We are beginning to sound like a broken record here, but again, it is impossible to present reliable future projections for
precipitations changes across the U.S. (seasonal or annual) from a collection of climate models which largely can not even get the sign (much less the magnitude) of the observed changes correct.
«The sign of mean
precipitation changes across the southern U.S. is inconsistent among models.
The CCC forecast of
precipitation changes across the Unites States is equally extreme.
Not exact matches
Changing precipitation patterns helped Genghis Khan rise to power — and ride to victory
across Eurasia
Recent Forest Service studies on high - elevation climate trends in the Pacific Northwest United States show that streamflow declines tie directly to decreases and
changes in winter winds that bring
precipitation across the region.
The research, published yesterday in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, is the first study to find the signal of climate
change in global
precipitation shifts
across land and ocean.
Under various climate and land - use scenarios, coniferous stands are expected to lose 71 percent to 100 percent of their current range to deciduous stands
across New England by 2085, particularly in Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine, due to increased temperature and
precipitation and
changes in timber harvesting.
Some modeling studies of such effects have suggested drought in the western U.S. or
changes in
precipitation patterns
across Europe.
His team also ran the models with predicted
precipitation changes and arrived at similar conclusions, even though moisture levels can prompt more nuanced responses
across species.
Since the evapotranspiration rates of the study's cropping systems held steady
across several years of varying
precipitation levels, the study also suggests that crop evapotranspiration rates may not be as sensitive to climate
change as is currently assumed.
has decreased in winter, but no significant
change in annual mean
precipitation potentially because of very slight increases in spring and fall
precipitation;
precipitation is projected to increase
across Montana, primarily in spring; slight decrease in summer
precipitation; variability of
precipitation year - to - year projected to increase
Rising temperatures and
changing precipitation patterns will lead to relative
changes in agricultural production, possibly spurring rural to urban migration, or migration
across borders to seek more favorable conditions.
Half the increase in urban land
across the world over the next 20 years will occur in Asia, with the most extensive
change expected to take place in India and China Urban areas modify their local and regional climate through the urban heat island effect and by altering
precipitation patterns, which together will have significant impacts on net primary production, ecos...
It may well be that the West will luck out as rising greenhouse gases induce an equatorial warming, or an El Niño - like response, and the resulting circulation
changes increase
precipitation across the mid-latitudes.
Jerry's research team has developed and uses a simulation model, the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM), to consider the impacts of various aspects of global
change — climate, chemistry of the atmosphere and
precipitation, land cover and land use — on the structure and function of terrestrial ecosystems
across the globe.
As for how this could be — and in light of the findings of the references listed above — Rankl et al. reasoned that «considering increasing
precipitation in winter and decreasing summer mean and minimum temperatures
across the upper Indus Basin since the 1960s,» plus the «short response times of small glaciers,» it is only logical to conclude that these facts «suggest a shift from negative to balanced or positive mass budgets in the 1980s or 1990s or even earlier, induced by
changing climatic conditions since the 1960s.»
2: Our
Changing Climate, Key Message 5).2 Regional climate models (RCMs) using the same emissions scenario also project increased spring
precipitation (9 % in 2041 - 2062 relative to 1979 - 2000) and decreased summer
precipitation (by an average of about 8 % in 2041 - 2062 relative to 1979 - 2000) particularly in the southern portions of the Midwest.12 Increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme
precipitation are projected
across the entire region in both GCM and RCM simulations (Figure 18.6), and these increases are generally larger than the projected
changes in average
precipitation.12, 2
MRD Journal: Abstract: Rising temperatures and
changing precipitation patterns
across the Hindu Kush — Himalaya (HKH) region resulting from climate
change have an influence on water resource availability and food security for the downstream population.
The pattern of
change for the wettest day of the year is projected to roughly follow that of the average
precipitation, with both increases and decreases
across the U.S. Extreme hydrologic events are projected to increase over most of the U.S.
Overall, the scientists found that
precipitation extremes of different kinds will occur, with only small
changes in the mean
precipitation across the rainy season.
«[C] ommunities
across the Nation are already experiencing a range of climatic
changes, including more frequent and extreme
precipitation events, longer wildfire seasons, reduced snowpack, extreme heat events, increasing ocean temperatures, and rising sea levels,» the report says.
Obviously, climate models whose hindcasts differ in sign from what is observed (Zhang et al., 2007), or which indicate that human influences are indistinguishable from natural
changes (Sarojini et al., 2012) possess no skill in identifying a human - induced climate signal on observed
precipitation across the U.S. and therefore should not be used to make future projections.
The unsubstantiated claim has been that human CO2 - induced climate
change was (and is) producing dramatic
changes in
precipitation levels
across the world.
Scientists also factored long - term, climate
change trends into the three - month seasonal outlook by looking at the last 10 to 15 years of temperature and
precipitation across the country.
In our presentation to the Science Policy Conference of the American Geophysical Union this summer, we even included a table listing the number of years into the future it would be before projected
changes in
precipitation across the U.S. rose above the level of nature variability.
El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-- The periodic
change in sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific, known as ENSO, has an impact on temperatures and
precipitation in the neighbouring contents and
across the globe.
PRUDENCE RCM outputs showed non-linear relationships between mean maximum temperature and indices of drought and heatwave (Good et al., 2006), while
changes in maximum 1 - day and 5 - day
precipitation amounts were systematically enhanced relative to
changes in seasonal mean
precipitation across many regions of Europe (Beniston et al., 2007).
Pre-TAR AOGCM results held at the DDC were included in a model intercomparison
across the four SRES emissions scenarios (B1, B2, A2, and A1FI) of seasonal mean temperature and
precipitation change for thirty - two world regions (Ruosteenoja et al., 2003).9 The inter-model range of
changes by the end of the 21st century is summarised in Figure 2.6 for the A2 scenario, expressed as rates of
change per century.