Sentences with phrase «prediction of climate»

NASA's Earth Science Enterprise is dedicated to understanding the Earth as an integrated system and applying Earth System Science to improve prediction of climate, weather and natural hazards using the unique vantage point of space.

Uncertainties affecting the prediction of climate change and its speed: future emissions, climate sensitivity, aerosols, characteristic time scales.

That's been a prediction of climate scientists for some time, that reducing aerosols would lead to warmer surface temperatures due to a reduced screening effect.

Note: This analysis of the empirical data from January 1979 through 2018 is about the past, and it should not be interpreted as a future prediction of climate change / response.

That this would occur was a prediction of climate theory dating back 114 years, so the warming supports the consensus model of climate.

Prediction of the climate over the next million years.

Over several centuries, it may be possible to observe the effect of these orbital parameters, however for the prediction of climate change in the 21st century, these changes will be far less important than radiative forcing from greenhouse gases.»

Prediction of the climate over the next thousand years.

There's some goal - post moving in your argument since I thought the issue was prediction of the climate a few decades out.

That would be interesting, if someone wanted to fine tune some prediction of climate for the next decade or so.

Understanding the dynamics of such phenomena is essential for our ability to make useful prediction of climate change.

Prediction of climate in this way is impossible — this is even before consideration of Earth's climate as a «spatio - temporal» deterministically chaotic system.

Numerical prediction of climate shifts using powerful climate models is now as accurate as tossing a coin — although perhaps we should not make light of such a difficult problem in climate science.

Modelling assumptions controlling the cloud water phase (liquid, ice or mixed) are known to be critical for the prediction of climate sensitivity.

This may belong to the Uncertainty Monster idea or at least it may be related to it, but the idea is to use Bayesian statistics to determine if policy should be enacted based on a prediction of a climate scientist.

As usual they will dig through old papers, find one that predicted a pause of roughly the right duration and present it to the world as if this was the prediction of Climate Science in totality.

Hence, prediction of climate change and devising appropriate interventions is more akin to trying to predict and shape the course of evolution.

What happen if more scientist had even more confidence in the future prediction of climate - it can be a win for organization which has been trying to do this for decades.

Not really a problem, since it's a prediction of climate models and has been observed.

Mark also explained how the prediction of climate indices is related to the prediction of average variables, and how this relationship can be used to predict the skill of climate indices (which is not always straightforward).

According to a new study a more in - depth understanding of ocean turbulence could improve existing climate models and proved a more accurate prediction of climate change.

To increase the likelihood that new energy technologies will perform well and enhance resiliency in a warming world, we also need improvements in the fundamental understanding and prediction of climate change impacts.

Or this false construction: «Although ultimately chaos will kill a weather forecast, this does not necessarily prevent long - term prediction of the climate.

Although ultimately chaos will kill a weather forecast, this does not necessarily prevent long - term prediction of the climate.

From reading the paragraph, I conclude that prediction of climate using climate models is similar to prediction of river flood levels using hydrologic models.

The purpose of NASA's Earth science program is to develop a scientific understanding of Earth's system and its response to natural or human - induced changes and to improve prediction of climate, weather, and natural hazards.

At NIMBioS, a group of disease experts, climate modelers and mathematicians have come together to improve the forecasting and prediction of climate - induced disease.

Yet some of these recent extremes, such as the summer in March, are way beyond the predictions of our climate models.

The team's findings, which are based on real, observed data, mirror the predictions of the climate models.

Scientists looked at modeled predictions of climate change and reproductive data from lesser prairie - chickens from 2001 - 2011 to determine how weather conditions affect reproductive success in the Southern High Plains.

I suppose there may be some doubts about our quantitative predictions of climate change, and there were certainly doubts about the quantitative predictions of deaths due to it.»

The world cooled by between 0.3 °C and 0.4 °C following the eruption, in line with the upper range of the predictions of climate models for such a change in the atmosphere's heat balance.

Remember also that (IIRC) one of the predictions of climate models is that warming is likely to result in more extremes of weather?

Predictions of the climate's development in response to elevated atmospheric CO2 levels started in earnest over 25 years ago.

Lessee... for example, we have this article archived at the Fraser Institue from 1999 on the exaggerated predictions of climate models in Arctic regions, by Baliunas & Soon:

Her research aims to enhance our understanding of environmental changes that impact primary producer communities, as these influence the ecology and fitness of higher trophic levels, and to inform future spatial population trends in light of current predictions of climate change.

In collaboration with the National Center for Atmospheric Research, Leung has been developing and applying advanced regional climate models that will help improve the predictions of climate change and its impacts.

Stainforth, D.A., et al., 2005: Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases.

However, the general circulation models are, at present, timeconsuming and expensive to run, and, despite the known shortcomings of the one - dimensional models, most available predictions of climate change have been made using the simpler models.

We use the global cooling and drying of the atmosphere that was observed after the eruption of Mount Pinatubo to test model predictions of the climate feedback from water vapor.

DeBuys finds that things will be fine for the 3.5 million people who currently depend on this water for daily use as long as (1) predictions of climate change models prove groundless, (2) the kind of droughts documented by tree rings and other records of past climate disruptions don't occur, and (3) the cities of central Arizona don't grow so much that they consume their agricultural buffer, their main protection against uncertain years ahead.

And if the worst predictions of the climate scientists came true, it would also help avert catastrophe.

Scientific predictions of climate change for the next couple centuries, when we already know that CO2 and water vapor will be high, involves much less uncertainty than prediction of climate change when CO2 and water vapor are low.

As you know, more extreme and extended droughts over bigger areas is one of the most basic predictions of climate science, and has been discussed in multiple major peer - reviewed articles in the last two years.

The final part of Zycher's argument pertains to the divergence between climate models» predictions of climate change and temperature observations.

John S. Theon, formerly chief of all weather and climate research for NASA, and James Hansen's former boss, has just released a statement of his personal skepticism concerning the predictions of climate alarmist James Hansen and of climate models.

Better understanding of the effect of aerosols on Earth's climate in the past can help climate scientist make better predictions of climate change trends in the future, the researchers said.

... if predictions of climate change prove true, more erratic weather will bring more frequent droughts, with changing weather patterns bringing more rain to some portions of the world while possibly turning others into deserts.

The reality is this, the «worst case» predictions of the climate science community fall far short of how severe the climate situation actually is.

Conclusions about the degree of human influence on the climate are based on the predictions of climate models, which are unreliable because;