As the real world evidence mounts that global warming claims are failing, climate activists have ramped up
predictions of future climate change impacts, declaring that it is «worse than we thought.»
Not exact matches
Comparing the snakes» most active temperature range with
predictions of shifts due to
climate change, the team pointed out that the timing
of seasonal activities may shift in the
future — which could
impact their interactions with other species.
Her research aims to enhance our understanding
of environmental
changes that
impact primary producer communities, as these influence the ecology and fitness
of higher trophic levels, and to inform
future spatial population trends in light
of current
predictions of climate change.
«We... propose that one should not rely solely on
prediction as the primary policy approach to assess the potential
impact of future regional and global
climate variability and
change.
Other key areas that require attention include quantification
of the effect
of trawling and mining on benthic habitats, assessment
of the
impacts of alien species, quantification
of the
impacts of pollution (sewage and storm water) in the nearshore environment, and the quantification and
prediction of future climate change effects.
A rational public and private sector response to the threat
of storm damage in a
changing climate must therefore acknowledge scientific uncertainties that are likely to persist beyond the time at which decisions will need to be made, focus more on the risks and benefits
of planning for the worst case scenarios, and recognize that the combination
of societal trends and the most confident aspects
of climate change predictions makes
future economic
impacts substantially more likely than does either one alone.
Accurate
predictions of the
future impacts of climate change on plant diversity are critical to the development
of conservation strategies.
If the researchers can understand how specific regions
of the earth are
impacted when the
climate changes, and how the
changes in those regions
impact other parts
of the globe, they can make better
predictions of how the planet will respond to
future climate change events.
In their
prediction of future climate, many IPCC models did not consider the expected ozone recovery and its potential
impacts on
climate change.
Overall, the synopsis emphasized the positive effects
of climate change over the negative, the uncertainty surrounding
predictions of future change rather than the emerging consensus and the low end
of harmful
impact estimates rather than the high end.
More usefully in terms
of future predictions, a recent paper in PNAS by Van Vuuren and co-workers (including a friend
of mine, Tom Wigley, who is an Adjunct Professor at the University
of Adelaide), assessed the
impact on
climate change of some plausible real - world actions.