Sentences with phrase «prediction models based»

Prediction models based on summer time measurements show increasing acidity by 2070 that would have a major impact on animals with shells and animals at the bottom of the food chain that would then work its way up to affecting the large animals that depend on them for food.

This reminds me of the recent election prediction fiasco a mere two months ago, when self - described «statisticians» formulated election prediction models based upon aggregating polling data from various sources and then by somehow mashing them altogether they were able to produce a result that said Hillary Clinton had a 98 % probability of winning the election.

Fourches and Jeremy Ash, a graduate student in bioinformatics, decided to incorporate the results of molecular dynamics calculations — all - atom simulations of how a particular compound moves in the binding pocket of a protein — into prediction models based on machine learning.

The former built a seat and vote share prediction model based on huge quantities of fieldwork (7000 interviews per week) plus the now - famous Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification (or MRP) that converted that data into seat - by - seat estimates.

I developed a successful (i.e. tested and verified), climate prediction model based on this periodicity.

Essentially you run a spatially and temporally undersampled weather prediction model based upon an incomplete set of highly chaotic physical laws of over time periods too long to calibrate and test the predictability of the model.

Not exact matches

They answer that it makes no predictions that they can not make on the basis of their received models.

Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 5.2 - 3.8 win for the Red Sox.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 4.8 - 0.8 win for the Penguins.

In Chicago, the Park District will use a new high - tech system that uses computer software to give real - time predictions of bacteria counts based on such factors as water temperature, modeling of the lake bottom and wave action monitored by buoys.

What they gave the USDA was a modeled prediction based on all sorts of data the firm collected from 2,314 students at 398 schools that year, including the types of food served, the amount of time kids were given to eat, prices charged, and interviews with children and their parents revealing what the kids typically ate in the course of a day and family income.

To assess the robustness of the results of our regression analysis, we performed covariate adjustment with derived propensity scores to calculate the absolute risk difference (details are provided in the Supplementary Appendix, available with the full text of this article at NEJM.org).14, 15 To calculate the adjusted absolute risk difference, we used predictive margins and G - computation (i.e., regression - model — based outcome prediction in both exposure settings: planned in - hospital and planned out - of - hospital birth).16, 17 Finally, we conducted post hoc analyses to assess associations between planned out - of - hospital birth and outcomes (cesarean delivery and a composite of perinatal morbidity and mortality), which were stratified according to parity, maternal age, maternal education, and risk level.

«This document presents science - driven predictions, based on sophisticated climate - change models, regarding how we think bird distributions in Massachusetts might change during the next 30 years,» said Jon Atwood, Mass Audubon Director of Bird Conservation and a report author

The polls based model is not intended as a rival prediction model.

Prediction models — based on weighted polling averages, such as the ones done by Nate Silver and FiveThrityEight.

The major poll - based forecasts, a lot of models, the prediction markets, even the superforecaster crowd all got it wrong.

The following table shows my model based forecast, a 95 % probability prediction range, and the Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher estimates from their analysis of local by - elections.

The point to remember here is that the ultimate aim of this model is to get an overall, national - level, estimate of seat numbers and these are based, as noted earlier, on the proviso that an over-prediction in one constituency may be offset by an under - prediction in another constituency.

Processing the biological data at the deepest level, such as DNA base pairs, therefore only makes sense if this analysis can used to build models of biological processes and if the resulting predictions can be tested.

The authors were able to demonstrate that timely data from early - infected military bases could inform the model and produce robust predictions for the later large - scale outbreak across the USA.

Only now, instead of following fixed story lines and predictions assembled ahead of time, they are using computers to play what - if with an entire artificial society: an advanced type of computer simulation called an agent - based model.

I developed a generic model for emissions prediction based on thermodynamic principles (fundamental research), but using empirical constants so as to ensure its valid application to different engines (applied research).

Based on these read - outs, they developed prediction models for the analysis of mosquitoes with unknown infection status.

There is still a gap between modeling - based predictions and decisions about, for instance, when to evacuate a city.

Common approaches to prediction include using a significance - based criterion for evaluating variables to use in models and evaluating variables and models simultaneously for prediction using cross-validation or independent test data.

But still not enough to align with predictions based on standard cosmological models.

When these factors were used together, the model was markedly better at predicting likely success of subsequent treatments than age - based predictions (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, DOI: 10.1073 / pnas.1002296107).

Based on a peatland model developed at the University of York and latest climate change predictions, the researchers warn that by 2051 - 80 the dunlin could see a 50 % decline in numbers, with the golden plover down 30 % and the red grouse down by 15 %, all driven by declining abundance of the birds» crane fly prey.

The team's findings, which are based on real, observed data, mirror the predictions of the climate models.

Some biologists are sceptical because the predictions are largely based on theoretical models.

Kruse's discovery confirms an astronomer's prediction in 1973, based on stellar evolution models of the time, that such a system should be possible.

Although hospitals can make risk predictions about when individual asthma patients might return, based on medical histories, the model created by Ram and her collaborators makes predictions at the population level.

The researchers» predictions of the problems each country would face were based on climate change models produced by Austra - lia's national research organisation, the CSIRO.

These cyclones — which reside in bizarrely stable and geometric patterns that defy most model - based predictions — remain unexplained.

Replacement alternative methods include the use of data concerning the physicochemical properties of chemicals; predictions based on structure - activity relationships, including the use of qualitative and quantitative mathematical models; the biokinetic modelling of physiological, pharmacological, and toxicological processes; experiments on lower organisms not classed as?

Deike and his co-authors used experimental results — based on water and glycerin mixed with water — and numerical predictions to create their model.

However, the accuracy of the authors» predictions may be limited because the vaccination model was based on several assumptions.

Dozens of teams submitted 179 predictions based on state - of - the - art computational models, and the organisers compared them against the experimental results.

The band gap for cubic Ti3N4 is larger than expected based on previous model predictions.

But careful investigation of factors such as the geometric, fluid and flow characteristics within a pipeline is vital and Dr Asim's CFD - based semi-empirical mathematical prediction models provide designers with a tool that will enable them to achieve optimal performance at the lowest possible cost.

The new findings of successful multi-year drought / fire predictions are based on a series of computer modeling experiments, using the state - of - the - art earth system model, the most detailed data on current ocean temperature and salinity conditions, and the climate responses to natural and human - linked radiative forcing.

However, I would like to counter the assertion that predictions based on research body ice2sea's models are «dangerously misleading».

The DNNs are based on predictive coding theory, which assumes that the internal models of the brain predict the visual world at all times and that errors between the prediction and the actual sensory input further refine the internal models.

The Forest Service is studying this issue and is using physics - based fire prediction models to predict how forests that experienced insect outbreaks in different regions might react to fire.

The exposure prediction model leverages satellite - based measurements and a computer simulation of air pollution.

Seeing himself as a strict empiricist whose hurricane predictions are based on decades of «crunching huge piles of data,» Gray is convinced that the atmosphere is too complicated to be captured in computer simulations, at one point fulminating that «any experienced meteorologist that believes in a climate model of any type should have their head examined.»

Predictions based on the Met Office climate model suggest, «a rise of 400 million in the number of people at risk from hunger», he says.

«Given the promise shown by the research and the ever increasing computing power, numerical prediction of hailstorms and warnings issued based on the model forecasts, with a couple of hours of lead time, may indeed be realized operationally in a not - too - distant future, and the forecasts will also be accompanied by information on how certain the forecasts are.»

The researchers» methodical approach — to model the prediction of API emissions based on consumption patterns — is new.