In short there are difficult to
predict volcano eruptions, varying ocean circulation, clouds and more clouds, a varying sun (both TSI and larger frequency deltas), changing vegetation albedo, atmospheric albedo including 03, earth's position and orientation and more including cosmic rays.
Not exact matches
COSMIC radiation has been used to peer inside an erupting
volcano, a technique that could allow
eruptions to be
predicted.
Jacob Lowenstern, a geologist for the USGS Yellowstone
Volcano Observatory who is based in Menlo Park, California, analyzes gases in recent volcanic rocks to help
predict volcanic
eruptions.
Scientists at the program's five
volcano observatories monitor and interpret seismic signals, ground deformation via satellite images, and gases emitted from
volcanoes,
predicting eruptions and impacts.
The team grouped rivers by region to help identify the influence of
volcanoes, and used computer models linking rainfall with
eruptions to
predict where rivers were likely to be affected.
In a new study published Wednesday in Frontiers in Earth Science, the Savoy researchers applied data assimilation to a
volcano model to see if the technique could accurately
predict an important parameter for volcanic
eruptions: magma overpressure.
Earlier this year, Kilauea
volcano on Hawaii's largest island piped up with explosive
eruptions and toxic sulfur dioxide emissions, sending U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) scientists scrambling to
predict the
volcano's next move and whether neighboring villagers would be in harm's way.
To
predict eruptions, volcanologists typically use distant ultraviolet spectrometers to measure SO2 released by active
volcanoes.
Geologists will combine the data from TIMS with maps of the
volcano to calculate heat loss in and around the mountain to help
predict future
eruptions.
A new discovery in the study of how lava dome
volcanoes erupt may help in the development of methods to
predict how a volcanic
eruption will behave, say scientists at the University of Liverpool.
However, scientists from Trinity College Dublin have just discovered how to prise volcanic secrets from magma crystals, which means they are better able to piece together the history of global geography and to
predict future
eruptions of active
volcanoes.
If you have even a single classroom computer, you'll want to introduce your students to
Volcanoes: Can We
Predict Volcanic
Eruptions?
They are much better now at monitoring
volcanoes and
predicting eruptions — plus, new technologies have made monitoring much easier.
26 November — Indonesia's
Volcano Observatory Notice for Aviation updated to code red,
predicting a further
eruption with significant volcanic ash.
One of the difficulties in
predicting the likelihood and timing of an
eruption on Agung is that monitoring of the
volcano began only after the 1963
eruption.
Our ability to
predict eruptions is directly related to the amount of historic data we have for a given
volcano.
You don't need to be Jim Hansen to
predict the short term effect of major
volcano eruption on climate.
Certain natural disasters, such as
volcano eruptions and earthquakes, are hard to
predict and nearly impossible to prevent.