
We find that the reported discrepancy can be traced to two main issues: (1) unforced internal climate variability strongly affects local wetness and dryness
trends and can obscure underlying agreement with WWDD, and (2) dry land regions are not constrained to become drier by enhanced moisture divergence
since evaporation can not exceed
precipitation over multiannual time scales.
It is noteworthy that there do seem to have been more severe
precipitation events
since the global temperature
trend started to turn downwards recently but I still see suggestions from committed alarmists that that is a consequence of warming rather than cooling.
However,
since climate models are better able to capture broad patterns of middle atmospheric pressure (which are strongly linked to
precipitation) than
precipitation itself, it's likely that we can still say something meaningful about
trends in large - scale atmospheric patterns conducive to low
precipitation (and, therefore, drought).