Sentences with phrase «predictor of future long»

We devote the first part of the paper to the empirical analysis and we show that the CAPE is a powerful predictor of future long run performances of the market not only for the U.S. but also for countries such us Belgium, France, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden and Switzerland.

Reblogged this on Finance and Strategy Thinking and commented: Thanks to Greenbackd.com I came across two highly interesting studies: Conclusions: 1... the Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings Ratio is a powerful predictor of future long run performances of the market not only for the U.S. but also for countries such us Belgium, France, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden and Switzerland.

Not exact matches

A long track record of good performance can be a predictor of future success, but the consensus of the many academic papers studying the matter is that the track record needs to be very long indeed.

While we know that 10y - trailing are not always accurate predictors of future performance, on average they work pretty well because they take advantage of mean reversion over long timeframes.

The series is only 42 data points long (equating to 126 years), so is hardly robust, however, it may be a useful predictor of future temps since it is gistemp that lags the SST.

But the climate we've come to expect is not what it used to be, because the past is no longer a reliable predictor of the future.

Adolescence is a critical period for the development of depression with prevalence rates rising sharply from childhood to early adulthood.1 Many adult depressive disorders have their first onset in adolescence2 with longer episode duration being the strongest predictor of future problems.3 In addition to increasing the risk of later mental health problems, adolescent depression is associated with significant educational and social impairment and is a major risk factor for suicide.1 Providing effective early interventions to shorten the duration of episodes and potentially reduce the impact on later life is therefore important.3 This study explores this question and compares the effects of...

While the study has strengths such as using data from a population based sample, a long follow - up period and a broad set of predictors, there are also some methodological limitations that could guide future research.

The desire to adopt may be a negative predictor due to the desire for a stable and life - long relationship with this child but not being sure if this would be possible or if the child could be removed from their care, thereby generating anxiety and feelings of uncertainty about the future of the relationship.

Knowing the past is a good predictor of the future,» says Herb Cohen, founder of Power Negotiations Institute in Delray Beach, Fla. «You need to understand what's of long - term importance to all parties so that they'll be satisfied with the transaction.»