Sentences with phrase «predictive skill of»

Having established the predictive skill of DePreSys, we issued the first GCM - based forecast of global Ts for the coming decade (33, 34)(Fig. 4).

I don't disagree with that argument — I question the weight given to it in this domain, where actually solving the problem likely equals or exceeds the time interval required to do a robust test of predictive skill of the sort to which TE alludes.

A new scheme finds the opposite result, directly challenging the predictive skill of an old stalwart.

For the southern US / Mexico, even precipitation and upper soil levels exhibit predictive skill of up to 2 — 3 years (Fig. 8d).

Model experiments should be the most appropriate way to estimate the predictive skill of internal variability in the absence of these real - world effects.

We find a close agreement between the CESM - based hindcasts and the Markov model, indicating that the largest contribution to the predictive skill of soil water on interannual to decadal timescales in CESM can be attributed to the damped persistence, which is partly governed by the evapotranspiration (Delworth and Manabe 1988), the total runoff, and the diffusion of soil moisture into the deeper soil levels as shown in the Eq.

However, because the GCMs are tuned to the historical record, this is a relatively poor test of the predictive skill of the models.

Even then, I would remain skeptical about the potential predictive skill of such a model many tens of years into the future,» Tennekes added.

There is only one way, and that would be to demonstrate the predictive skill of the AGW hypothesis.

Currently, the demonstrated predictive skill of climate modeling is statistically indistinguishable from zero.

1) The Koutsoyiannis ITIA paper is one of many where people have tried to measure the predictive skill of climate models.

Such questions are very relevant in the estimation of predictive skill of climate models.

The Madden - Julian Oscillation (MJO) Task Force (hereafter MJO - TF) has the goal to facilitate improvements in the representation of the MJO in weather and climate models in order to increase the predictive skill of the MJO and related weather and climate phenomena.

The challenge is to use this evidence to test and improve the predictive skill of climate models.»

This new prediction system shows the multi-year predictive skills of drought and wildfire conditions beyond the typical timescale of seasonal climate forecast models.

The predictive skills of drought and wildfire were tested with 10 - 23 and 10 - 45 months forecasting time.

Not exact matches

When we are preoccupied with external markers of success, it is easy to lose sight of the internal skills that are far more predictive of success out in the world.

That bond is one of the major protective blankets that are predictive of a healthy sense of self, achievement, social skills, and resilience over the long run.

So non-cognitive skills like persistence and curiosity are highly predictive of future success.

These skills, acquired in the earliest years, are highly predictive of later academic, economic, and social success

Quantitative and predictive analyses are skills acquired on the job, but are essential to increase the chances of success in the clinic.»

«But we've not known definitively that social skills were also predictive of poorer physical health.

Insufficient observations and understanding impede the development of robust predictive skills regarding ocean acidification and impacts.

Natural variability is primarily controlled by exchange of heat between the ocean and the atmosphere, but it is an extremely complex process and if we want to develop better near - term predictive skills — which is looking not at what's going to happen in the next three months but what's going to happen between the next year and 10 years or 20 years or so — if we want to expand our understanding there, we have to understand natural variability better than we do today.

Essentially, this paper validates that item non-response is a useful proxy for character skills (probably conscientiousness) and is predictive of later life outcomes.

Keep you eye on him and this line of research on using survey responsiveness and carelessness as measures of character skills with strong predictive power for student success.

Using make - your - own books to solidify counting skills: It's hard to believe that counting is a skill so predictive of math achievement even into adulthood, but it's true: Those who count strong early on often have a lifelong math advantage.

We're increasingly seeing how nonacademic skills can be predictive of life outcomes.

The fact that grit or other character skills may not be strongly predictive of achievement test results is not surprising if these non-cog measures capture something that is important independently of cognitive ability.

• Are handwriting and spelling still necessary skills in the era of digital devices and predictive texting?

We will finally have a fairly easy to obtain measure of an important non-cognitive skill that is predictive of later life success.

My student, Collin Hitt, and colleague, Julie Trivitt, have an amazing paper on how we can efficiently measure an important non-cognitive skill that is strongly predictive of later life outcomes.

Working with a partner organization known as Transforming Education, they selected the specific social - emotional skills on which to focus based on a review of evidence on the extent to which those skills are measurable, meaningfully predictive of important academic and life outcomes, and likely to be malleable through school - based interventions.

In an important 2012 paper and in follow - on research published just this year, Rowe found that diversity of words is more predictive of future language skills, especially as a baby grows through toddlerhood.

Behind the scenes of the Teacher EPI is a research consortium of individuals and organizations with expertise in research, education, psychometrics, and predictive analytics, who worked together to pinpoint the exact skills and abilities that lead to the most student gains.

Screening assessment involves testing all students with a brief, but predictive, measure of key skills.

Officially, only free schools are allowed to be funded on this predictive model, but some academies have managed to switch to it, again «based on the skill of the negotiator rather than any fixed set of criteria».

benchmark assessment and screener for skills that are most predictive of reading success.

Research shows that children from poor families start school substantially behind children from more advantaged backgrounds in vocabulary, knowledge of the world, social skills, and pre-academic content such as letter recognition, all of which are strongly predictive of later school success.

Typically, the screening measure assesses a single skill (e.g. letter identification) that is highly predictive of later reading performance.

Behind the Teacher EPI is a research consortium of individuals and organizations with expertise in research, education, psychometrics and predictive analytics, who worked together to pinpoint the exact skills and abilities that lead to the most student gains.

Word from a practitioner in the field: «We see the devastating impact of the differences in preschool and early learning opportunities when children arrive to kindergarten: almost half of children entering kindergarten do not yet have the predictive skills they need to be successful and joyful readers by the end of third grade.

Screening measures, by definition, are typically brief assessments of a particular skill or ability that is highly predictive of a later outcome.

In addition, early skills are predictive of later outcomes, but too often early opportunity gaps are allowed to grow unaddressed into more persistent achievement gaps in later years.

To address this common challenge, Nick worked with a research consortium of individuals and organizations with expertise in research, education, psychometrics, and predictive analytics, to pinpoint the exact skills and abilities that lead to the most student gains.

We can't separate skill from luck because past performance isn't predictive of future performance, while costs are a good predictor of future performance.

Therefore, my single biggest game design take away from this project was to try to, from now on, design within the confines of the team's capability and strengths, with a focus on predictive market behaviour — as much as you can — and get to market fast, fast, fast!When designing, ideate and work well within the constraints of your team's consolidated skill set.

The beauty of computer modelling is when real features are predicted, and the combination of empirical - statistical models with physics - based models enhance our confidence of actual predictive skills.

This can lead to a decrease in predictive skill outside of that window, which is the actual target of the reconstruction.

The lack of the ability to match either preceding or later changes even on the inter-decadal scale shows their model has NO predictive skill whatsoever.