Sentences with phrase «predicted by current climate models»

Nevertheless, the results described here provide key evidence of the reliability of water vapor feedback predicted by current climate models in response to a global perturbation in the radiative energy balance.»

Not exact matches

They also analyzed data from a climate model developed by the Max - Planck Institute for Meteorology in Germany to predict what the correlation between the current and rainfall would be expected to be during the Little Ice Age.

The resulting outburst of methane produced effects similar to those predicted by current models of global climate change: a sudden, extreme rise in temperatures, combined with acidification of the oceans.

This projection is unlike what has been predicted as a drying period by the majority of current climate models.

Current state - of - the - art climate models predict that increasing water vapor concentrations in warmer air will amplify the greenhouse effect created by anthropogenic greenhouse gases while maintaining nearly constant relative humidity.

Indeed, though the current pattern of winter U.S. warmth looks much more like the pattern predicted by climate models as a response to anthropogenic forcing (see Figure below left) than the typical «El Nino» pattern, neither can one attribute this warmth to anthropogenic forcing.

Kevin Hamilton, who co-authored the report, warns: «If our model results prove to be representative of the real global climate, then climate is actually more sensitive to perturbations by greenhouse gases than current global models predict, and even the highest warming predictions would underestimate the real change we could see.»

In fact, although climate models predict that Arctic sea ice will decline in response to greenhouse gas increases, the current pace of retreat at the end of the melt season is exceeding the models» forecasts by around a factor of 3 (Stroeve 2007).

This colorful and elegant species, formerly called Louisiana Heron, is common in marshes along much of the East Coast of the U.S. Audubon's climate model predicts a 54 percent loss of current summer range by 2080, with some potential expansion well into the interior, particularly in the Mississippi Valley, an area well known for hosting wandering Tricolored Herons in late summer.

The report, by University of Alabama scientist Roy Spencer and published in the peer - reviewed journal Remote Sensing, argues that heat is actually escaping from Earth much more quickly than current climate models predicted.

My Reply - Even IF the climate model could predict the current statistics of the occurrence of ENSO, the NAO, the PDO, etc [which is proving quite a daunting challenge], this, by itself is not sufficient to justify their use to provide projection of CHANGES in the statistics of ENSO, the NAO, the PDO, etc events in the coming decades.

A significant and serious concern among mainstream climate scientists in this regard is the inability of the models to predict climate surprises, that is, rapid non-linear changes in the climate system that have happened in the historical climate record and that may be triggered by current human activities.

Since the only climate crisis is a predicted one, and the current models have no predictive skill (either theoretically, by the above argument, or demonstrated), there is no crisis and the current alarmism is bogus.

and of course «If the role of internal variability in the climate system is as large as this analysis would seem to suggest, warming over the 21st century may well be larger than that predicted by the current generation of models, given the propensity of those models to underestimate climate internal variability»

These activities can be grouped under the following areas: improve our knowledge of Earth's past and present climate variability and change; improve our understanding of natural and human forces of climate change; improve our capability to model and predict future conditions and impacts; assess the Nation's vulnerability to current and anticipated impacts of climate change; and improve the Nation's ability to respond to climate change by providing climate information and decision support tools that are useful to policy makers and the general public.»

But a growing body of scientific evidence suggests that the projections of climate change that have been made by the current family of computerized climate models has been overdone — that the world will warm up significantly less than has been predicted as a result of our ongoing carbon dioxide emissions.

If the role of internal variability in the climate system is as large as this analysis would seem to suggest, warming over the 21st century may well be larger than that predicted by the current generation of models, given the propensity of those models to underestimate climate internal variability.

If the role of internal variability in the climate system is as large as this analysis would seem to suggest, warming over the 21st century may well be larger than that predicted by the current generation of models, given the propensity of those models to underestimate climate internal variability [Kravtsov and Spannagle, 2008].»

(b) Admitted by all: no current climate models can predict natural variation.

Audubon's climate model projects a 99 percent loss of current winter range by 2080, predicting climate suitable areas diffusing northward.

Audubon's climate model projects a 66 percent loss of current winter range by 2080, with a significant amount of potential expansion predicted.

Perhaps, a new kind of climate models based, at least in part, on empirical reconstruction of the climate constructed on empirically detected natural cycles may indeed perform better, may have better predicting capabilities and, consequently, may be found to be more beneficial to the society than the current GCMs adopted by the IPCC.

If coal - to - liquids fuels replace oil global temperatures will rise a critical 2Â °C by 2042, three years earlier than current climate models predict.

Whether or not the plateau continues, the current models used by the IPCC are unreliable for predicting future climate.»