Holden, Z. A., Morgan, P., Crimmins, M. A., Steinhorst, R. K. & Smith, A. M. S. Fire season
precipitation variability influences fire extent and severity in a large southwestern wilderness area, United States.
Not exact matches
Because of large natural
variability, the first approach results in an outcome suggesting that it is appropriate to conclude that there is no increase in
precipitation by human
influences, although the correct interpretation is that there is simply not enough evidence (not a long enough time series).
The ENSO phenomenon is one of the key factors that
influence the interannual
variability of
precipitation over Southern South America.
So: The study finds a fingerprint of anthropogenic
influences on large scale increase in
precipitation extremes, with remaining uncertainties — namely that there is still a possibility that the widespread increase in heavy
precipitation could be due to an unusual event of natural
variability.The intensification of extreme rainfall is expected with warming, and there is a clear physical mechanism for it, but it is never possible to completely separate a signal of external forcing from climate
variability — the separation will always be statistical in nature.
As you can see, the
variability around the trend is largely explained by temperature and
precipitation, while there is (near) zero
influence on the trend itself...
«Ocean evaporation has little direct
influence on California
precipitation because of its relatively weak
variability,» Wei said.
We add to this knowledge by examining how
variability in winter
precipitation could
influence management effectiveness.
The large interannual to decadal hydroclimatic
variability in winter
precipitation is highly
influenced by sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the tropical Pacific Ocean and associated changes in large - scale atmospheric circulation patterns [16].
However this is a change that is only now beginning to emerge and currently is exerting less
influence on
precipitation variability than ocean
variability or internal
variability.»
Winter
precipitation (mean and extreme)
variability and trends along the south coast and interior of Alaska appear to be closely related to variations in the PNA pattern over this timeframe, while El Nino / Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
influences, through the Nino3 index, appear to be significant along the south coast alone.
These aspects of
precipitation generally exhibit large natural
variability, and El Niño and changes in atmospheric circulation patterns such as the North Atlantic Oscillation have a substantial
influence.
«We show that anthropogenic forcing has had a detectable
influence on observed changes in average
precipitation within latitudinal bands, and that these changes can not be explained by internal climate
variability or natural forcing.
Steve Ghan, from the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, says, «This work confirms what previous cloud modelling studies had suggested: that although clouds are
influenced by many factors, increasing aerosols enhances the
variability of
precipitation, suppressing it when
precipitation is light and intensifying it when it is strong.