To convince any hiring manager to give you a chance or invite you over for an interview, your resume must be in a language and manner that highlight your analytical and
predictive ability as a statistician.
Not exact matches
The most interesting chapters of The Two - Second Advantage deal with attempts to take that human
predictive ability and to blend it with real - time computing —
as the authors have it, to design and build
predictive systems that put «Gretzky's brain in a box.»
They found that measures of self - efficacy — a personality trait that underlies how much you believe in your own
abilities to accomplish a goal (
as well
as deal with the stresses that accompany working toward that goal)-- were
predictive of how risky a climber was willing to get.
The study found that the
ability to withstand this stress was more
predictive of survival than other factors such
as the overall amount of water lost through leaves and the depth of roots.
Finally, studies focused on the development of measures of teacher competence have documented that teachers»
ability to analyze student thinking
as portrayed in brief video clips of classroom lessons is
predictive of their teaching effectiveness (Kersting, Givvin, Thompson, Santagata, & Stigler, 2012).
Unfortunately,
as with Swype, the trace mode's
predictive ability is limited.
Since the 1950s, social scientists have been comparing the
predictive abilities of traditional experts, and what are known
as «statistical prediction rules,» which are just simple models.
We wouldn't use it even if it did,
as it would have zero
predictive ability when it comes to asset class performance).
To determine which combination of measures best predicted outcome, we tested the discrimination, or performance, of each model by calculating the area under the curve (AUC), which quantified each model's
ability to classify a dog correctly
as an eventual program release or success (higher AUCs indicate better
predictive power)(54, 55)(SI Materials and Methods).
As you become familiar with raising these animals, you will probably be able to develop a bit of a
predictive ability, but remember that your customers probably will not, and they will need to be assured that the changes will be for the better.
You're going to have to wait some number of decades anyway to evaluate the model's
predictive ability (i.e. once the model has been constructed, leaving it be without tweaking the parameters etc.), and at that point you might
as well just pump the actual recorded data into it.
The key issue here —
as I have been arguing all along — is the public credibility of climatology, climatologists and their
predictive abilities..
Despite the concerted efforts to develop metrics and the urgency to inform policy, management plans, and actions, few metrics have been empirically tested with field data for testing their
predictive ability, refinement, and eventual implementation
as predictive tools.
The very broad details (CO2 is a greenhouse gas, it has been rising) are only considered
as «consensus» positions in the same way the existence of gravity is a «consensus» position, based on overwhelming explanatory and
predictive ability.
«The recent dramatic cooling of the average heat content of the upper oceans, and thus a significant negative radiative imbalance of the climate system for at least a two year period, that was mentioned in the Climate Science weblog posting of July 27, 2006, should be a wake - up call to the climate community that the focus on
predictive modeling
as the framework to communicate to policymakers on climate policy has serious issues
as to its
ability to accurately predict the behavior of the climate system.
The real test of any model or theory is
predictive ability, and the models have done well so far
as below.
Checking whether a model can produce past history in no way validates it
as a correct model of reality — in a few minutes I could program a «model» that would reproduce past global temperature with complete accuracy — but would have no
predictive ability at all.
If internal system variability on it's own were sufficient
as you seem to believe then the mechanisms and quantities involved would already have been substantially resolved with sound
predictive abilities already arising from our models.
Indeed, the lack of agreement between the model's «hindcast» and actual temperatures since 1995 should remind us again to view this only
as a very preliminary analysis with
predictive ability that is much more qualitative than quantitative.
I would argue that although having an opponent at the table is going to be a non-starter, the courts should be much more carefully examining whether they actually have a sufficient understanding of
predictive coding methodology and performance to make a proportionality ruling under Rule 26, since,
as the Da Silva court noted, the court's
ability to okay its use is rooted in part in the proportionality rule.
The agreement between potential clinical criteria (construct validity) and the
ability of the criteria to predict outcomes typical of sepsis, such
as need for intensive care unit (ICU) admission or death (
predictive validity, a form of criterion validity), were then tested.
Hence, perceived behavioral control is also regarded
as making a direct
predictive influence on people's behavior in situation when a person's opinions of control equal the amount of accrual control that he or she is has the
ability to practice.
The first 5 years of life are critical for the development of language and cognitive skills.1 By kindergarten entry, steep social gradients in reading and math
ability, with successively poorer outcomes for children in families of lower social class, are already apparent.2 — 4 Early cognitive
ability is, in turn,
predictive of later school performance, educational attainment, and health in adulthood5 — 7 and may serve
as a marker for the quality of early brain development and a mechanism for the transmission of future health inequalities.8 Early life represents a time period of most equality and yet, beginning with in utero conditions and extending through early childhood, a wide range of socially stratified risk and protective factors may begin to place children on different trajectories of cognitive development.9, 10
Concurrent /
predictive validity includes correlations between the measure and outcomes it is purported to predict
as well
as evidence of the measure's
ability to differentiate between distinct groups.