In 1992, we had just completed the first IPCC assessment report, here was their conclusion: «The size of this warming is broadly consistent
with predictions of climate models, but it is also of the same magnitude as natural climate variability. . .
Yet some of these recent extremes, such as the summer in March, are way beyond
the predictions of our climate models.
The team's findings, which are based on real, observed data, mirror
the predictions of the climate models.
Since the advent of the Argo project, the measurements have improved and the ocean's heat content has matched
the predictions of climate models, Durack said.
The world cooled by between 0.3 °C and 0.4 °C following the eruption, in line with the upper range of
the predictions of climate models for such a change in the atmosphere's heat balance.
Remember also that (IIRC) one of
the predictions of climate models is that warming is likely to result in more extremes of weather?
Remember also that (IIRC) one of
the predictions of climate models is that warming is likely to result in more extremes of weather?
Conclusions about the degree of human influence on the climate are based on
the predictions of climate models, which are unreliable because;
I wonder that absolutely NONE of our climate anxious politicians and NGO's seems to recognize this situation, which is an observable fact and not
a prediction of some climate models ensemble.
Not really a problem, since it's
a prediction of climate models and has been observed.
McArdle appears reluctant to embrace
the predictions of climate models under the assumption that they are similar to mid-century macroeconomic models, for which «o
McArdle appears reluctant to embrace
the predictions of climate models under the assumption that they are similar to mid-century macroeconomic models, for which «only the unflappable true believers place great weight on their predictive ability» these days.
Some apparent problems with
the predictions of climate models, for example, have actually turned out to be due to problems with real - world data caused by the failure to correct for factors such as the gradual changes in orbits of satellites.
The overall extent of Antarctic sea ice has bucked
the predictions of climate models, which say frozen continent's sea ice should be shrinking.
Here then are some reasons to continue to distrust
the predictions of climate models regardless of what happens to global temperatures.
This year one of the world's leading climate hydrologists, Demetris Koutsoyiannis, compared
the predictions of climate models since 1990 with actual rainfall and temperature data at eight regions throughout the world.
The collected data contradict
the predictions of climate models, which indicate that as a result of greenhouse gas buildup, there should be a warming trend in the southern polar region.
SPENCER: Roy Spencer, a contrarian with a university position and a NASA medal, but also with a track record of bad mistakes, co-published a defective paper in a non-climate journal (HERE) in July 2011, claiming that
some predictions of climate models are wrong.