Until recently, insurers were convinced that their calculations for
predicting hurricane damage - known as «catastrophe models» - were accurate.
«We should use central pressure deficit, not wind speed, to
predict hurricane damage.»
Not exact matches
With this sort of exposure in Naples alone, we can expect
damage from Irma in Florida alone to be in the tens of billions if the
hurricane hits SW Florida as a Category 4 storm as
predicted.
Cuomo says he does not want to scare people, but he says there is concern that the storm
predicted for Wednesday and Thursday could be potentially significant, and he says there are worries that debris that still litters many streets and yards from
Hurricane Sandy could become projectiles in high winds, and that already
damaged homes could be further effected.
But if, as many climate scientists
predict,
hurricanes become more common or more severe, the added forest
damage that will occur in the US and elsewhere could reduce that offset substantially.
20th Century With Mike Wallace features interviews with survivors of
hurricanes and with weather experts who
predict what can be done to prevent these massive storms from repeating the same type of
damage and destruction resulting from Andrew.
When the Category 3 storm known as
Hurricane Katrina hit the Gulf Coast early on August 29, 2005, I don't think anyone could have
predicted the massive flooding and
damage and the hundreds of thousands of people in Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama who became temporarily or permanently homeless.
While many studies of the effects of global warming on
hurricanes predict an increase in various metrics of Atlantic basin - wide activity, it is less clear that this signal will emerge from background noise in measures of
hurricane damage, which depend largely on rare, high - intensity landfalling events and are thus highly volatile compared to basin - wide storm metrics.
As to the projected decline in
hurricane damage as a fraction of GDP, an even casual reading of the relevant paper shows that while actual
damage is
predicted to increase in most places, GDP is forecast to go up even faster, so that the ratio declines.
It's impossible to
predict in advance how much
damage this year's
hurricanes and tropical storms might cause, since their intensity and path can change by the hour.
ALEXANDRIA, Va., Oct. 26, 2012 —
Hurricane Sandy is
predicted to make landfall this weekend and could potentially cause billions of dollars in
damage to some of America's most populated cities.