Not exact matches
For a third example, not everyone in the
early 1960s believed that the USSR would inevitably overtake the US economically before the end of the
century, but excluding fierce anti-Communists
predicting fire and brimstone, I don't know anyone who expected that by the 1980s the USSR would essentially be insolvent (technically it wasn't, but LDC debt traders nonetheless included the country in their universe of defaulted or restructuring sovereign borrowers).
The U.S. Department of Education
predicts that during the
early part of this
century, only 5 percent of teachers will be minority teachers though the student minority population will be 40 percent.
Oeschger and his colleagues in Bern were the first to measure the glacial - interglacial change of atmospheric CO2 in ice cores, showing that atmospheric concentrations of CO2 during the glacial period was 50 % lower than the pre-industrial concentration, a result
predicted by Arrhenius nearly a
century earlier.
It correlates nicely with the post some months ago by Roy Spencer who «trained» a relationship between ENSO and global temps from the
early 20th
century and showed that the rest of the 20th
century temperatures were accurately
predicted by ENSO.
You are conceding that at the time IPCC and Hansen were confidently
predicting warming in the
early 21st
century, they did not know enough to
predict, yet they were confident.
«The climate models making dire predictions of warming in the 21st
century are the same models that
predicted too much warming in the
early 21st
century, and can't explain the warming from 1910 - 1945 or the mid-
century grand hiatus,» Dr. Judith Curry writes in a Wednesday op - ed published in The Financial Post.
After comparing a range of models with actual observations, his team
predicts that the Arctic Ocean will be ice free during September as
early as the end of this
century.
«Curiously, the
earliest reference I have ever found to the linear extrapolation as a serious prediction in this issue was in 1992 by Bill Nierenberg, and he used the whole 20th
Century to
predict a trend of 0.1 ºC / decade over the 21st
Century.
Driven by warmer winters and
earlier springs, they are
predicted to move well north into Canada in coming years, just as they migrated up the Atlantic seaboard and north into Scandinavia at the close of the twentieth
century.
In this paper, Broecker correctly
predicted «that the present cooling trend will, within a decade or so, give way to a pronounced warming induced by carbon dioxide», and that «by
early in the next
century [carbon dioxide] will have driven the mean planetary temperature beyond the limits experienced during the last 1000 years».