Sentences with phrase «prediction of future states»

The fact remains that both climate and models are chaotic and the prediction of future states is impossible.

Predictions of the future state of a chaotic system, based on wishful thinking, are useful if suckers believe you, and keep giving you money.

Not exact matches

Social Fresh's The Future of Social, in collaboration with Firebrand Group and Simply Measured, reveals the state of social media in 2016 as well as bold predictions for the fFuture of Social, in collaboration with Firebrand Group and Simply Measured, reveals the state of social media in 2016 as well as bold predictions for the futurefuture.

In terms of the historical future, reason makes acts of belief: predictions about the weather, about the state of business next year, about the chances of achieving an academic degree, etc..

analyses and predictions — stated that increasingly the problems of the future will require solutions more «theological than technological.»

Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...

Although Frieden explicitly refused to make predictions about future supply of the pandemic vaccine, Lurie said that HHS will tell state health officers later today that the government expects to have another 10 million doses available next week.

He begins by highlighting the evidence of North Carolina's salt marshes because they are a storyline from the past — a period that state lawmakers seem to be emphasizing over future predictions developed by computer models.

«According to climate predictions, annual precipitation is likely to decrease in the Southwest but increase in the eastern United States during the 21st century, therefore, the observed diverse trends of surface water body areas since 1984 could continue to occur in the future,» said Xiao.

As such, executive function is integral to our conscious experience of the world as prior knowledge is integrated into the current «state of play» to make predictions about likely future events.

Amos Elon's negativity regarding the future of the Jewish state mars the film, yet Another Road Home moves beyond dark predictions.

The Age of Miracles Michael Leader looks at the current state of feature animation and asks 10 panelists for their predictions regarding its future.

Note that, Ilya Prigogine (2002), commenting about bifurcation points in chemical reactions, states that «they demonstrate that even in our macroscopic level prediction of the future mix determinism and probability.

Welcome to my annual publishing predictions post where I prognosticate about the future and share my views on the state of the indie natio...

«Rather the focus must be upon the prediction of the probability distribution of the system s future possible states by the generation of ensembles of model solutions.

Hi, when I am discussing with climate skeptics, they often refer to the third report of the IPCC (page 774): «In climate research and modelling, we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.»

You could try quoting the very next sentence to them: «The most we can expect to achieve is the prediction of the probability distribution of the system's future possible states by the generation of ensembles of model solutions.»

For the future, data assimilation might help us to keep the state of a climate model closer to the real world's, allowing us to improve predictions on seasonal and decadal time scales.

In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.

Similarly, it can be useful to benchmark climate models against the observed record to establish some sort of reasonable initial state for future predictions.

The most we can expect to achieve is the prediction of the probability distribution of the system's future possible states....

Samson wrote: when I am discussing with climate skeptics, they often refer to the third report of the IPCC (page 774): «In climate research and modelling, we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.»

The IPCC acknowledged in its own 2007 report that «The long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.»

Even the IPCC said: «The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.

``... we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled nonlinear chaotic system, and therefore that the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.»

We must also communicate the growth in model uncertainty as model predictions of the future advance farther and farther from the present climate state.

«The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.»

Most of the world's Anhingas live in Latin America, though, so data from those regions will be needed to make broad predictions about overall future numbers or potential colonization of the predicted expansion of summer range based on Audubon's climate model in the southern United States.

Similarly, a «prediction» of a future state can be very uncertain, and is in fact useless when interpreted as a deterministic forecast.

When you talk about predicting the actual state of the system at some future point (e.g. by analogy with weather prediction), you're just pitching the other side an easy slow ball.

To equate climate models with «bad» science must be understood to be an attempt to undermine any scientific justification for climate change policies because models are needed to make predictions about the future states of complex systems.

The case studies reflect on the fact that, despite their remoteness and limited resources, many Small Island Developing States are now leading the world in their application of climate prediction services to strengthen their economies and develop a brighter, more hopeful future for their communities.

The 2001 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Report that governments accept as certain predictions of future weather says, «In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.»

I also believe that the prediction of future ice states in the Arctic is not possible in any meaningful sense.

The IPCC states that the prediction of future climate states is not possible.

... in climate research and modeling we should recognise that we are dealing with a complex non linear chaotic signature and therefore that long - term prediction of future climatic states is not possible...

«The large - scale winds would look better because the release of latent heat drives a lot of those winds, and climate sensitivity would be better constrained because not only is the base state highly dependent on convective parameterization but the model predictions for future climate change are also very sensitive to that as well.»

Even IPCC's 2001 summary assessment report conceded that «The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.»

«WG1.said «we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled nonlinear chaotic system, and therefore that the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.

The models don't work because a) their continuing tendency to exaggerate beyond reason indicates prejudice on the part of those who are supplying them with data; and b) «the climate is a coupled, non-linear chaotic object», and, therefore, «the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible» (IPCC, 2001, para. 14.2.2.2).

I would reming these believers that the 2003 report says:» In climate research and modelling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.»

IPCC AR3 2001 Paragraph 5 section 14.2.2.2 states «In climate research and modelling, we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.»

As said by IPCC in its TAR (2001) «we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.»

Truth n ° 21 As said by IPCC in its TAR (2001) «we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.»

In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the prediction of a specific future climate state is not possible.»

Prediction of future climate states is utterly impossible

Pekka, are you saying that you do not believe that predictions of future climate states are highly speculative?

Weather forecast is the attempt to make a best possible prediction of the exact state of the system at all locations at a specific point in time in the future.

an acceptable prediction of an instantaneous state in the distant future may well be impossible..........

That forecast is consistent with a statement in the aforementioned IPCC technical report: «In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long - term prediction of future climate states is not possible.»