At first glance, the research required to make educated
predictions about the future on many parts of the planet seems incredibly daunting.
UNWARRANTED EXTRAPOLATION — making huge
predictions about the future on the basis of a few small facts.
Not exact matches
Readers are cautioned that these forward - looking statements are only
predictions and may differ materially from actual
future events or results due a variety of factors, including, among other things, that conditions to the closing of the transaction may not be satisfied, the potential impact
on the business of Accompany due to the uncertainty
about the acquisition, the retention of employees of Accompany and the ability of Cisco to successfully integrate Accompany and to achieve expected benefits, business and economic conditions and growth trends in the networking industry, customer markets and various geographic regions, global economic conditions and uncertainties in the geopolitical environment and other risk factors set forth in Cisco's most recent reports
on Form 10 - K and Form 10 - Q.
Bloomberg Television's Scarlet Fu spoke with him
about his entrepreneurial journey, his work with his father, as well as
predictions on the
future of the media and venture capital industries.
I asked Brian to come
on the show after reading his article «The
Future Of Content Marketing: 6
Predictions For Content Curation» to talk
about high level strategy in content creation vs. curation.
Here is what I did take away from the book, which I think is a valuable insight: The Book of Revelation is not just a
prediction about future events which will happen during the Tribulation and Millennium, and therefore, has little - to - no impact
on our lives today.
This leads him to his key point: «Let us make no mistake; the data we now have at hand should serve as a dire warning: Unless we act decisively, many of today's converts will be one - generation Jews — Jews with non-Jewish parents and non-Jewish children,» But Sarna concludes
on a note that most Jews would find more hopeful: «Learned Jews and non-Jews have been making dire
predictions about the
future (or end) of the Jewish people for literally thousands of years — long before William Wirt and long after him — and, as we have seen, their
predictions have proved consistently wrong.
Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs
on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real
future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved
on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders
on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a
prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly
about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed
on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building
on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good
about the way their
future potential employer feels
about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule
about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence
on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time
on the training table as
on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought
on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger
on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...
Metaculus solicits answers to questions
about the
future —
on topics spanning science, politics and economics — and combines these
predictions to infer the likely outcomes.
Researchers at the Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ) and the German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) have now revealed,
on the basis of historical data, how plant diversity in the region of Halle an der Saale has changed in over 300 years of urbanization, and have also made
predictions about the
future.
«A better understanding of the controls
on reef development in the past will allow us to make better
predictions about which reefs may be most vulnerable to climate change in the
future.»
His model also makes specific
predictions about the effect these clouds will have
on the planet's climate and the types of information that
future telescopes, like the James Webb Space Telescope, will be able to gather.
Oppenheimer and his co-authors use a technique known as «structured expert judgment» to put an actual value
on the uncertainty that scientists studying climate change have
about a particular model's
prediction of
future events such as sea - level rise.
Dr. Eng delivers plenary lecture at 2011 Healthsmart Forum
on reform legislation and the
future of integrated self - funded healthcare Charis Eng, MD, PhD, FACP, Hardis / ACS Professor and Chair of the Genomic Medicine Institute and Director of its Center for Personalized Genetic Healthcare, delivered a plenary lecture
about genetics and genomics - enabled disease risk assessment,
prediction and tailored medical management.
RC often touches
on the last two, but the answer to the all - important first question is rarely (if ever — I don't ever remember seeing an answer) mentioned even though it seems to be the best way to derive some sort of
prediction about the
future that doesn't rely
on not - ready - for - prime - time systems.
Truth is, if you can suffer through Roos's device of insouciant half - screen captions that periodically comment
on the action, critique his characters, broadly clarify his themes, and make
predictions about their
futures (a lot like the video for Van Halen's «Right Now») without punching the person in front of you, you're made of sterner stuff than I. They've honestly handed out Purple Hearts for less.
Climatologist Jack Hall (Dennis Quaid) finds his dire
predictions about global warming and the
future of the world falling
on deaf ears — until the forecasted weather changes begin happening in a matter of hours instead of the anticipated years or decades.
Nonetheless, one of the irrational exceptions
on rational economic theory which is observable and systematic is that human beings are inherently overconfident
about their capability, knowledge and
future predictions (Economist, 2010).
This is particularly the case in math, while
predictions about future English language arts (ELA) performance based
on initial ELA value added are less precise.
Welcome to my annual publishing
predictions post where I prognosticate
about the
future and share my views
on the state of the indie natio...
What makes this transformation in capital even more meaningful is that it is based
on what actually happened in FY 2017 rather than
predictions about what might happen in the
future.
But it helps avoid the numerous false signals that those who invest based
on predictions about the
future inevitably endure.
Value investors * price * assets based
on their value * now * (based
on data from the present) rather than make
predictions about markets in the *
future.
One of our biggest influences is Warren Buffett, who stresses that
predictions about the
future should be based
on an understanding of economic fundamentals and human nature, not
on historical returns, correlations and volatilities.
I don't want to make any precise
predictions about the
future, but if things just stay
on the same trajectory as 2013 then we can look forward to lots more great indie games.
RC often touches
on the last two, but the answer to the all - important first question is rarely (if ever — I don't ever remember seeing an answer) mentioned even though it seems to be the best way to derive some sort of
prediction about the
future that doesn't rely
on not - ready - for - prime - time systems.
Earlier you said «This site has tiny handful of the
predictions made and how they have failed» yet all the examples you have given appear to be
about either projections of global temperatures, which I am sure others will pick up
on if you want to push the issue, or the timespan we have available to take action to avoid committing ourselves to
future consequences.
There are many who will not like this recent paper published in Nature Communications
on principle as it talks of the hiatus in global temperatures for the past 20 years or so, that the Little Ice Age was global in extent, and that climate models can not account for the observations we already have let alone make adequate
predictions about what will happen in the
future.
With all the talk this week
about future climate — the global warming imagined by IPCC crystal ball models, that is — the focus for many is rightly
on the gulf between
predictions and observations that have taken place so far.
Most of the world's Anhingas live in Latin America, though, so data from those regions will be needed to make broad
predictions about overall
future numbers or potential colonization of the predicted expansion of summer range based
on Audubon's climate model in the southern United States.
In particular, I hope that impugning models as a means of rejecting serious concerns
about the
future consequences of anthropogenic CO2 emissions will be seen as misguided — based
on the false assumption that without models, the edifice of climate
prediction will collapse.
Rather than focusing just
on methane leakage, the authors of the ERL paper surveyed 23 experts to get their
predictions about future natural gas supply and then fed those assumptions into a model of the energy system.
The reason I wondered
about a
prediction, is that in the film they talk
about the past climate changes, if they are so certain that their interpretation
on past climate is correct for the past, then sureley a
prediction for the
future would be a good test of their interpretation.
As an exercise in making
predictions about the
future, is it possible to predict what kinds of impacts the Governor's order will have
on the public utility industry in California?
«In terms of how we should think
about climate change
prediction in the
future, reducing emissions and so
on, it really wouldn't make much of a difference.»
But there are also similarities in that both the climate and returns
on financial assets are complex, chaotic systems
about which making
predictions about future events are fiendishly difficult.
In an article
on «the perils of confirmation bias,» published for the Global Warming Policy Foundation (a group firmly opposed to policies that counteract climate change), Ridley suggested that «governments should fund groups that intend to explore alternative hypotheses
about the likely
future of climate as well as those that explore the dangerous man - made climate change
prediction.»
On a very simple level, climate alarmism is all
about making dire
predictions of what'll happen in the
future.
The weather
prediction model used in this research is advantageous because it assesses details
about future climate at a smaller geographic scale than global models, providing reliable simulations not only
on the amounts of summer precipitation, but also
on its frequency and timing.
With the Web celebrating its 25th birthday, there have been many
predictions about the
future of technology and its impact
on legal services.
Commenting
on a question
about her
predictions for the
future of the legal profession DeStefano says:
With 2007 drawing to a close, I've noticed a couple of posts
on the «state of the blogosphere» and
predictions about the
future.
The Competition Tribunal may make
predictions about the
future based
on the evidence before it.
Due to all the focus
on male blockchain stars, at public events it's common to see Buterin deflecting pleas for messianic
predictions about the
future as he struggles to speak with peers who are actually working
on open source projects.
Working
on the position of a technical investment and handling all the duties and responsibilities of this position efficiently, these duties and responsibilities are as follows: mainly responsible for analyzing the past performance of the stock market and making
predictions about the
future performance of the stock market, providing correct information
about the market to the customers, responsible providing help in making an investment to the clients, responsible for attending meetings with the financial manager to prepare new strategies and plans for the investment, responsible for solving customers» problems and queries
about the market conditions
We're not exactly sure why (we didn't have strong
predictions about gender), but it could be because women are traditionally more sensitive to moral violations that could involve causing harm to others (women typically score higher
on empathy), 5 and that women are more sensitive to disgusting things, 6 which would include sexual norm violations.7 We suggest that
future research further investigate gender differences in moral reasoning.
Barber talks
about some of the things that attracted him to Cambridge Realty Capital in the first place and shares some of his
predictions for what is to come in the
future of the senior housing industry, including insightful commentary
on the upcoming «silver tsunami» and its potential impact.