Sentences with phrase «prediction of climate models»

Not really a problem, since it's a prediction of climate models and has been observed.

Yet some of these recent extremes, such as the summer in March, are way beyond the predictions of our climate models.

The team's findings, which are based on real, observed data, mirror the predictions of the climate models.

The world cooled by between 0.3 °C and 0.4 °C following the eruption, in line with the upper range of the predictions of climate models for such a change in the atmosphere's heat balance.

Remember also that (IIRC) one of the predictions of climate models is that warming is likely to result in more extremes of weather?

Lessee... for example, we have this article archived at the Fraser Institue from 1999 on the exaggerated predictions of climate models in Arctic regions, by Baliunas & Soon:

Conclusions about the degree of human influence on the climate are based on the predictions of climate models, which are unreliable because;

There is great resistance to making it clear what are predictions of the climate models.

Those can be compared to predictions of climate models as Spencer has attempted.

Your readers do need a source of reliable information about whether ANY substantial observational evidence confirms the predictions of climate models.

McArdle appears reluctant to embrace the predictions of climate models under the assumption that they are similar to mid-century macroeconomic models, for which «only the unflappable true believers place great weight on their predictive ability» these days.

Some apparent problems with the predictions of climate models, for example, have actually turned out to be due to problems with real - world data caused by the failure to correct for factors such as the gradual changes in orbits of satellites.

The overall extent of Antarctic sea ice has bucked the predictions of climate models, which say frozen continent's sea ice should be shrinking.

In 1992, we had just completed the first IPCC assessment report, here was their conclusion: «The size of this warming is broadly consistent with predictions of climate models, but it is also of the same magnitude as natural climate variability... The unequivocal detection of the enhanced greenhouse effect from observations is not likely for a decade or more.

Whether global temperatures rise or fall during the next decade or two, we will have no confidence in the predictions of climate models.

The oceanographers then looked ahead to the wind speed predictions of the climate models, and found that this could add an additional 5.5 hours per round trip, per carrier, per comparable route.

SPENCER: Roy Spencer, a contrarian with a university position and a NASA medal, but also with a track record of bad mistakes, co-published a defective paper in a non-climate journal (HERE) in July 2011, claiming that some predictions of climate models are wrong.

Not exact matches

He said that if he had to rely on the European Space Agency's limited, difficult - to - access data for his work checking climate model predictions against reality, he'd be «more or less blind» — particularly in the vast, uninhabited stretches of the globe like the Pacific, which are vital for understanding the world climate.

«This document presents science - driven predictions, based on sophisticated climate - change models, regarding how we think bird distributions in Massachusetts might change during the next 30 years,» said Jon Atwood, Mass Audubon Director of Bird Conservation and a report author

Regardless of what climate models find, investigating these long - distance links in weather could also pay off by improving risk prediction and forecasts.

A step that could improve climate models A better understanding of how the atmosphere and the oceans communicate and exchange things like CO2 can also help improve climate models and predictions of the future.

«Current climate developments are at the very worst end of the computer model predictions,» he says.

All of this data — and its conformance with predictions from computer - generated models — provide key evidence of climate change.

The study was partially funded by Columbia University Research Initiatives for Science and Engineering (RISE) award; the Office of Naval Research; NOAA's Climate Program Office's Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections; Willis Research Network; and the National Science Foundation.

By improving the understanding of how much radiation CO2 absorbs, uncertainties in modelling climate change will be reduced and more accurate predictions can be made about how much Earth is likely to warm over the next few decades.

It's also useful in cosmology and charting the far reaches of the Milky Way, weather prediction and climate change modeling or even aerial reconnaissance missions for national defense.

«These experiments will enable us to further test and refine the underlying processes in the CORPSE model and should lead to improved predictions of the role of plant - soil interactions in global climate change,» Sulman said.

The research in the paper combined the latest climate predictions from the Met Office Hadley Centre, including a high resolution climate model for the UK, with two phosphorus transfer models of different complexity.

The Met Office weather and climate prediction model is one of the most advanced models of its kind.

Based on a peatland model developed at the University of York and latest climate change predictions, the researchers warn that by 2051 - 80 the dunlin could see a 50 % decline in numbers, with the golden plover down 30 % and the red grouse down by 15 %, all driven by declining abundance of the birds» crane fly prey.

It was only possible through the participation of thousands of members of the public in the work's biggest ever climate modelling exercise: they offered up spare processing capacity on their home computers to run the calculations via the Climate Prediction citizen science climate modelling proclimate modelling exercise: they offered up spare processing capacity on their home computers to run the calculations via the Climate Prediction citizen science climate modelling proClimate Prediction citizen science climate modelling proclimate modelling programme.

Using bird distribution data spanning the breeding seasons between 1990 and 2009, scientists ran the numbers through six A1B climate models, which use middle - of - the - road predictions.

The researchers then used a mathematical model that combined the conflict data with temperature and rainfall projections through 2050 to come up with predictions about the likelihood of climate - related violence in the future.

«Climate science is a «data - heavy» discipline with many intellectually interesting questions that can benefit from computational modeling and prediction,» said Dovrolis, a professor in the School of Computer Science, «Cross-disciplinary collaborations are challenging at first — every discipline has its own language, preferred approach and research culture — but they can be quite rewarding at the end.»

«Advances in global climate models and high quality ocean, atmospheric and land observations are helping us push the frontiers of snowpack prediction.»

Some climate change deniers have taken encouragement from the pause, saying they show warming predictions are flawed, but Mann, a co-author on the study, notes that «there have been various explanations for why [the slowdown is happening], none of which involve climate models being fundamentally wrong.»

Obtaining accurate sea surface temperatures is important for a range of applications — from weather prediction to climate modeling to understanding marine ecosystem fluctuations.

The researchers» predictions of the problems each country would face were based on climate change models produced by Austra - lia's national research organisation, the CSIRO.

The findings, published in the May 16 issue of Science, closely match observations in the atmosphere and can help make climate prediction models more accurate.

The impact of these results is wide - reaching, and Dr Pullen suggests that it may even change how we think about global climate data: «Climate models need to incorporate genetic elements because at present most do not, and their predictions would be much improved with a better understanding of plant carbon demand.climate data: «Climate models need to incorporate genetic elements because at present most do not, and their predictions would be much improved with a better understanding of plant carbon demand.Climate models need to incorporate genetic elements because at present most do not, and their predictions would be much improved with a better understanding of plant carbon demand.»

Scientists looked at modeled predictions of climate change and reproductive data from lesser prairie - chickens from 2001 - 2011 to determine how weather conditions affect reproductive success in the Southern High Plains.

Climatologist Stephen Sitch of the Met Office Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research in Exeter, England, and his colleagues used a climate model to examine the impact of rising O3 Climate Prediction and Research in Exeter, England, and his colleagues used a climate model to examine the impact of rising O3 climate model to examine the impact of rising O3 levels.

«As a result, some atmospheric circulations systems can not be resolved by these models, and this clearly impacts the accuracy of climate change predictions as shown in our study.»

«This model is a major step forward in our effort to improve the prediction of regional climate change, particularly involving water resources.»

«It's an evolution in our ability to use climate models to make predictions, particularly on timescales of a few decades,» says McKinley, also an affiliate of the Center for Climatic Research at UW - Madison's Nelson Institute for Environmental Studies.

Long - term predictions of summer Arctic extent made by global climate models (GCMs) suggest that the downward trend will likely lead to an ice - free Arctic summer in the middle of the century.

The new findings of successful multi-year drought / fire predictions are based on a series of computer modeling experiments, using the state - of - the - art earth system model, the most detailed data on current ocean temperature and salinity conditions, and the climate responses to natural and human - linked radiative forcing.

Researchers also evaluated the accuracy of existing climate model predictions for that region.

«A challenge for the coming years is to use these kinds of climate models to be able to make predictions about populations and ecosystems in the future.

Under the Decadal and Regional Climate Prediction Using Earth System Models (EaSM) program, the National Science Foundation and the U.S. Departments of Agriculture and Energy will kick in a total of $ 50 million a year for 5 years.