Does that mean, since I see evidence for a global warming in the last 100 years and also an anthropogenic influence, that I am in the «apocalyptic half» of this study, beside the fact, that I am indeed very skeptical of
the predictions for our future as given in the IPCC - reports?
Not exact matches
Social Fresh's The
Future of Social, in collaboration with Firebrand Group and Simply Measured, reveals the state of social media in 2016 as well as bold predictions for the f
Future of Social, in collaboration with Firebrand Group and Simply Measured, reveals the state of social media in 2016
as well
as bold
predictions for the
futurefuture.
When asked
for his
prediction for the
future of Bitcoin in terms of the custody issue Bogart talked about new buyers using apps like Robinhood and Square
as well
as major exchanges like Coinbase.
Ever after, Darbyism served
as a powerful antidote to infidelity,
for it seemed to show that the Bible's
predictions about
future events invariably proved true.
This leads him to his key point: «Let us make no mistake; the data we now have at hand should serve
as a dire warning: Unless we act decisively, many of today's converts will be one - generation Jews — Jews with non-Jewish parents and non-Jewish children,» But Sarna concludes on a note that most Jews would find more hopeful: «Learned Jews and non-Jews have been making dire
predictions about the
future (or end) of the Jewish people
for literally thousands of years — long before William Wirt and long after him — and,
as we have seen, their
predictions have proved consistently wrong.
Time
for some brutal honesty... this team,
as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real
future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of
for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in,
as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position...
as far
as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment,
as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a
prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous
for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their
future potential employer feels about them)... in order
for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer
as a result of his presence on the pitch...
as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal
for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money
for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul...
for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just
as much time on the training table
as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid
for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up
for half the price he eventually went to Juve
for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore
as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness
for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...
But he is hopeful
for the
future of satellite - based
prediction — even
as it becomes a greater necessity in a changing climate and globalized world.
The method combines a model
for systems such
as weather or climate with real - world data points to develop
predictions about the
future.
He hopes the model will be useful
for future predictions along these lines, such
as looking at pathways of disease progression.
But we're trying to make
predictions about what's going to happen under global environmental change and use that
as a basis
for protection and developing a sustainable
future.
Although Sunday sees her work
as laying the groundwork
for less pessimistic
predictions of the
future fate of marine life, not everyone agrees that the approach is realistic.
This is not a new idea: Two millennia ago, Aristotle and Galen emphasized memory
as a tool in making successful
predictions for the
future.
The paleoclimate data, which included mainly changes in the oxygen isotopes of the calcium carbonate deposits, were then compared to similar records from other caves, ice cores, and sediment records
as well
as model
predictions for water availability in the Middle East and west central Asia today and into the
future.
«The authors clearly demonstrate that a human influence on wildland fire
as a consequence of global warming isn't just a
prediction for the
future — it's happening now,» said Kevin Anchukaitis, a University of Arizona scientist who was not involved with the study.
In this interview, Julie talks about personal branding
as it relates to online dating, her
predictions for the
future of online dating, how...
In this interview, Julie talks about personal branding
as it relates to online dating, her
predictions for the
future of online dating, how the internet has affected online dating, and more.
Recognizing that the possibility of a faulty
prediction by the hitherto perfect Hal may bode ill
for the computer's control of the ship and it's mission, Poole and Bowman decide that, if the unit does not fail
as predicted, they will have to disconnect Hal to prevent
future, more serious errors.
As 2011 comes to a close I'm going to take this opportunity to reflect on key innovations and events of the last year and to stargaze into the
future with my
predictions for 2012.
As 2011 came to close and predictions were made for the future of the publishing industry, several sources within the industry supported the idea that transmedia reading was going to see huge gains in popularity this year as readers come to expect more from the technology behind e-reading and as authors and publishers clamor to stand out in the vast crowd of ebook
As 2011 came to close and
predictions were made
for the
future of the publishing industry, several sources within the industry supported the idea that transmedia reading was going to see huge gains in popularity this year
as readers come to expect more from the technology behind e-reading and as authors and publishers clamor to stand out in the vast crowd of ebook
as readers come to expect more from the technology behind e-reading and
as authors and publishers clamor to stand out in the vast crowd of ebook
as authors and publishers clamor to stand out in the vast crowd of ebooks.
To the extent that dystopian novels depict anxieties about the present rather than
predictions for the
future, it seems clear that contemporary writers are just
as concerned about women's rights
as Atwood was in 1985.
As industry predictions for the future of digital publishing came out at the end of last year, there seemed to be a division as to where the ePub format may be heade
As industry
predictions for the
future of digital publishing came out at the end of last year, there seemed to be a division
as to where the ePub format may be heade
as to where the ePub format may be headed.
I study stock trading
as a hobby because I'm fascinated by the possibility of using technology, technical strategy and other techniques in making
predictions about the
future and interpreting history to extrapolate what could happen next
for the purpose of making money.
A distinction can be drawn between fraudulent claims and legitimate claims,
as well, which allows
for a
prediction of the number of
future fraudulent claims that cost everyone money.
Of course,
predictions can only go so far, but experts review history, current trends, and expectations
for the
future to come up with their
predictions so they do carry a lot of weight with people who are planning to borrow money
as well
as those who are investing.
Issam Kazim, CEO, Dubai Corporation
for Tourism and Commerce Following his «The
Future of the UAE
As A Global Tourism Hub» session, Issam gave us his
predictions for 2016 and beyond.
But look: The
predictions for the
future would be more dire than before especially
as the aerosol cooling would not be expected to keep up.
There has been no shortage of
predictions for how the
future will look
as the climate changes.
There are many who will not like this recent paper published in Nature Communications on principle
as it talks of the hiatus in global temperatures
for the past 20 years or so, that the Little Ice Age was global in extent, and that climate models can not account
for the observations we already have let alone make adequate
predictions about what will happen in the
future.
As for future sea level rise, these
predictions are based on physics, not statistics.
Just
as a hypothetical example: If climate scientist will tell me that recent pause in global warming is due to the effect of an inactive sun (which is the reality
as reported by following) http://www.spaceweather.com and that they will go back and improve their models to account
for this, then I would be more inclined to believe their other claims... Instead the IPCC doubles down on their
predictions and claim the
future effects will be worst than they originally thought?
There may be various good arguments in regards to Thomas 2004 and Miles 2004,
as one would expect
for any preliminary
predictions of the
future, but criticizing a studied sample on the simple basis that it is a just sample is disingenuous.
@Marler: most interested people will take the extrapolations of his model into the
future as «
predictions»,
for all practical purposes.
For the near
future the uncertainty in climate
prediction justifies choosing polices that guide us towards net negative emissions
as quickly
as possible and the stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gases at levels significantly lower than today.
A look at the scientific evidence that supports the fact that climate change is occurring,
as well
as future predictions for the warming planet.
In deference to the unpredictable nature of attempting to forecast global climate (and
as an attempt to avoid mistakes previously made) the panel was more cautious than it was in past reports in making
predictions for the
future.
With or without Dr. Pratt's agreement, I think that most interested people will take the extrapolations of his model into the
future as «
predictions»,
for all practical purposes.
Within the confines of our work with RASM and CESM, we will: (i) quantify the added value of using regional models
for downscaling arctic simulations from global models, (ii) address the impacts of high resolution, improved process representations and coupling between model components on
predictions at seasonal to decadal time scales, (iii) identify the most important processes essential
for inclusion in
future high resolution GC / ESMs, e.g. ACME, using CESM
as a test bed, and (iv) better quantify the relationship between skill and uncertainty in the Arctic Region
for high fidelity models.
His Climategate fame is derived from his concern about a «travesty» that «we can't account
for the lack of warming at the moment,» in addition to his other failed
predictions such
as future hurricane horrors while administering discipline
as one of the scientific journal brown shirts.
2) CAGW movement type models never reconstruct any lengthy past history accurately without creative and unique adjustment of aerosol values used
as a fudge factor; that is why models of widely varying sensitivities supposedly all accurately reconstruct the past (different made - up assumed historical values used
for each) but fail in
future prediction, like they didn't predict how global average temperatures have been flat to declining over the past 15 years.
More complex examples (General Circulation Models) attempt to represent everything — clouds, air movement, rain, shrinking ice, ocean heat,
as well
as the interaction between all these things, which in effect define climate —
as well
as use archive information to model climates from the past, in order to make
predictions for the
future.
«The large - scale winds would look better because the release of latent heat drives a lot of those winds, and climate sensitivity would be better constrained because not only is the base state highly dependent on convective parameterization but the model
predictions for future climate change are also very sensitive to that
as well.»
As long as we are unable to give a sound explanation to this recent GW episode, predictions for the future based on computer models (incredibly intelligent though these may be) will sound rather unreliable to m
As long
as we are unable to give a sound explanation to this recent GW episode, predictions for the future based on computer models (incredibly intelligent though these may be) will sound rather unreliable to m
as we are unable to give a sound explanation to this recent GW episode,
predictions for the
future based on computer models (incredibly intelligent though these may be) will sound rather unreliable to me.
Yet
as those
predictions were not materialising, Brundtland was writing «Our Common
Future»
for the UNEDP, putting the case
for «the marriage of economy and ecology».
-- Muller believes humans are changing climate with CO2 emissions — humans have been responsible
for «most» of a 0.4 C warming since 1957, almost none of the warming before then — IPCC is in trouble due to sloppy science, exaggerated
predictions; chairman will have to resign — the «Climategate» mails were not «hacked» — they were «leaked» by an insider — due to «hide the decline» deception, Muller will not read any
future papers by Michael Mann — there has been no increase in hurricanes or tornadoes due to global warming — automobiles are insignificant in overall picture — China is the major CO2 producer, considerably more than USA today — # 1 priority
for China is growth of economy — global warming is not considered important — China CO2 efficiency (GDP per ton CO2) is around one - fourth of USA today, has much room
for improvement — China growth will make per capita CO2 emissions at same level
as USA today by year 2040 — if it is «not profitable» it is «not sustainable» — US energy
future depends on shale gas
for automobiles; hydrogen will not be a factor — nor will electric cars, due to high cost — Muller is upbeat on nuclear (this was recorded pre-Fukushima)-- there has been no warming in the USA — Muller was not convinced of Hansen's GISS temperature record; hopes BEST will provide a better record.
In this final section, I will try to make estimates of what subcap methane emissions may mean
for future climate change; more
as a speculative basis
for discussion rather than an authoritative
prediction.
In an article on «the perils of confirmation bias,» published
for the Global Warming Policy Foundation (a group firmly opposed to policies that counteract climate change), Ridley suggested that «governments should fund groups that intend to explore alternative hypotheses about the likely
future of climate
as well
as those that explore the dangerous man - made climate change
prediction.»
(formerly known
as anonymous) Coby, thanks
for the prompt answer on the other thread re higher confidence
for future predictions than
for past observations (I haven't expressed that well, but I got your gist).
Where's the tense that would allow environment reporters to write stories about
predictions about the
future as if they are occurring in the present,
for example?
I think the projections
for decades into the
future will prove
as sound
as Malthus» projections, the great whale oil crisis of the mid-19th century, the terrible horse manure health crisis projected
for cities in the early 20th century, Paul Ehrlich's
predictions of doom, and the disappearance of snow and ice in the world that plagues us in 2015.
But they are not worth their face value,
for an accurate rendering of the past is not the same thing
as an objective
prediction of the
future.