«Scientists develop a new method for
predicting volcanic eruptions.»
In any case, the researchers want to continue their investigations into whether tree rings may be helpful in
predicting volcanic eruptions.
Dr Ubide said it was currently very difficult to
predict volcanic eruptions — as evidenced by the eruption at Mount Agung in Bali, which started last November after 2 months of precursory earthquakes.
«Tiny crystals could help
predict volcanic eruptions.»
«Can tree rings
predict volcanic eruptions?.»
Jacob Lowenstern, a geologist for the USGS Yellowstone Volcano Observatory who is based in Menlo Park, California, analyzes gases in recent volcanic rocks to help
predict volcanic eruptions.
«We can't
predict volcanic eruptions, but when the next one happens, we'll be able to do a much better job predicting the next several seasons, and before Pinatubo we really had no idea,» said Robock, who has a doctorate in meteorology.
The content covered by the lesson are; explanation of instruments used to
predict volcanic eruptions, ways of predicting earthquakes, strategies / tips used to plan for earthquakes and earthquake proof buildings.
If you have even a single classroom computer, you'll want to introduce your students to Volcanoes: Can
We Predict Volcanic Eruptions?
Unless, of course, you can
predict volcanic eruptions, forest fires, termite reproduction rates, meteorite collisions, fossil fuel discovery and consumption, etc..
Not exact matches
«As it's not possible to always successfully
predict volcanic events due to the lack of complete knowledge of the signals leading to catastrophes, these results are an important new finding and ultimately we hope they will contribute to our understanding of where and when the next
volcanic eruption will be.»
In a new study published Wednesday in Frontiers in Earth Science, the Savoy researchers applied data assimilation to a volcano model to see if the technique could accurately
predict an important parameter for
volcanic eruptions: magma overpressure.
So the team used data from
volcanic eruptions on Earth to
predict what an Earth - like exoplanet might look like during such
eruptions.
He said the work could also help with understanding and
predicting earthquakes or
volcanic eruptions.
«The 1991
volcanic eruptions will substantially increase the aerosol loading within the polar vortex for 1992, both below and above 20 kilometres,» the team
predicts.
It is hoped that greater understanding of these
volcanic triggers may lead to an improved ability to
predict dangerous
eruptions in the future.
Whilst we can reasonably
predict when a
volcanic eruption is about to happen, this new knowledge will help us to
predict how the
eruption will behave.
A new discovery in the study of how lava dome volcanoes erupt may help in the development of methods to
predict how a
volcanic eruption will behave, say scientists at the University of Liverpool.
However, scientists from Trinity College Dublin have just discovered how to prise
volcanic secrets from magma crystals, which means they are better able to piece together the history of global geography and to
predict future
eruptions of active volcanoes.
Through their exploratory simulations, Bato was able to correctly
predict the excess pressure that drives a theoretical
volcanic eruption, as well as the shape of the deepest underground magma reservoir and the flow rate of magma into the reservoir.
This site, an Annenberg / CPB exhibit, provides fascinating information and interactive activities that help students better understand the forces that cause
volcanic eruptions and the difficulty of
predicting them.
26 November — Indonesia's Volcano Observatory Notice for Aviation updated to code red,
predicting a further
eruption with significant
volcanic ash.
(For instance, do the models
predict cooling after big
volcanic eruptions?
I think there is an important context here that is easy to lose in all of the emphasis on the thing that the trees don't appear to be doing well w / (i.e. the response to the high - frequency cooling events associated primarily with explosive
volcanic eruptions): that's, the thing that the trees appear to be doing remarkably well with, i.e. capturing the long - term trends and low - frequency variability that is
predicted by the climate model simulations.
Can earthquakes,
volcanic eruptions, and their consequences be
predicted?
For example, without understanding impacts of other forcings,
predicting the effects of large
volcanic eruption would not be possible.
The GISS climate model (Hansen et al., 1992) did quite well in
predicting the decrease in global temperature (and increase in stratospheric warming), and the subsequent recovery to normal, due to the 1991 Pinatubo
volcanic eruption.
Unless you are
predicting huge
volcanic eruptions or the abrupt cessation of CO2 emissions in the ear term?
I'm not
predicting huge
volcanic eruptions, just cooling, affected mostly by already weak and declining solar activity and continuation of the oscillatory behaviour of the global temperature indices.
They do NOT
predict 21st century solar variability or
volcanic eruptions.
Thus the RCP scenarios assume the long - term average
volcanic forcing in the future, and they hold it constant, which is reasonable because as you say we can't
predict the next
eruption.
Bearing in mind he couldn't
predict future
volcanic eruptions or run a suitably large ensemble to account for chaos the model performs pretty well getting the actual temp.
How do you expect climate models to
predict a short interval (20 yrs) without knowing the ENSOs that will occur, the
volcanic eruptions, changes in solar variability, etc, in that time period, which can be significant in the short - term but not in the long - term?
Even though average global temperatures can certainly be lowered by feeding reflective particles into the stratosphere — we know this from observations of big
volcanic eruptions — regional consequences can't yet be adequately
predicted by climate models.
Hansen et al. (1981), «emerge» p. 957; another scientist who compared temperature trends with a combination of CO2, emissions from
volcanic eruptions, and supposed solar cycles, likewise got a good match, and used the cycles to
predict that greenhouse warming would swamp other influences after about 2000.
Well the IPCC TAR explicitly
predicted a «likely» range of 0.1 - 0.2 C per decade (ie 0.3C - 0.6 C over 30 years), and I believe the consensus is somewhat towards the top end of that range, especially noting the assumption that there are no big
volcanic eruptions in that time.
But what concerns Professor Haywood and others is not the random nature of
volcanic eruption — difficult to
predict and impossible to prevent — but the possibility of deliberate injection of aerosols into the stratosphere to moderate global warming.