If I am given a steady supply of money from taxpayers I am sure that I can tinker with my model so that in I can produce even more
precise predictions for the next decade - in about 12 years» time.
Using other lensed galaxies within the cluster and combining them with the discovery of the Einstein Cross event in 2014, astronomers were able to make
precise predictions for the reappearance of the supernova.
First, it fails to give
precise predictions for the outcomes of individual processes.
«Our strategy can be expected to improve therapeutic chances substantially in the future, because this route makes it possible for us to make very
precise predictions for the custom - tailored treatment of patients,» says Professor Scheffler.
Not exact matches
A theory is valued if it accurately accounts
for known observations and yields
precise predictions of future measurements.
Asserting that we do not yet have either the facts or the methods to make forecasting a
precise art, Michael argues that there are three basic reasons
for continuing to make or act upon them: (1) some forecasts are likely to be close to the mark, (2) poor forecasts provide a better basis
for planning than no
prediction at all, and (3) well - done forecasts help to illuminate the many factors that interact to produce the future.
Aiming to do better, Tony Song of NASA devised a much more
precise tsunami
prediction system based on GPS readings; he tested it successfully
for the first time this past year.
A joint study between scientists at the Institute
for Research in Biomedicine (IRB Barcelona) and the KTH Royal Institute of Technology in Stockholm has now allowed the development of a much simpler method that permits equally
precise predictions and can be done on a standard PC.
For now, though, superstring theory lacks the sort of dramatic demonstration that propels radical theories into prominence, such as Einstein's famous
precise prediction of how much starlight would be deflected when passing by the sun as measured during a solar eclipse.
However, it is the
precise understanding of the intermediate steps that is very important
for the
prediction and design of radiation effects in matter.
Given such a profound role of LA in each individual's academic performance, the question arises on the effective input of data into the LA tools
for the sake of
precise, comprehensive analysis, and
prediction of individuals» learning.
A doctor can not give
precise predictions of how long it will take
for a disease to kill his or her patient.
Decades of detailed observations allow geologists to make fairly
precise predictions about Mount St. Helens: a specific pattern of earthquakes,
for example, means that new lava will erupt within two weeks.
To help «climate change communication» in the public debate, I have been trying to create a natural - language - style flow - chart cartoon language that illustrates the principles of the lack of
precise prediction in complex systems,
for purposes of elementary pedagogy.
Because of this chaotic variability, a 17 - year period is too brief
for precise assessment of model
predictions, but distinction among scenarios and comparison with the real world will become clearer within a decade.
If the accuracy you require is,
for instance, that a national peak oil model must predict the date of the peak within several months and be
precise to the nearest 1,000 bbl / day, then indeed all
predictions have failed and will continue to do so.
In order to test and approve climate models
for simulation and
prediction of Arctic climate and sea ice cover8, 20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28, however,
precise (semi-quantitative) proxy records about past sea ice concentrations are needed.
To point out just a couple of things: — oceans warming slower (or cooling slower) than lands on long - time trends is absolutely normal, because water is more difficult both to warm or to cool (I mean, we require both a bigger heat flow and more time); at the contrary, I see as a non-sense theory (made by some serrist, but don't know who) that oceans are storing up heat, and that suddenly they will release such heat as a positive feedback: or the water warms than no heat can be considered ad «stored» (we have no phase change inside oceans, so no latent heat) or oceans begin to release heat but in the same time they have to cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that in last years land temperatures
for some series (NCDC and GISS) can be heating up while oceans are slightly cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so much to reverse global trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but, in the end, all this is not an evidence that lands» warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part in temperature trends
for some regional area, but just small); both because, as writtend, it is normal to have waters warming slower than lands, and because lands» temperatures are often measured in a not so
precise way (despite they continue to give us a global uncertainity in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU and MSU of last years (I mean always 2002 - 2006) follow much better waters» temperatures trend; — metropolis and larger cities temperature trends actually show an increase in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few, and the covered area is very small worldwide, so the global effect is very poor (but it still can be sensible
for regional effects); but I would not run out a small warming trend
for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live in a town / city, you will know how easy they get very warmer than air during day, and how much it can slow night - time cooling) and overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI in towns and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but, in comparison with 20-40-60 years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns and villages have become part of larger hurban areas (at least in Europe and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough in my opinion to get a full view of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead of GW, maybe even that a small part of measured GW is due to UHI, and that GW measurements are not so
precise to make us able to make good analisyses and
predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).
As these models through research and development, become more skilled at higher and higher resolution and gain the capability of replicating increasingly complex weather phenomena, the public, through the
predictions of the National Weather Service, will be better served through more
precise weather
predictions for places and times where you are.
Precise predictions of hurricane tracks and intensity; heavy rain; severe storms; fire weather; air quality and chemistry, and climate change address societal challenges that include disaster mitigation, economic decision making, health concerns, travel and workplace safety, long range planning, and day to day decisions (an umbrella or a heavy coat,
for example).
The need
for precise predictions of how much power will be fed into the grid at any given moment is becoming increasingly important.
According to Yonhap News, a «high - ranking Samsung official» recently mentioned that the company «failed to make a
precise prediction of demand»
for the curved smartphone, that's why supply shortages may continue
for more than a month.