Sentences with phrase «predicting decadal variability»

Not exact matches

These factors driving the present changes of the NHSM system are instrumental for understanding and predicting future decadal changes and determining the proportions of climate change that are attributable to anthropogenic effects and long - term internal variability in the complex climate system.

The Decadal Climate Prediction Project addresses a range of scientific issues involving the ability of the climate system to be predicted on annual to decadal timescales, the skill that is currently and potentially available, the mechanisms involved in long timescale variability, and the production of forecasts of benefit to both science and Decadal Climate Prediction Project addresses a range of scientific issues involving the ability of the climate system to be predicted on annual to decadal timescales, the skill that is currently and potentially available, the mechanisms involved in long timescale variability, and the production of forecasts of benefit to both science and decadal timescales, the skill that is currently and potentially available, the mechanisms involved in long timescale variability, and the production of forecasts of benefit to both science and society

A major enigma is that general circulation climate models predict an immutable climate in response to decadal solar variability, whereas surface temperatures, cloud cover, drought, rainfall, tropical cyclones, and forest fires show a definite correlation with solar activity.

Understanding the variability of the Gulf Stream path at decadal and longer timescales is crucial for predicting future physical and biogeochemical variations in this region.

And a better understanding of North Atlantic Ocean dynamics is central to understanding Pacific Ocean variability and vital in predicting how global mean temperatures may evolve on decadal timescales.

As where Marcott et al went wrong as climate scientists, when they used paleoclimate data of long millenia time scales in natural variability, with the short decadal time scale (weather) in natural variability and claim to predict the future of where the pendulum of climatology will be in the future, when actually showing that they are confused, what they are representing as evidence of the future climate is in fact their total misunderstanding of climatology and the complex chaotic circumstances that influence the real world.

US CLIVAR is using coupled climate models to extract as much information as possible from the scarce datasets to further understand the mechanisms leading to decadal variability and the degree to which such variability can be predicted.

If the transition zone indeed controls decadal AMOC variability, monitoring this region may enable scientists to measure and perhaps predict AMOC variability, with potential impacts for interannual - to - decadal climate predictions.

The reason nobody predicted it is because climatologists are interested in the forced component of clmate change, not in the short term variability (although decadal scale projections are getting to the point of being worth considering).