Not exact matches
So far, like past
predictions of America's accepting the metric
system and adoption of soccer
as a national pastime because, after all, all the other countries are doing it, we're still waiting for that to happen.
Recent results have indeed been able to show that probabilistic
predictions in quantum mechanicslogically follow, without any additional postulates, from the description of individual quantum
systems, with the aid of the wave function, which can be expressed,
as we have seen, in a completely non-probabilistic way and the assumption that the objective properties of the
system can be obtained by measurements with certainty.
The Sports Illustrated cover wasn't
as outrageous at the time
as some claimed — sure, it was funny
as hell to see a
prediction like that, but baseball teams run in cycles, and the Astros» farm
system was ready for harvesting.
In Chicago, the Park District will use a new high - tech
system that uses computer software to give real - time
predictions of bacteria counts based on such factors
as water temperature, modeling of the lake bottom and wave action monitored by buoys.
Taking into account the well - known pro-Labour bias in the electoral
system as well
as prediction uncertainty, the method suggested then that the Tories would have a 64 % chance of being the largest party in parliament.
As if all this weren't enough, the
system transmitted the
predictions over a high - speed Internet connection to Kyoto, Japan, and into the actuators of a robot named CB - 1 (for Computational Brain), which was designed to have a remarkably humanlike range of motion.
«This study takes an integrated approach that addresses the need to advance Arctic environmental research at the
system level, a challenge that has been recognized by the broad scientific community
as necessary to improve
predictions of future change,» said Cox.
«We have found an implementation of the
system that allows us to go in the lab and actually test the
predictions of the Dicke model, and some extensions of it
as well, in a
system that is not nearly
as complicated
as people always thought it has to be for the Dicke physics,» Engels said.
The method combines a model for
systems such
as weather or climate with real - world data points to develop
predictions about the future.
The radar warning
system, known
as Frontiers, uses a radar network to scan the skies for rainfall and to make
predictions of rain up to six hours ahead.
«
As a result, some atmospheric circulations systems can not be resolved by these models, and this clearly impacts the accuracy of climate change predictions as shown in our study.&raqu
As a result, some atmospheric circulations
systems can not be resolved by these models, and this clearly impacts the accuracy of climate change
predictions as shown in our study.&raqu
as shown in our study.»
As anyone who has used them knows, text
prediction systems in phones, search engines and word processors often get things wrong, sometimes hilariously.
The arrangement works well most of the time because
System 1 is generally very good at what it does: its models of familiar situations are accurate, its short - term
predictions are usually accurate
as well, and its initial reactions to challenges are swift and generally appropriate.
Although the CHARLES solver was developed to tackle problems like high - fidelity jet engine simulation and supersonic jet noise
prediction, it had never been applied to predict combustion dynamics in a configuration
as complex
as a GE gas turbine combustion
system.
A new integrated climate model developed by Oak Ridge National Laboratory and other institutions is designed to reduce uncertainties in future climate
predictions as it bridges Earth
systems with energy and economic models and large - scale human impact data.
Existing
prediction systems failed to forecast the global crash of 2008, which led to several governments bailing out their banks and European nations, such
as Greece, Portugal, Ireland and Spain, being plunged into a sovereign debt crisis.
While such a trial is unlikely on U.S. soil, experts say, American geologists and seismologists are watching closely, surprised at a legal
system that would attempt to criminalize something
as uncertain
as earthquake
prediction.
The company's head of AI research Yann LeCun and research engineer Soumith Chintala have described their ideal
system as being «capable of not only text and image recognition but also higher - order functions like reasoning,
prediction and planning, rivaling the way humans think and behave.»
Meet Barot joined the foundation in June 2016
as a part of the
systems biology group in the Simons Center for Data Analysis to develop protein function
prediction methods using deep learning techniques.
Why It Matters: Quantification of forces between crystal faces enables
predictions of complex behaviors in colloidal
systems such
as self - assembly, aggregation, and rheological properties of slurries.
Yet beyond observations and theory — and
as we also heard from Bill Boos — Jen's kind of science can play a key role in advancing societally - relevant
prediction systems.
Meet Barot joined the foundation in 2016
as a part of the
Systems Biology group in the Simons Center for Data Analysis to develop protein function
prediction methods using deep learning techniques.
More accurate solar power
predictions, known
as forecasts, allow utilities and electric
system operators to better understand generation patterns and maximize solar resources.
Researchers use a variety of information and tools, such
as mathematical modeling, to describe the complex interactions among components of a biological
system and make
predictions that help guide and further refine experimental science.
Early
predictions are that caloric cooling
systems could result in
as much
as a 30 percent higher efficiency than currently available vapor - compression products.
While not
as daft
as the Microsoft
system that required every employee in every unit to be placed on a normal curve, the five percent
prediction amounted to over 420 teachers a year.
My
prediction — and my hope — is that
as the flaws in these new
systems are revealed —
as known effective teachers get low scores and known ineffective teachers receive value - added merit - pay bonuses — the public will demand that these
systems are dismantled before they do any more damage.
- The newest advanced safety technologies (AST), which consists of the Mazda «Precrash Safety
System» (for the 23T grade)-- a state - of - the - art collision
prediction technology; the «Adaptive Front Lighting
System» that promotes a driver's visibility at night when a vehicle is cornering by turning the headlights» beam, depending on the steering direction; a Supplemental Restraint
System (SRS) that installs curtain & front side airbags to provide added protection to passengers sitting in all three rows of seats, are available
as options.
I became intrigued by this topic when
as an author with two dozen e-books on Smashwords I read founder Mark Coker's «2013 Book Publishing Industry
Predictions — Indie Ebook Authors Take Charge,» Among other things, Coker noted that «If Amazon could invent a
system to replace the author from the equation, they'd do that,» and went on to describe how one innovative publisher, ICON Group International has already patented a
system that automatically generates non-fiction books, and he worries that
as the field of artificial intelligence increases, «how long until novelists are disinter - mediated by machines.»
Some of the Fire - specific features for video include the Advanced Streaming and
Prediction (ASAP) service, a video - buffering
system that anticipates the TV shows and movies you are likely to watch next,
as well
as On Deck, which preloads popular content onto your device while it is sleeping.
As the Nexus are Google's means of showcasing a «pure Android» build of its latest operating
system updates, @evleaks»
prediction would seem to indicate that Android 4.4 KitKat will debut at the same time.
This
prediction may be a result of my own ignorance — I feel like when Microsoft first announced Call of Duty: Ghosts for the Xbox One, that they may have mentioned something about securing DLC first on their
system for this «generation»
as well, but I can't quite remember — but I feel like signs are pointing towards Call of Duty being a «PlayStation first» title for the first time in franchise history with Call of Duty: Black Ops III.
But we already do a lot of regional scale
predictions, such
as those provided by the National Integrated Drought Information
System.»
Approximately 1300 five - day idealized simulations are performed using a higher - resolution version of the GFDL hurricane
prediction system (grid spacing
as fine
as 9 km, with 42 levels).»
While I completely agree with your assertion that
prediction of complex
systems is done but poorly, I would take issue with the use of the $ 100 / bl price of oil causing catastrophe in the economy
as not having proven the case.
Basing
predictions off of the well - known orbital patterns of the earth / moon / sun
system could make future
predictions as straightforward
as producing tidal tables.
However, 95 % of the time, each model is performing at about the same skill level
as quiescent weather is not particularly challenging for today's numerical
prediction systems.
Canadian Ice Service, 4.7, Multiple Methods
As with CIS contributions in June 2009, 2010, and 2011, the 2012 forecast was derived using a combination of three methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter arctic ice thicknesses and extents, as well as an examination of Surface Air Temperature (SAT), Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predictor
As with CIS contributions in June 2009, 2010, and 2011, the 2012 forecast was derived using a combination of three methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter arctic ice thicknesses and extents,
as well as an examination of Surface Air Temperature (SAT), Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predictor
as well
as an examination of Surface Air Temperature (SAT), Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predictor
as an examination of Surface Air Temperature (SAT), Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR)
prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predictors.
Canadian Ice Service, 4.7 (+ / - 0.2), Heuristic / Statistical (same
as June) The 2015 forecast was derived by considering a combination of methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter Arctic ice thickness extents,
as well
as winter Surface Air Temperature, Sea Level Pressure and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) a simple statistical method, Optimal Filtering Based Model (OFBM), that uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate the September sea ice extent timeseries into the future and 3) a Multiple Linear Regression (MLR)
prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predictors.
There has been a recent emphasis in decadal - scale
prediction, and also creating a marriage between climate and fields such
as synoptic - dynamic meteorology... something relatively new (and a different sort of problem, than say, estimating the boundary condition change in a 2xCO2 world);
as Susan Solomon mentioned in her writing, a lot of people have become much more focused on the nature of the «noise» inherent within the climate
system, something which also relates to Kevin Trenberth's remarks about tracking Earth's energy budget carefully.
As a follow - on to the current Sea Ice
Prediction Network project, a collaborative proposal called «Collaborative Research: Advancing Predictability of Sea Ice: Phase 2 of the Sea Ice
Prediction Network (SIPN2)» has been funded by NSF - Arctic
System Science Program.
In the wider field we have people like Wally Broecker who are concerned with abrupt climate change — emergent bahaviour
as a result of internal changes in the
system — and the implications of dynamic complexity for
prediction.
This, given the climate change requirements, and technology cost forecasts for wind and solar, the emergence of battery storage and home management
systems,
as well
as solar thermal plus storage at utility scale, not to mention the fuel cost of coal and gas, and the financing risk attached to that, seems an extraordinary
prediction.
Even though the
prediction problem itself is seamless, the best practical approach to it may be described
as unified: models aimed at different time scales and phenomena may have large commonality but place emphasis on different aspects of the
system.
The overarching goal of this WCRP research effort, led by WCRP's Core Project «Climate and Ocean Variability, Predictability and Change» (CLIVAR)
as a Research Focus, is to establish a quantitative understanding of the natural and anthropogenic mechanisms of regional to local sea level variability; to promote advances in observing
systems required for an integrated sea level monitoring; and to foster the development of sea level
predictions and projections that are of increasing benefit for coastal zone management.
Further, just
as seasonal - to - interannual
predictions start from an estimate of the state of the climate
system, there is a growing realization that decadal and longer - term climate
predictions could be initialized with estimates of the current observed state of the atmosphere, oceans, cryosphere, and land surface.
It is not a
prediction — independent of the underlying physical causes of Pacific climate variability, an understanding of the PDO and ENSO
as behaving like a complex and dynamic
system in chaos theory emerged from a 2007 study by Tsonis et al..
J. T. Fasullo, R. S. Nerem & B. Hamlington Scientific Reports 6, Article number: 31245 (2016) doi: 10.1038 / srep31245 Download Citation Climate and Earth
system modellingProjection and
prediction Received: 13 April 2016 Accepted: 15 July 2016 Published online: 10 August 2016 Erratum: 10 November 2016 Updated online 10 November 2016 Abstract Global mean sea level rise estimated from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint on climate variability and change and is expected to accelerate
as the rates of both ocean warming and cryospheric mass loss increase over time.
We must maintain and extend the existing global climate observing
systems [Riser et al., 2016; von Schuckmann et al., 2016]
as well
as develop improved coupled (ocean - atmosphere) climate assessment and
prediction tools to ensure reliable and continuous monitoring for Earth's energy imbalance, ocean heat content, and sea level rise.
Scientific
predictions are only
as good
as the science behind them, if you put junk data in you get junk results, hardly scientific at all, it's a bogus belief
system that calls itself science and like all such
systems it requires ardent blind followers to keep the fires of the faith burning without ever questioning anything no matter how utterly absurd.