Sentences with phrase «prediction skill of»

Therefore, decadal hydrological prediction requires an understanding of both the externally forced component and the prediction skill of internally generated decadal hydroclimate variability.

By contrast, the prediction skill of fire frequency in the Northern US is limited to 1 year.

This study evaluates the hydrologic prediction skill of a dynamical climate model - driven hydrologic prediction system (CM - HPS), based on an ensemble of statistically - downscaled outputs from the Canadian Seasonal to Interannual Prediction System (CanSIPS).

Prediction skill of the climate models is the issue that matters.

Not exact matches

That actually works, too, because Minuum's prediction and autocorrecting skills are much more aggressive than most of its peers.

The Demo trading account has made it easy for newbies as well as for professional traders to test their trading skills and also evaluate the percentage of their accurate predictions.

his predictions for this season are already in tatters after just 6 weeks which is no surprise to me as he cant put out a balanced quality XI as he hasnt built it due to a mixture of his arrogance and cheapness... so let me say it again draxler griezman and kondogbia should and could have been brought in (griezman should have been chased at end of season wenger knew his skills and before he signed an extension with athletico)... walcott ramsey flamini and arteta sold... net spend about 50 to 60m... or the price of sterling....

Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...

Also of note is the finding that the best performing young footballers who will go on to play the sport professionally display superior dribbling skills, endurance capacity and tactical awareness compared to their peers, from as early as 14 years of age.9 17 These differences appear well before it is possible to accumulate 10 000 h of practice, but allow predictions of which players will go on to achieve best performances in adulthood, suggesting that the effectiveness of and response to training, rather than simply training, determines success.

The game is now open for predictions ahead of MCFC's match against Arsenal this Saturday, so show us your prediction skills and be in with a chance of winning this once in a lifetime prize!

Hertenstein promises to reveal my skill for making «reliably good predictions across many spheres of life».

«We believe that our findings have implications for prediction and diagnosis of later language deficits and for intervention that may improve language skills,» explained lead author Susan Goldin - Meadow, the Beardsley Ruml Distinguished Service Professor in Psychology at the University.

By working on the still - not - fully - cracked nut of estimating changes in hurricane frequency and intensity in a warming climate, Gabe and his colleagues ended up with a modeling system with seasonal skill in regional hurricane prediction.

He combines this expertise with the gained skills of numerical weather prediction, electrical engineering, and economics.

Balmaseda, M.A., M.K. Davey, and D.L.T. Anderson, 1995: Decadal and seasonal dependence of ENSO prediction skill.

What's more, if the predictions of Mankiw's approach had come true, we would expect that unskilled Indians would want to move to the United States, while skilled Indians would stay put.

Helps childrent to analyse chapter 1 of Street Child and use their prediction skills.

*** Includes 129 original reading passages and comprehension questions *** *** Includes 30 fluency passages *** *** Includes 11 Reading Posters *** - character, setting, realism and fantasy, main idea and details, cause and effect, author's purpose, compare and contrast, sequence, plot, theme, and drawing conclusions *** Includes four level charts for teachers, parents, or students, so that they can keep track of their progress *** *** Includes a roster - words correct per minute for each student / child for fall / winter / spring *** Skills addressed in this resource: # 1 - think and search # 2 - author and me # 3 - analyze text structure # 4 - identify setting # 5 - identify character # 6 - identify plot # 7 - make and confirm predictions # 8 - cause and effect # 9 - compare and contrast # 10 - retell # 11 - classify and categorize # 12 - alliteration # 13 - rhyme and rhythmic patterns # 14 - onomatopoeia # 15 - similes # 16 - repetition and word choice # 17 - sensory language # 18 - study skills # 19 - text features # 20 - genres This is GREAT practice for testing while also providing a lot of fluency praSkills addressed in this resource: # 1 - think and search # 2 - author and me # 3 - analyze text structure # 4 - identify setting # 5 - identify character # 6 - identify plot # 7 - make and confirm predictions # 8 - cause and effect # 9 - compare and contrast # 10 - retell # 11 - classify and categorize # 12 - alliteration # 13 - rhyme and rhythmic patterns # 14 - onomatopoeia # 15 - similes # 16 - repetition and word choice # 17 - sensory language # 18 - study skills # 19 - text features # 20 - genres This is GREAT practice for testing while also providing a lot of fluency praskills # 19 - text features # 20 - genres This is GREAT practice for testing while also providing a lot of fluency practice!

This First Grade Literacy Centers for the Year includes: Unit 1: - phonics: short a - words to know - comprehension: character chart - comprehension: character - ending: s, short a - fluency - text features: photographs - phonics: short a - double final consonants - study skills: parts of a book - phonics: short I - phonics: final blends: nd, st, nt, nk - comprehension: author's purpose chart - cvcc words - literacy element: rhyme and more... Unit 2: - phonics: short o - words to know - comprehension: main idea and details web - comprehension: main idea and details - ending: ed - fluency - phonics: digraphs: sh, th - ending: - ing - fluency - study skill: dictionary - phonics: digraphs: sh, th, short e, o - phonics: short u - contractions:'s - fluency - text features: directions and more... Unit 3: - phonics: long a - words to know - comprehension: predictions chart - comprehension: make predictions - endings: - ed, - ing - words to know - comprehension: compare and contrast - chart - one - and two - syllable words - fluency - literary element: word choice - phonics: digraphs: ch, tch, wh - phonics: long I - phonics: blends, scr, spl, spr, str and more... Unit 4: - phonics: long o - words to know - endings: - er, - est - literary element: repetition - phonics: long o, i, a - phonics: long u - words to know - comprehension: conclusions chart - comprehension: draw conclusions - fluency - vocabulary strategy: context clues - CVCe words - text feature: floor plan - phonics: long u, o and more... Unit 5: - phonics: long o - words to know - comprehension: fantasy and reality chart - comprehension: fantasy and reality - fluency - vocabulary strategy: dictionary - ending: - y - comprehension: problem and solution chart - comprehension: problem and solution - fluency - vocabulary strategy: word parts - endings: - er, - est - text feature: diagram - phonics: r - controlled vowel: ar - abbreviations: Mr., Sat., Dr. @Little Tots Learning Enjoy!

There are activities and worksheets to develop the skill of working out the meaning of words from context, including a crossword for each chapter; understanding and analysing character; prediction; text structureand analysis; summarising the text and 3 differentiated comprehensions for the final chapter which focus on inference.

Making Predictions: «The King's Choice» A fairy tale and follow - up activities teach the skill of making pPredictions: «The King's Choice» A fairy tale and follow - up activities teach the skill of making predictionspredictions.

«The answer is to focus on timeless skills rather than cherry - picking based on predictions of employers» needs,» writes Adam Steiner (@steineredtech).

Introduce word prediction to students in upper elementary school, after they have had plenty of intervention to improve spelling skills and they have plateaued.

Students generate predictions of what will happen when they apply this information or skill in different contexts.

They measures students» attainment of skills such as understanding story events, drawing conclusions, making predictions, identifying the main idea, using vocabulary strategies, identifying supporting details, identifying point of view, evaluating ideas, understanding features that distinguish genres, and using figurative language to interpret text.

This form of brief assessment measures overall performance of key foundational skills at each grade level and draws upon over thirty years of scientific research that demonstrates both its versatility to provide accurate prediction of reading and math achievement as well as its sensitivity to growth.

The Lowcountry Montessori School Secondary Program (middle and high school) represents and integration of South Carolina core standards and educational requirements, the most current research on the developmental needs of adolescents, the Montessori approach to education, research - based learning theory and teaching methods, and the predictions of the skills needed to lead a productive life of continuous learning and cooperation.

Predict and win contest is one kind of a contest from Epic Research which tests the analytic skills of traders and enhances their prediction skills to analyze the market and do in depth analysis to predict the Market price.

A pachinko player's deepest skill is the recognition, prediction, and mindfulness of patterns.

Predictability, Prediction quality / skill, and A projection is a potential future evolution of a quantity or set of quantities... Unlike predictions, projections are conditional on assumptions....

The fact that the hindcasts with their method perform worse than a standard IPCC scenario, the number of failed previous cooling predictions, the negative skill in the Gulf Stream and deep - water formation regions... should these not have cautioned them against going to the media to forecast a pause in global warming?

Norbert's legacy challenges those of us who engage in predictions to prove our skill and to understand and explain the limitations of our techniques so they are not used erroneously to misinform the public or to influence policy... more about that later and here.

«Norbert's legacy challenges those of us who engage in predictions to prove our skill and to understand and explain the limitations of our techniques so they are not used erroneously to misinform the public or to influence policy»

However, the annual mean predictions for the global temperature that they issue every year does have some skill — being based mainly on the state of ENSO at the start of the year.

I do agree that as one starts to look at smaller scales and finer details, the skill of any prediction is likely to decrease.

Collins (2002) investigated this type of climate prediction, and found limited skill using a few metrics, in a few regions (one of these included the north Atlantic).

In online science discussions, the fate of this years summer sea ice has been the focus of a significant betting pool, a test of expert prediction skills, and a week - by - week (almost) running commentary.

And one more thing that really bothers me about climate model predictions that is rarely discussed around here, and kind of swept into the closet, which is prediction skill.

We all know that prediction skill is effectively a measure of the correctness of a model, but that is not the whole story, or even most of the story.

This can involve «perfect model» experiments (where you test to see whether you can predict the evolution of a model simulation given only what we know about the real world), or hindcasts (as used by K08), and only where there is demonstrated skill is there any point in making a prediction for the real world.

What you guys will not come clean about however, is that these initial conditions of the ocean / atmosphere also impart a large range of uncertainty on multi-decadal predictions, even though you are invoking changes in boundary values to gain skill.

So, in closing, I'm still waiting for some skill or predictions of periodicities between the Earth and Jupiter / Saturn, known and confirmed periodicities, because, by golly, I don't believe everything in our Solar System is actually made up out of literally hundreds and hundreds of constants.

However, 95 % of the time, each model is performing at about the same skill level as quiescent weather is not particularly challenging for today's numerical prediction systems.

«Contributed to the skill of retrospective decadal sea ice predictions»?.

External radiative forcing contributes to the skill of retrospective decadal sea ice predictions

Mark also explained how the prediction of climate indices is related to the prediction of average variables, and how this relationship can be used to predict the skill of climate indices (which is not always straightforward).

Skill (or lack of) in regional predictions is, I believe, not very good, and it's a big concern for honest modelers.

Although the forecast quality of climate predictions in Europe is low, sometimes the realism and reliability of these predictions can overcome the lack of skill.

``... since uncertainty is a structural component of climate and hydrological systems, Anagnostopoulos et al. (2010) found that large uncertainties and poor skill were shown by GCM predictions without bias correction... it can not be addressed through increased model complexity....

WG3 is by far the least credible part of the IPCC, making speculative predictions of consequences based on warming calculated by models with no demonstrated predictive skill.