Proponents still insist that with enough scrutiny, enough revision, and enough testing of the algorithms used,
the predictive abilities of machine learning can improve.
Yet it depends on myth - making, and overstating
the predictive abilities of climate science.
Since the 1950s, social scientists have been comparing
the predictive abilities of traditional experts, and what are known as «statistical prediction rules,» which are just simple models.
Metamaterial arrays whose geometry varied gradually from a symmetric bar to an asymmetric U-shape were used to compare
the predictive abilities of Miller's rule and a non-linear light scattering theory.
Whereas David Weinberger's speculations about
predictive abilities of big data — crunching models in «The Machine That Would Predict the Future» are intriguing, planners and social scientists aren't about to step aside just yet.
Adding two blood - borne proteins associated with cancer cell migration increases
the predictive ability of the current biomarker for pancreatic cancer to detect early stage disease, a research team from The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center reports in the Journal of the National Cancer Institute.
«More importantly, such understanding would significantly improve
our predictive ability of battery lifetime, which is of extremely high value to an electric car manufacturer,» Strmcnik added.
But so far the subterranean flow changes and rates of chemical reactions have been outpacing
the predictive ability of the maps.
Dr Gloria Aguayo from the Luxembourg Institute of Health (LIH) and co-workers examined
the predictive ability of 35 frailty scores for cardiovascular disease, cancer and all - cause mortality using data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing.
Furthermore, I plan to construct models that will describe how ecosystem structure may change in the face of multiple stressors, and compare these models against existing models of coral bleaching and disease to determine whether they offer novel insights or enhanced
predictive ability of these events.
Julio et al. (2012) explored
the predictive ability of an equation (1RM = -14.0 + [1.32 x repetitions] + [1.27 x load]-RRB- using repetition maximum bench press tests with 70, 80 and 90 % of 1RM.
When we examined whether students enroll in remedial courses in the tested subject specifically, we again found no statistically significant differences in
the predictive ability of either test.
Stale evidence hurts
the predictive ability of the scores lenders use to make underwriting decisions.
Two years ago, Arturo Estrella, a Fed economist who has done extensive research into
the predictive ability of the yield curve, was asked whether he thought the term spread still had its forecasting ability.
The paper adds further weight to
the predictive ability of low price - to - book value and low price - to - earnings ratios.
The Value Factor: Forecast vs. Actual Alpha To provide context for a discussion and demonstration of
the predictive ability of starting valuations to forecast five - year performance, we use the value factor to illustrate one of our major findings from the first article.
The variances indicate the importance of each index, yet neither MEI or PDO are well enough correlated with annual balance to provide any reasonable
predictive ability of the specific annual balance (Pelto and Miller, 2003).
Historical examples throughout the march of humanity to compare with the faith Western academics invest in
the predictive ability of their numerical models (General Circulation Models or GCMs) would be a list of some pretty odd rituals.
Second, we validate our overall predictions with users» actual review of their career history in order to optimize
the predictive ability of our overall match score.
Also, perception isn't just important in terms of sexual compatibility and
its predictive ability of sexual satisfaction.
Not exact matches
In other words, the two groups both said they were testing Twitter's
predictive ability; in reality, they both examined the accuracy
of predictions using tweets and additional data sources like movie openings in theaters and film ratings on International Movie Database and Rotten Tomatoes.
The man known for his
ability to see into the future has written a book that's largely about the limits
of our
predictive powers.
The most interesting chapters
of The Two - Second Advantage deal with attempts to take that human
predictive ability and to blend it with real - time computing — as the authors have it, to design and build
predictive systems that put «Gretzky's brain in a box.»
«The only metric that has been shown to have some degree
of predictive ability is low fund expense,» he said.
Psychologist Angela Duckworth, a protà © gà ©
of Seligman's, has done a range
of studies — on college students with low SAT scores, West Point plebes, and national spelling bee contestants, among others — and has found that a determined response to setbacks, an
ability to focus on a task, and other noncognitive character strengths are highly
predictive of success, much more so than IQ scores.
Logistic regression using a hierarchical stepwise method indicated that none
of the demographic factors, which were entered first, were found to be
predictive of the infants»
ability to achieve developmental milestones.
His
predictive abilities haven't exactly stood the test
of time
of late....
«Biologics is the fastest growing field in biotech, because it gives you the
ability to do highly
predictive designs with unique targeting capabilities,» says senior author Mehmet Fatih Yanik, an associate professor
of electrical engineering and computer science and biological engineering.
After analysis
of the data, preschoolers»
ability to categorize food was
predictive of hypothetical food choices.
They found that measures
of self - efficacy — a personality trait that underlies how much you believe in your own
abilities to accomplish a goal (as well as deal with the stresses that accompany working toward that goal)-- were
predictive of how risky a climber was willing to get.
The
predictive power
of the PET scan comes from its
ability to gauge the brain's average metabolism.
«We found that the number
of different compounds was highly
predictive of colony death, which suggests that the addition
of more compounds somehow overwhelms the bees»
ability to detoxify themselves.»
The study found that the
ability to withstand this stress was more
predictive of survival than other factors such as the overall amount
of water lost through leaves and the depth
of roots.
Validation
of its high - fidelity model and the
predictive accuracy
of its new simulation methods are giving GE the
ability to better integrate simulation directly into its product design cycle.
Aaron Ciechanover, speaking on a panel on the future
of biomedicine at the Lindau meeting, explains: «We may have the
ability to profile patients before they get sick, therefore we may have the
ability to predict diseases - and also «preventative» because if it's
predictive we can also point out the risks.
Limitations
of the study included the fact that interventions were routinely offered to women with a history
of pregnancy loss or early preterm birth if a short cervix was detected, which may have influenced the pregnancy outcome and slightly reduced the
predictive ability in this study, but ethically the study could not be conducted without providing some intervention.
The study also showed that a combination
of factors, including neurobehavioral symptom severity, walking
ability, and verbal fluency at one year after injury, was highly
predictive of poor outcomes five years later.
It is also recommended that the current voluntary restriction on insurers»
ability to ask for
predictive genetic test results should be renewed, in the light
of public concerns over genomic data disclosure to insurers and the risk that this might result in many «refusing their consent to receive additional findings from whole genome sequencing».
So we wanted to see if playfulness in Kindergarten had any
predictive ability to talk about how the children would be in First, Second and Third Grades, both in terms
of teacher's perspectives and in terms
of their classmates» perspectives.
They find that non-response is
predictive in six different national longitudinal data sets
of later life outcomes for students, including attainment, employment, and earnings, even after controlling for other relevant factors including cognitive
ability.
«We looked to see if morphological awareness was
predictive of comprehension
ability over and above just having a good vocabulary.
The fact that grit or other character skills may not be strongly
predictive of achievement test results is not surprising if these non-cog measures capture something that is important independently
of cognitive
ability.
The number
of items that students answered was
predictive of the highest level
of education students attained by 2010, controlling for a host
of factors including measures
of their cognitive
ability.
There are a number
of potential explanations for this finding, including a limited supply
of effective teachers (it's rational to keep a mediocre teacher if the likely replacement will be no better), a lack
of administrator
ability to discern teacher quality (their observations are less
predictive of value - added than those
of outside observers), or a simple unwillingness to make the unpleasant decision
of firing someone.
Behind the scenes
of the Teacher EPI is a research consortium
of individuals and organizations with expertise in research, education, psychometrics, and
predictive analytics, who worked together to pinpoint the exact skills and
abilities that lead to the most student gains.
This is literally an example
of how two children
of equal
ability (assuming you believe that an IQ test administered to a four - year - old is
predictive of anything) are unequally educated, based on a roll
of the dice.»
Finally, studies focused on the development
of measures
of teacher competence have documented that teachers»
ability to analyze student thinking as portrayed in brief video clips
of classroom lessons is
predictive of their teaching effectiveness (Kersting, Givvin, Thompson, Santagata, & Stigler, 2012).
Regardless
of the process chosen to conduct screening, all include the use
of measures that are highly
predictive of later reading
ability.
Behind the Teacher EPI is a research consortium
of individuals and organizations with expertise in research, education, psychometrics and
predictive analytics, who worked together to pinpoint the exact skills and
abilities that lead to the most student gains.
Screening measures, by definition, are typically brief assessments
of a particular skill or
ability that is highly
predictive of a later outcome.