Sentences with phrase «predictive skill»
"Predictive skill" refers to the ability to accurately forecast or foretell future events or outcomes based on available information or data. It means being able to make successful predictions or guesses about what is likely to happen in the future. Full definition
In a more general sense this relates to whether «data accommodation» improves a model predictive skill or not.
realclimate.org
It's our responsibility to use predictive skills to understand another's feelings and utilize those skills in order to disagree respectfully as we work to engage in a productive exchange.
The beauty of computer modelling is when real features are predicted, and the combination of empirical - statistical models with physics - based models enhance our confidence of actual predictive skills.
It shows that even an early generation climate model had considerable predictive skill.
The North American Multi-Model Ensemble (which does, in fact, exhibit pretty good predictive skill for summer temperatures in the American West) is presently suggesting a high likelihood of a warmer - than - average summer in California (and, indeed, most of the Northern Hemisphere).
Lee, E., T. N. Chase, and B. Rajagopalan, Highly improved predictive skill in the forecasting of the northern East Asian summer monsoon, Water Resources Research, 44, W10422, doi: 10.1029 / 2007WR006514
Natural variability is primarily controlled by exchange of heat between the ocean and the atmosphere, but it is an extremely complex process and if we want to develop better near - term predictive skills — which is looking not at what's going to happen in the next three months but what's going to happen between the next year and 10 years or 20 years or so — if we want to expand our understanding there, we have to understand natural variability better than we do today.
We therefore conclude that the increased predictive skill of DePreSys over NoAssim at forecast periods longer than 15 months results mainly from initializing the low - frequency variability of H, thereby removing errors of H from the NoAssim initial conditions (SOM text).
Insufficient observations and understanding impede the development of robust predictive skills regarding ocean acidification and impacts.
In addition, the persistence of regional features (such as above - normal multi-year ice concentrations compared to recent years in the southern Beaufort and Chukchi Seas) and geographic constraints (such as the confinement of ice in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago) can lend predictive skill to forecasts.
As detailed in his contribution, initial underprediction of ice conditions improved as the season evolved and the window of higher predictive skill extended out to include the September minimum ice extent period.
This new prediction system shows the multi-year predictive skills of drought and wildfire conditions beyond the typical timescale of seasonal climate forecast models.
For the southern US / Mexico, even precipitation and upper soil levels exhibit predictive skill of up to 2 — 3 years (Fig. 8d).
Scientific predictive skill is currently limited by very few field - based, multi-factorial experiments, especially in tropical systems.
Lee, E., T. N. Chase, and B. Rajagopalan, Highly improved predictive skill in the forecasting of the northern East Asian summer monsoon, Water Resources Research (In Press)
Whereas precipitation itself has low predictive skill beyond one season (Collins 2002; Alessandri et al. 2011), the soil moisture content is generally predictable for several seasons ahead due to the high persistence associated with the weak damping effect of soil hydrological processes (Delworth and Manabe 1988; Wu et al. 2002; Arora and Boer 2006).
The interesting thing is PDO in this graph appears to have predictive skill for changes in global temperature — the changes in PDO appear to match...
Its predictive skills optimize your decision making for complex sourcing issues.
Its predictive skills help you optimize your decision making when facing complex sourcing issues and large data sets.
The challenge is to use this evidence to test and improve the predictive skill of climate models.»
Word from a practitioner in the field: «We see the devastating impact of the differences in preschool and early learning opportunities when children arrive to kindergarten: almost half of children entering kindergarten do not yet have the predictive skills they need to be successful and joyful readers by the end of third grade.
No, there is one thing I know — I have no predictive skills.
A report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) shows that Punxsutawney Phil, despite his fame, has «no predictive skill.»