Sentences with phrase «predictability of»

This approach allows us to estimate the maximum predictability of the decadal anomalies assuming perfect knowledge of the initial state of the ocean and land.

We have been focused on climate models rather than on climate dynamics and theory that is needed to understand the effects of the sun on climate, the network of natural internal variability on multiple time scales, the mathematics of extreme events, and the predictability of a complex system characterized by spatio - temporal chaos.

Whereas the corresponding precipitation variability can be described as a white noise stochastic process, power spectra of vertically integrated soil water exhibit significant redness on timescales of years to decades, since the predictability of soil water storage arises mostly from the integration of precipitation variability.

It should be noted that our predictability estimates are based on the perfect model assumption and are hence very likely to be overestimates of the real predictability of the coupled climate - land - vegetation system.

Unresolved issues that will be addressed in a series of forthcoming studies include the effects of ocean dynamics on the predictability of low - frequency atmosphere and land variability and the feedback of soil moisture variations on atmospheric temperatures and circulation (e.g., Rowntree and Bolton 1983; Atlas et al. 1993; Koster et al. 2000).

In addition, the book traces the development of our capabilities to observe and monitor the climate system, and outlines our understanding of the predictability of climate on time - scales of months and longer.

I think that falsification of climate models (and the implied deterministic predictability of climate) advocates LTP.

Does this call into question the predictability of the stadium wave?

This longer predictability of soil water condition relies on the natural filtering effect of soils, which is explained by the accumulation of precipitation amount rather than the individual precipitation event.

-------- http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014013 Predictability of twentieth century sea - level rise from past data However, in combination, the use of proxy and tide gauge sea - level data up to 1900 AD allows a good prediction of twentieth century sea - level rise, despite this rise being well outside the rates experienced in previous centuries during the calibration period of the model.

Multi-year predictability of climate, drought, and wildfire in southwestern North America (Scientific Reports)

I believe that falsification of climate models (and thus the implied deterministic predictability of climate), though only in its early stages, already lends strong support to LTP.

Understanding the nature and predictability of decadal variability in SPNA temperatures has thus been a major goal in climate studies, and various hypotheses have been submitted to explain this decadal variability apparent in climate models and data records.

Wajsowicz, R.C., 2005b: Potential predictability of tropical Indian Ocean SST Anomalies.

«In a later, but highly prescient paper, Lorenz [1] also considered the interplay of various scales of motion in determining the predictability of a system.

Their «new» idea is easy to evaluate, does it improve the predictability of cloud formation and precipitation?

The US CLIVAR PPAI Panel seeks new panelists with expertise in one or more of the following areas: (a) predictability of weather / climate extremes, (b) multi-model ensembles, (c) decadal prediction; (d) application, impact, and mitigation strategies for marine ecosystems or (e) agricultural products; or (f) interactions with stakeholders and / or stakeholder boundary organizations.

This realization opens the way for a systematic theory of predictability of catastrophes, which is outlined here and illustrated.»

Teng, Haiyan and Grant Branstator, 2010: Initial - value Predictability of Prominent Modes of North Pacific Subsurface Temperature in a CGCM, Climate Dynamics, revised.

Predictability of swimming prohibitions by observational parameters: A proactive public health policy, Stamford, Connecticut, 1989 - 2004.

Developed countries need to get serious about the need to improve predictability of climate finance and put new commitments to real money on the table by COP24, including for adaptation and for the Green Climate Fund.

Lastovicka et al. (2006) pointed out that besides other aspects, the significance of understanding of the solar minimum lies in revealing the nature of solar variability, its effects on geospace, and assessing the predictability of current models.

Hawkins, E. and R. Sutton, 2008b: Decadal predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a coupled GCM: estimation of optimal perturbations using Linear Inverse Modelling.

Kuntz, J., and R. Murray, 2009: Predictability of swimming prohibitions by observational parameters: A proactive public health policy, Stamford, Connecticut, 1989 - 2004.

Urban congestion and the predictability of set patrol routes make electric cars a viable choice for urban law - enforcement work, and Seattle isn't the first to give them a try.

With longer term contracts, we ensure higher predictability of future electricity costs as well.

All brought to you with the precision and predictability of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) and the stack effect.

The main objectives, set for the WCRP at its inception and still valid today, are to determine the predictability of climate and to determine the effect of human activities on climate.

«The authors write that North Pacific Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key component in predictability studies of both regional and global climate change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with global climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of predictability of these two modes in coupled climate models is an important «open question in climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from observations in their twentieth - century climate... conclude that «for implications on future climate change, the coupled climate models show no consensus on projected future changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus in changes in either mode also affects confidence in projected changes in the overlying atmospheric circulation.»»

Despite the high predictability of tidal energy's resource and timing, long construction times, high capital intensity and low load factors will most likely rule out significant cost reductions in tidal technologies in the near term.

The impact of internal variability of the AMOC on the ITCZ is more uncertain, but there are interesting recent results, including high predictability of shifts in the ITCZ position (Martin and Thorncroft 2015), which seem to be related to changes in the AMOC in the subpolar North Atlantic.

Predictability of coupled processes A. Timmermann and F. - F.

Predictability of tropical intraseasonal variability D. E. Waliser 12.

This way I do not have to engage in areas of technical expertise such as the predictability of climate models where it would be hopeless for me to fully understand the complexities.

Topics such as the predictability of weather phenomena, coupled ocean - atmosphere systems and anthropogenic climate change are among those included.

The team is charged with assessing the physical mechanisms underlying AMOC variability and the potential predictability of the AMOC.

In any event, the seasonal predictability of ENSO starting in June provides some regional predictability of sea ice variations.

Building on previous efforts, this three - day workshop will use the outcomes to guide synthesis efforts, coordinate on - going research to fill out key gaps, and provide specific recommendations for accelerating scientific progress — with the aim to improve our understanding and predictability of 1) high - to mid-latitude climate variability on subseasonal - to - seasonal and on interannual - to - decadal timescales and 2) climate extremes.

There is some predictability of NAO and AO out to 30 days; CFAN's 30 day forecasts of NAO, and AO are pretty flat (i.e. not far off neutral).

This uncertainty clearly limits the predictability of temperatures at the regional scale beyond the mean trend.

Van Oldenborgh et al (2012), to which I referred before, clearly demonstrate that most models do a fair job in simulating the observed spatial patters of warming; what is lacking is a good predictability of the variability around these trends.

Models are increasingly good in simulating ENSO, NAO, but the predictability of these phenomena remains to be limited owing to unpredictable components in the forcings and dynamics.

Numerous studies have examined the predictability of the annular modes, and most of these studies focus on the impact of a relative slowly evolving boundary condition on the amplitude of the NAM or the SAM.

Not that I don't appreciate your analogy with respect to the predictability of specific intricacies as they relate to the predictability of broader averaged events.

They can either ignore the failings of their downscaling approach when applied to multi-decadal regional climate change impact studies and continue to mislead those communities, or they can reassess and focus on the quantification of the predictability of regional climate statistics and their changes on different time and space scales.

Heat storage also allows for an extremely high predictability of production, with a precision of more than 90 %, and deviations (between real vs. expected production) that are 50 % lower than the average of the CSP sector.

That said, I would argue knowledge of temporal chaos alone is sufficient to see many of the basic errors made in climate science and predictability of modelling.

Tackling these bottlenecks through the use of standardized assessments, avoiding double - checks, and increasing the predictability of the process, can have an important positive impact on the efficiency of the CDM.

Rodríguez - Fonseca, B., E. Mohino, C.R. Mechoso, C. Caminade, M. Biasutti, M. Gaetani, J. Garcia - Serrano, E.K. Vizy, K. Cook, Y. Xue, I. Polo, T. Losada, L. Druyan, B. Fontaine, J. Bader, F.J. Doblas - Reyes, L. Goddard, S. Janicot, A. Arribas, W. Lau, A. Colman, M. Vellinga, D.P. Rowell, F. Kucharski, and A. Voldoire, 2015: Variability and predictability of West African droughts: A review of the role of sea surface temperature anomalies.

Such chaotic behaviour may limit the predictability of nonlinear dynamical systems.»